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Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) Stock Analysis

Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

FSM Stock Analysis Summary

Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) currently has an AIQ Score of 55/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 76/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 32/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data

FSM at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$10.34
AIQ Score55/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Sell
Market Cap$3.56B
P/E Ratio (TTM)9.48
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$0.25
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$318.41M
Dividend Yield (TTM)0.00%
Beta2.12
Volume5.55M
52-week range$7.69-$13.85
RSI 1438.93
50-Day SMA$11.45
200-Day SMA$10.35
Analyst Price Target$14.50
Next EarningsNov 4, 2026
As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

FSMFortuna Mining Corp.

Basic Materials / Gold

Low Priority

Above Peers

NeutralEdge 6/10
$10.34−$0.05 (−0.48%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    32
  • Value
    60
  • Quality
    76
  • Risk resilience
    42
  • Sentiment
    —
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 21, 2026

FSM Stock Analysis Summary

Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) currently has an AIQ Score of 55/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 76/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 32/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, FSM has AIQ Score of 55/100 with Quality base of 76/100 and fading Momentum at 32/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Quality (76/100) leads while Momentum (32/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Basic Materials · -0.48% stock move · FSM classified in Gold.

Current Evidence

NeutralFSM is in a neutral AIQ regime; Quality is the strongest visible factor at 76/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is FSM Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

FSM currently has a neutral overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 76/100, while Momentum is weakest at 32/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 76/100.
  • - Analyst target implies +40.23% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Momentum is weak at 32/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is weak at 42/100.
  • - Price is -0.06% below its 200-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (34 vs 3).

Current Consensus

FSM's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 3 buy, 8 neutral, and 34 sell votes. FSM's 14-day RSI is 38.93, which places the stock in a weaker momentum range. FSM's beta is 2.12, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in FSM?

The largest recent change in FSM is Momentum moving up by 5.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Quality remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
+1.0
Momentum
+5.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
+2.0

What Would Change the FSM Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

FSM Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Fortuna Mining Corp..

Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) Stock Analysis

Fortuna Mining Corp. has an AIQ Score of 55/100 in a Neutral regime. Quality is strongest at 76/100. Beta is 2.12, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextFSM is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 55/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that quality leads at 76/100 while momentum lags at 32/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 32/100 · Value 60/100 · Quality 76/100 · Risk 42/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Quality is the strongest factor at 76/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 32/100 and RSI (14) is 38.9.

Regime fitWait

FSM is in a Neutral regime at 55/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 42/100 with beta 2.12 and annual volatility 57.97%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: quality leads at 76/100 while momentum lags at 32/100.

AIQ Score
55/100
Price
$10.34
Beta
2.12
RSI (14)
38.9

FSM Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

FSM Fundamentals

FSM valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$318.41M
Net income
$75.5M
Free cash flow
$70.4M
View full FSM fundamental analysis

FSM Technical Analysis

FSM technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Sell
RSI 14
38.93
Price vs SMA-50
-9.65%
View full FSM technical analysis

FSM Stock Catalysts

Track FSM earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 4, 2026
Analyst target
$14.50
News items
2
View FSM earnings and stock catalysts

FSM Dividend Analysis

FSM dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
0.00%
Annual dividend
—
Payout ratio
0.00%
View FSM dividend history and analysis

FSM Financial Data

FSM revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$318.41M
EPS
$0.25
Periods
4
View FSM financials

FSM Risk Analysis

FSM volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
2.12
Risk score
42/100
1Y volatility
57.97%
View FSM risk analysis

FSM Stock News

FSM stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
2
Updated
Oct 21, 2026
Sentiment
—
Read FSM stock news

FSM vs Precious Metals Peers

Current peer cohort: FSM · GOLD · HL · IAG · KGC. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
FSM
Current stock
55/10060/10032/10042/1000.4857.97%Current
GOLD
Barrick Gold
44/10068/10027/10052/1000.7554.55%FSM vs GOLD
HL
Hecla Mining
46/10036/10027/10054/1000.3771.70%FSM vs HL
IAG
IAMGOLD
57/10061/10037/10039/1000.6763.87%FSM vs IAG
KGC
Kinross Gold
62/10056/10041/10055/1000.0554.83%FSM vs KGC
Pairwise Compare links: GOLD · HL · IAG · KGCFSM vs GOLDFSM vs HLFSM vs IAGFSM vs KGCCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a FSM stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

4 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 22, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
9.48
As of Oct 21, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
57.12%
Current debt / equity
0.13
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$318.41M
Quarter net income
$75.5M
Quarter free cash flow
$70.4M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
38.93
MACD
-0.28

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
42/100
Beta
2.12
Annual volatility
57.97%
Max drawdown
-41.22%

FSM Stock FAQ

What is FSM stock price today?

Fortuna Mining Corp.'s current stock price is $10.34. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is FSM bullish or bearish right now?

FSM's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is FSM's market cap?

FSM's market cap is $3.56B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is FSM's current P/E ratio?

FSM's current P/E ratio is 9.48 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is FSM's RSI?

FSM's 14-day RSI is 38.93 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is FSM above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

FSM is -9.65% from its 50-day SMA and -0.06% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is FSM's next earnings date?

FSM's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 4, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does FSM pay a dividend?

FSM's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.