Stock Analysis
Oatly Group AB (OTLY) Stock Analysis
Oatly Group AB (OTLY) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.
Oatly Group AB (OTLY) currently has an AIQ Score of 41/100, indicating a neutral setup. Value is the strongest factor at 63/100. Risk is the weakest current factor at 12/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
OTLY at a Glance
Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.
| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| Price | $7.75 |
| AIQ Score | 41/100 |
| Overall View | Neutral |
| Technical Analysis Consensus | Strong Sell |
| Market Cap | $459.01M |
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | -3.53 |
| Forward P/E | — |
| EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30) | -$1.00 |
| Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30) | $240.1M |
| Dividend Yield (TTM) | 0.00% |
| Beta | 1.81 |
| Volume | 264.61K |
| 52-week range | $8.00-$16.20 |
| RSI 14 | 31.73 |
| 50-Day SMA | $12.32 |
| 200-Day SMA | $11.33 |
| Analyst Price Target | $12.50 |
| Next Earnings | Feb 10, 2027 |
OTLYOatly Group AB
Consumer Defensive / Packaged Foods
Low Priority
Relative Laggard
Latest quote
- Momentum26
- Value63
- Quality45
- Risk resilience12
- Sentiment—
OTLY Stock Analysis Summary
Oatly Group AB (OTLY) currently has an AIQ Score of 41/100, indicating a neutral setup. Value is the strongest factor at 63/100. Risk resilience is the weakest current factor at 12/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
In a neutral regime, OTLY has AIQ Score of 41/100 with Value base of 63/100 and fading Risk resilience at 12/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.
Value (63/100) leads while Risk resilience (12/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.
Consumer Defensive · -3.13% stock move · OTLY classified in Packaged Foods.
Current Evidence
AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary
Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.
Is OTLY Bullish or Bearish Right Now?
OTLY currently has a neutral overall setup. Value is the strongest factor at 63/100, while Risk Resilience is weakest at 12/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.
- - Analyst target implies +61.29% upside from the latest quote.
- - Momentum is weak at 26/100.
- - Risk Resilience is weak at 12/100.
- - Price is -29.39% below its 200-day SMA.
- - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (38 vs 5).
Current Consensus
OTLY's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 5 buy, 2 neutral, and 38 sell votes. OTLY's 14-day RSI is 31.73, which places the stock in a weaker momentum range. OTLY's beta is 1.81, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.
What Changed in OTLY?
The largest recent change in OTLY is Momentum moving down by 40.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Value remains the strongest visible factor.
What Would Change the OTLY Outlook?
The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.
AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.
AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.
OTLY Decision Framework
Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Oatly Group AB.
Oatly Group AB (OTLY) Stock Analysis
Oatly Group AB has an AIQ Score of 41/100 in a Neutral regime. Value is strongest at 63/100. Beta is 1.81, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.
| Evidence Layer | Public Evidence |
|---|---|
| Regime Context | OTLY is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 41/100. |
| Signal Conflict | The primary conflict is that value leads at 63/100 while risk lags at 12/100. |
| Factor Evidence | Momentum 26/100 · Value 63/100 · Quality 45/100 · Risk 12/100 |
| Persistence | Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro. |
Current Setup Checklist
Value is the strongest factor at 63/100.
Momentum is 26/100 and RSI (14) is 31.7.
OTLY is in a Neutral regime at 41/100.
Risk factor is 12/100 with beta 1.81 and annual volatility 67.15%.
Current conflict: value leads at 63/100 while risk lags at 12/100.
OTLY Research Cluster
Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.
OTLY Fundamentals
OTLY valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.
OTLY Technical Analysis
OTLY technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.
OTLY Stock Catalysts
Track OTLY earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.
OTLY Dividend Analysis
OTLY dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.
OTLY Financial Data
OTLY revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.
OTLY Risk Analysis
OTLY volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.
OTLY Stock News
OTLY stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.
OTLY vs Consumer Staples Peers
Current peer cohort: OTLY · PEP · PG · PM · POST. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.
| Peer | AIQ | Value | Momentum | Risk | Sharpe | 1Y Volatility | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTLY Current stock | 41/100 | 63/100 | 26/100 | 12/100 | -0.66 | 67.15% | Current |
| PEP PepsiCo | 59/100 | 48/100 | 72/100 | 47/100 | -0.5 | 21.10% | OTLY vs PEP |
| PG Procter & Gamble | 56/100 | 31/100 | 74/100 | 49/100 | 0.28 | 20.84% | OTLY vs PG |
| PM Philip Morris International | 50/100 | 29/100 | 70/100 | 40/100 | 1.26 | 28.09% | OTLY vs PM |
| POST Post Holdings | 53/100 | 68/100 | 74/100 | 49/100 | -0.74 | 31.73% | OTLY vs POST |
Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 29, 2026.
About the AIQ Score
Methodology for the current stock evidence.
The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.
View AIQ methodologyFactor Diagnostics
A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.
Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.
AIQ Component Profile
Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.
Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.
Open catalysts4 recent quarterly periods are available for review.
Checked Oct 31, 2026
Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.
Fundamentals Verdict
Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.
Latest period Jun 30, 2026.
Market Confirmation
Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.
Risk Alignment
Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.
Continue Researching OTLY
Open the detailed evidence pages and workflows behind the stock overview read.
Premium Feature
Full AIQ Analysis
AIQ Intelligence
AIQ Pro for OTLY
Scenario Analysis
AIQ Scenario Builder
Portfolio Implication
Related Links
OTLY Stock FAQ
What is OTLY stock price today?
Oatly Group AB's current stock price is $7.75. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.
Is OTLY bullish or bearish right now?
OTLY's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.
What is OTLY's market cap?
OTLY's market cap is $459.01M based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.
What is OTLY's current P/E ratio?
OTLY's current P/E ratio is -3.53 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.
What is OTLY's RSI?
OTLY's 14-day RSI is 31.73 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.
Is OTLY above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?
OTLY is -35.07% from its 50-day SMA and -29.39% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.
When is OTLY's next earnings date?
OTLY's next earnings date is currently listed as Feb 10, 2027. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.
Does OTLY pay a dividend?
OTLY's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.