Stock Analysis
Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) Stock Analysis
Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.
Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) currently has an AIQ Score of 33/100, indicating a bearish setup. Risk is the strongest factor at 57/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 21/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
MRCY at a Glance
Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.
| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| Price | $80.61 |
| AIQ Score | 33/100 |
| Overall View | Bearish |
| Technical Analysis Consensus | Strong Sell |
| Market Cap | $4.97B |
| P/E Ratio | 71.38 |
| Forward P/E | — |
| EPS | $0.01 |
| Revenue TTM | $289.78M |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| Beta | 1 |
| Volume | 474.85K |
| 52-week range | $65.04-$128.45 |
| RSI 14 | 26.56 |
| 50-Day SMA | $99.44 |
| 200-Day SMA | $90.90 |
| Analyst Price Target | $113.09 |
| Next Earnings | Nov 3, 2026 |
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MRCY
OverviewMRCY Stock Analysis Summary
Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) currently has an AIQ Score of 33/100, indicating a bearish setup. Risk resilience is the strongest factor at 57/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 21/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
In a bearish regime, MRCY has AIQ Score of 33/100 with Risk resilience base of 57/100 and fading Momentum at 21/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.
Risk resilience (57/100) leads while Momentum (21/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.
Industrials · 0.22% stock move · MRCY classified in Aerospace & Defense.
Current Evidence
AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary
Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.
Is MRCY Bullish or Bearish Right Now?
MRCY currently has a bearish overall setup. Risk Resilience is the strongest factor at 57/100, while Momentum is weakest at 21/100. The current evidence suggests a defensive setup.
- - Analyst target implies +40.29% upside from the latest quote.
- - Value is the current constraint at 27/100.
- - Momentum is weak at 21/100.
- - Price is -11.32% below its 200-day SMA.
- - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (37 vs 6).
Current Consensus
MRCY's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 6 buy, 2 neutral, and 37 sell votes. MRCY's 14-day RSI is 26.56, which places the stock in an oversold momentum range. MRCY's beta is 1, indicating market sensitivity broadly in line with the market.
What Changed in MRCY?
Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.
What Would Change the MRCY Outlook?
The current bearish outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.
AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.
AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.
MRCY Decision Framework
Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Mercury Systems, Inc..
Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) Stock Analysis
Mercury Systems, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 33/100 in a Defensive regime. Risk is strongest at 57/100. Beta is 1, close to market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.
| Evidence Layer | Public Evidence |
|---|---|
| Regime Context | MRCY is in a Defensive AIQ regime with score 33/100. |
| Signal Conflict | The primary conflict is that risk leads at 57/100 while momentum lags at 21/100. |
| Factor Evidence | Momentum 21/100 · Value 27/100 · Quality 37/100 · Risk 57/100 |
| Persistence | Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro. |
Current Setup Checklist
Risk is the strongest factor at 57/100.
Momentum is 21/100 and RSI (14) is 26.6.
MRCY is in a Defensive regime at 33/100.
Risk factor is 57/100 with beta 1 and annual volatility 57.87%.
Current conflict: risk leads at 57/100 while momentum lags at 21/100.
MRCY Research Cluster
Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.
MRCY Fundamentals
MRCY valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.
MRCY Technical Analysis
MRCY technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.
MRCY Stock Catalysts
Track MRCY earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.
MRCY Dividend Analysis
MRCY dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.
MRCY Financial Data
MRCY revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.
MRCY Risk Analysis
MRCY volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.
MRCY Stock News
MRCY stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.
MRCY vs Aerospace & Defense Peers
Current peer cohort: MRCY · NOC · RCAT · RTX · SAIC. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.
| Peer | AIQ | Value | Momentum | Risk | Sharpe | 1Y Volatility | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRCY Current stock | 33/100 | 27/100 | 21/100 | 57/100 | 0.43 | 57.87% | Current |
| NOC Northrop Grumman | 44/100 | 64/100 | 13/100 | 43/100 | -0.42 | 27.22% | MRCY vs NOC |
| RCAT Red Cat Holdings | 34/100 | 34/100 | 25/100 | 52/100 | 0.46 | 114.70% | MRCY vs RCAT |
| RTX RTX Corporation | 41/100 | 47/100 | 26/100 | 53/100 | 0.91 | 26.11% | MRCY vs RTX |
| SAIC Science Applications International | 64/100 | 73/100 | 65/100 | 52/100 | 0.68 | 39.58% | MRCY vs SAIC |
Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 11, 2026.
About the AIQ Score
Methodology for the current stock evidence.
The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.
View AIQ methodologyFactor Diagnostics
A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.
Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.
AIQ Component Profile
Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.
Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.
Open catalysts8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.
Checked Sep 11, 2026
Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.
Fundamentals Verdict
Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.
Latest period Jul 3, 2026.
Market Confirmation
Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.
Risk Alignment
Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.
Continue Researching MRCY
Open the detailed evidence pages and workflows behind the stock overview read.
Premium Feature
Full AIQ Analysis
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AIQ Pro for MRCY
Scenario Analysis
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Portfolio Implication
Related Links
MRCY Stock FAQ
What is MRCY stock price today?
Mercury Systems, Inc.'s current stock price is $80.61. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.
Is MRCY bullish or bearish right now?
MRCY's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.
What is MRCY's market cap?
MRCY's market cap is $4.97B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.
What is MRCY's current P/E ratio?
MRCY's current P/E ratio is 71.38 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.
What is MRCY's RSI?
MRCY's 14-day RSI is 26.56 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.
Is MRCY above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?
MRCY is -18.93% from its 50-day SMA and -11.32% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.
When is MRCY's next earnings date?
MRCY's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 3, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.
Does MRCY pay a dividend?
MRCY's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.