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Redwire Corp (RDW) Stock Analysis

Redwire Corp (RDW) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

RDW Stock Analysis Summary

Redwire Corp (RDW) currently has an AIQ Score of 35/100, indicating a bearish setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 86/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 26/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data

RDW at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$10.62
AIQ Score35/100
Overall ViewBearish
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Sell
Market Cap$2.45B
P/E Ratio-9.2
Forward P/E
EPS-$0.19
Revenue TTM$117.07M
Dividend Yield0.00%
Beta3.08
Volume11.99M
52-week range$4.87-$26.64
RSI 1431.96
50-Day SMA$10.69
200-Day SMA$10.69
Analyst Price Target$15.69
Next EarningsNov 4, 2026
As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

RDW

Overview
Redwire Corp
Industrials· Aerospace & Defense
AIQ Score
BearishAIQ Edge 2/10
Low Priority
Relative Laggard
Score data as of Sep 11, 2026
Last price
$10.62
-$0.25 (-2.30%)
Latest market quote
Momentum26
Value37
Quality38
Risk Resilience39
Sentiment86
View financial data

RDW Stock Analysis Summary

Redwire Corp (RDW) currently has an AIQ Score of 35/100, indicating a bearish setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 86/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 26/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Weak

In a bearish regime, RDW has AIQ Score of 35/100 with Sentiment base of 86/100 and fading Momentum at 26/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Sentiment (86/100) leads while Momentum (26/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Industrials · -2.30% stock move · RDW classified in Aerospace & Defense.

Current Evidence

BearishRDW is in a bearish AIQ regime; Sentiment is the strongest visible factor at 86/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is RDW Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

RDW currently has a bearish overall setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 86/100, while Momentum is weakest at 26/100. The current evidence suggests a defensive setup.

Bull Case
  • - Analyst target implies +47.74% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 37/100.
  • - Momentum is weak at 26/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is weak at 39/100.
  • - Price is -0.67% below its 200-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (36 vs 2).

Current Consensus

RDW's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 2 buy, 7 neutral, and 36 sell votes. RDW's 14-day RSI is 31.96, which places the stock in a weaker momentum range. RDW's beta is 3.08, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in RDW?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
35/100
Momentum
26/100
Quality
38/100
Risk
39/100

What Would Change the RDW Outlook?

The current bearish outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

RDW Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Redwire Corp.

Redwire Corp (RDW) Stock Analysis

Redwire Corp has an AIQ Score of 35/100 in a Defensive regime. Sentiment is strongest at 86/100. Beta is 3.08, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextRDW is in a Defensive AIQ regime with score 35/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that sentiment leads at 86/100 while momentum lags at 26/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 26/100 · Value 37/100 · Quality 38/100 · Risk 39/100 · Sentiment 86/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Sentiment is the strongest factor at 86/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 26/100 and RSI (14) is 32.0.

Regime fitFail

RDW is in a Defensive regime at 35/100.

Risk controlFail

Risk factor is 39/100 with beta 3.08 and annual volatility 116.22%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: sentiment leads at 86/100 while momentum lags at 26/100.

AIQ Score
35/100
Price
$10.62
Beta
3.08
RSI (14)
32

RDW Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

RDW Fundamentals

RDW valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$117.07M
Net income
-$40.97M
Free cash flow
-$32.47M
View full RDW fundamental analysis

RDW Technical Analysis

RDW technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Sell
RSI 14
31.96
Price vs SMA-50
-0.69%
View full RDW technical analysis

RDW Stock Catalysts

Track RDW earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 4, 2026
Analyst target
$15.69
News items
3
View RDW earnings and stock catalysts

RDW Dividend Analysis

RDW dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
0.00%
Annual dividend
Payout ratio
View RDW dividend history and analysis

RDW Financial Data

RDW revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$117.07M
EPS
-$0.19
Periods
8
View RDW financials

RDW Risk Analysis

RDW volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
3.08
Risk score
39/100
1Y volatility
116.22%
View RDW risk analysis

RDW Stock News

RDW stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
3
Updated
Sep 11, 2026
Sentiment
86/100
Read RDW stock news

RDW vs Space, eVTOL & Autonomous Peers

Current peer cohort: RDW · RKLB · SPIR · SYM · ACHR. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
RDW
Current stock
35/10037/10026/10039/1000.75116.22%Current
RKLB
Rocket Lab
37/10034/10025/10043/1000.7595.12%RDW vs RKLB
SPIR
Spire Global
36/10036/10024/10035/1000.71104.24%RDW vs SPIR
SYM
Symbotic
40/10027/10057/10036/1000.1883.73%RDW vs SYM
ACHR
Archer Aviation
35/10034/10038/10041/100-0.2274.09%RDW vs ACHR
Pairwise Compare links: RKLB · SPIR · SYM · ACHRRDW vs RKLBRDW vs SPIRRDW vs SYMRDW vs ACHRCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 11, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a RDW stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 12, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
-7.03
As of Sep 11, 2026
Revenue growth
20.73%
Gross margin
20.10%
Current debt / equity
0.05
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$117.07M
Quarter net income
-$40.97M
Quarter free cash flow
-$32.47M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
31.96
MACD
-0.22

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
39/100
Beta
3.08
Annual volatility
116.22%
Max drawdown
-69.96%

RDW Stock FAQ

What is RDW stock price today?

Redwire Corp's current stock price is $10.62. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is RDW bullish or bearish right now?

RDW's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is RDW's market cap?

RDW's market cap is $2.45B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is RDW's current P/E ratio?

RDW's current P/E ratio is -9.2 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is RDW's RSI?

RDW's 14-day RSI is 31.96 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is RDW above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

RDW is -0.69% from its 50-day SMA and -0.67% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is RDW's next earnings date?

RDW's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 4, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does RDW pay a dividend?

RDW's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.