Stock Analysis
Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (RCAT) Stock Analysis
Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (RCAT) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.
Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (RCAT) currently has an AIQ Score of 35/100, indicating a bearish setup. Risk is the strongest factor at 52/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 30/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
RCAT at a Glance
Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.
| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| Price | $4.63 |
| AIQ Score | 35/100 |
| Overall View | Bearish |
| Technical Analysis Consensus | Sell |
| Market Cap | $1.26B |
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | -9.59 |
| Forward P/E | — |
| EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30) | -$0.26 |
| Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30) | $20.19M |
| Dividend Yield (TTM) | 0.00% |
| Beta | 1.35 |
| Volume | 4.84M |
| 52-week range | $4.14-$18.78 |
| RSI 14 | 36.15 |
| 50-Day SMA | $6.78 |
| 200-Day SMA | $10.54 |
| Analyst Price Target | $14.71 |
| Next Earnings | — |
RCATRed Cat Holdings, Inc.
Industrials / Aerospace & Defense
Low Priority
Relative Laggard
Latest quote
- Momentum30
- Value34
- Quality33
- Risk resilience52
- Sentiment—
RCAT Stock Analysis Summary
Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (RCAT) currently has an AIQ Score of 35/100, indicating a bearish setup. Risk resilience is the strongest factor at 52/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 30/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
In a bearish regime, RCAT has AIQ Score of 35/100 with Risk resilience base of 52/100 and fading Momentum at 30/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.
Risk resilience (52/100) leads while Momentum (30/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.
Industrials · -8.32% stock move · RCAT classified in Aerospace & Defense.
Current Evidence
AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary
Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.
Is RCAT Bullish or Bearish Right Now?
RCAT currently has a bearish overall setup. Risk Resilience is the strongest factor at 52/100, while Momentum is weakest at 30/100. The current evidence suggests a defensive setup.
- - Analyst target implies +217.71% upside from the latest quote.
- - Value is the current constraint at 34/100.
- - Momentum is weak at 30/100.
- - Price is -52.08% below its 200-day SMA.
- - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (25 vs 14).
Current Consensus
RCAT's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Sell, with 14 buy, 6 neutral, and 25 sell votes. RCAT's 14-day RSI is 36.15, which places the stock in a weaker momentum range. RCAT's beta is 1.35, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.
What Changed in RCAT?
The largest recent change in RCAT is Momentum moving up by 5.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Risk Resilience remains the strongest visible factor.
What Would Change the RCAT Outlook?
The current bearish outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.
AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.
AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.
RCAT Decision Framework
Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Red Cat Holdings, Inc..
Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (RCAT) Stock Analysis
Red Cat Holdings, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 35/100 in a Defensive regime. Risk is strongest at 52/100. Beta is 1.36, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.
| Evidence Layer | Public Evidence |
|---|---|
| Regime Context | RCAT is in a Defensive AIQ regime with score 35/100. |
| Signal Conflict | The primary conflict is that risk leads at 52/100 while momentum lags at 30/100. |
| Factor Evidence | Momentum 30/100 · Value 34/100 · Quality 33/100 · Risk 52/100 |
| Persistence | Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro. |
Current Setup Checklist
Risk is the strongest factor at 52/100.
Momentum is 30/100 and RSI (14) is 36.2.
RCAT is in a Defensive regime at 35/100.
Risk factor is 52/100 with beta 1.36 and annual volatility 105.64%.
Current conflict: risk leads at 52/100 while momentum lags at 30/100.
RCAT Research Cluster
Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.
RCAT Fundamentals
RCAT valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.
RCAT Technical Analysis
RCAT technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.
RCAT Stock Catalysts
Track RCAT earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.
RCAT Dividend Analysis
RCAT dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.
RCAT Financial Data
RCAT revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.
RCAT Risk Analysis
RCAT volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.
RCAT Stock News
RCAT stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.
RCAT vs Aerospace & Defense Peers
Current peer cohort: RCAT · RTX · SAIC · TDG · TDY. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.
| Peer | AIQ | Value | Momentum | Risk | Sharpe | 1Y Volatility | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCAT Current stock | 35/100 | 34/100 | 30/100 | 52/100 | -0.29 | 105.64% | Current |
| RTX RTX Corporation | 56/100 | 51/100 | 81/100 | 50/100 | 0.46 | 25.22% | RCAT vs RTX |
| SAIC Science Applications International | 68/100 | 73/100 | 84/100 | 50/100 | 1.39 | 39.44% | RCAT vs SAIC |
| TDG TransDigm | 62/100 | 39/100 | 87/100 | 74/100 | -0.43 | 26.99% | RCAT vs TDG |
| TDY Teledyne Technologies | 69/100 | 58/100 | 95/100 | 76/100 | 1.04 | 25.72% | RCAT vs TDY |
Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 29, 2026.
About the AIQ Score
Methodology for the current stock evidence.
The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.
View AIQ methodologyFactor Diagnostics
A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.
Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.
AIQ Component Profile
Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.
Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.
Open catalysts8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.
Checked Oct 31, 2026
Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.
Fundamentals Verdict
Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.
Latest period Jun 30, 2026.
Market Confirmation
Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.
Risk Alignment
Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.
Continue Researching RCAT
Open the detailed evidence pages and workflows behind the stock overview read.
Premium Feature
Full AIQ Analysis
AIQ Intelligence
AIQ Pro for RCAT
Scenario Analysis
AIQ Scenario Builder
Portfolio Implication
Related Links
RCAT Stock FAQ
What is RCAT stock price today?
Red Cat Holdings, Inc.'s current stock price is $4.63. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.
Is RCAT bullish or bearish right now?
RCAT's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.
What is RCAT's market cap?
RCAT's market cap is $1.26B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.
What is RCAT's current P/E ratio?
RCAT's current P/E ratio is -9.59 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.
What is RCAT's RSI?
RCAT's 14-day RSI is 36.15 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.
Is RCAT above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?
RCAT is -25.48% from its 50-day SMA and -52.08% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.
When is RCAT's next earnings date?
RCAT's next earnings date is a key event to check before making a decision. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.
Does RCAT pay a dividend?
RCAT's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.