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TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) Stock Analysis

TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

TDG Stock Analysis Summary

TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) currently has an AIQ Score of 43/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk is the strongest factor at 76/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 11/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data

TDG at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$1,162.05
AIQ Score43/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Sell
Market Cap$64.65B
P/E Ratio29.06
Forward P/E
EPS$9.39
Revenue TTM$2.74B
Dividend Yield0.00%
Beta0.91
Volume210.41K
52-week range$1,123.61-$1,463.03
RSI 1426.5
50-Day SMA$1,241.96
200-Day SMA$1,269.36
Analyst Price Target$1,517.73
Next EarningsNov 11, 2026
As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close
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TDG

Overview
TransDigm Group Incorporated
Industrials· Aerospace & Defense
AIQ Score
NeutralAIQ Edge 4/10
Low Priority
In Line With Peers
Score data as of Sep 4, 2026
Last price
$1,162.05
+$4.22 (+0.36%)
Latest market quote
Momentum11
Value39
Quality57
Risk Resilience76
Sentiment
View financial data

TDG Stock Analysis Summary

TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) currently has an AIQ Score of 43/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk resilience is the strongest factor at 76/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 11/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, TDG has AIQ Score of 43/100 with Risk resilience base of 76/100 and fading Momentum at 11/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Risk resilience (76/100) leads while Momentum (11/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Industrials · 0.36% stock move · TDG classified in Aerospace & Defense.

Current Evidence

NeutralTDG is in a neutral AIQ regime; Risk resilience is the strongest visible factor at 76/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is TDG Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

TDG currently has a neutral overall setup. Risk Resilience is the strongest factor at 76/100, while Momentum is weakest at 11/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Risk Resilience is supportive at 76/100.
  • - Analyst target implies +30.61% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 39/100.
  • - Momentum is weak at 11/100.
  • - Price is -8.45% below its 200-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (36 vs 7).

Current Consensus

TDG's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 7 buy, 2 neutral, and 36 sell votes. TDG's 14-day RSI is 26.5, which places the stock in an oversold momentum range. TDG's beta is 0.91, indicating market sensitivity broadly in line with the market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in TDG?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
43/100
Momentum
11/100
Quality
57/100
Risk
76/100

What Would Change the TDG Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

TDG Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for TransDigm Group Incorporated.

TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) Stock Analysis

TransDigm Group Incorporated has an AIQ Score of 43/100 in a Neutral regime. Risk is strongest at 76/100. Beta is 0.91, close to market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextTDG is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 43/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that risk leads at 76/100 while momentum lags at 11/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 11/100 · Value 39/100 · Quality 57/100 · Risk 76/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Risk is the strongest factor at 76/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 11/100 and RSI (14) is 26.5.

Regime fitWait

TDG is in a Neutral regime at 43/100.

Risk controlPass

Risk factor is 76/100 with beta 0.91 and annual volatility 27.35%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: risk leads at 76/100 while momentum lags at 11/100.

AIQ Score
43/100
Price
$1,162.05
Beta
0.91
RSI (14)
26.5

TDG Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

TDG Fundamentals

TDG valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$2.74B
Net income
$539M
Free cash flow
$650M
View full TDG fundamental analysis

TDG Technical Analysis

TDG technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Sell
RSI 14
26.5
Price vs SMA-50
-6.43%
View full TDG technical analysis

TDG Stock Catalysts

Track TDG earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 11, 2026
Analyst target
$1,517.73
News items
4
View TDG earnings and stock catalysts

TDG Dividend Analysis

TDG dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
18.80%
Annual dividend
$218.50
Payout ratio
View TDG dividend history and analysis

TDG Financial Data

TDG revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$2.74B
EPS
$9.39
Periods
8
View TDG financials

TDG Risk Analysis

TDG volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.91
Risk score
76/100
1Y volatility
27.35%
View TDG risk analysis

TDG Stock News

TDG stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
4
Updated
Sep 6, 2026
Sentiment
Read TDG stock news

TDG vs Aerospace & Defense Peers

Current peer cohort: TDG · TDY · TGI · TXT · VSEC. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
TDG
Current stock
43/10039/10011/10076/100-0.3727.35%Current
TDY
Teledyne Technologies
48/10059/10010/10078/1000.426.36%TDG vs TDY
TGI
Triumph Group
43/10041/10043/100TDG vs TGI
TXT
Textron
49/10071/10023/10069/100-0.1226.81%TDG vs TXT
VSEC
VSE Corporation
34/10036/10020/10051/1000.5957.94%TDG vs VSEC
Pairwise Compare links: TDY · TGI · TXT · VSECTDG vs TDYTDG vs TGITDG vs TXTTDG vs VSECCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 5, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a TDG stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 7, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
35.07
As of Sep 4, 2026
Revenue growth
7.74%
Gross margin
59.57%
Current debt / equity
-2.74
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 27, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$2.74B
Quarter net income
$539M
Quarter free cash flow
$650M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bearish
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
26.5
MACD
-23.88

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
76/100
Beta
0.91
Annual volatility
27.35%
Max drawdown
-21.87%

TDG Stock FAQ

What is TDG stock price today?

TransDigm Group Incorporated's current stock price is $1,162.05. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is TDG bullish or bearish right now?

TDG's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is TDG's market cap?

TDG's market cap is $64.65B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is TDG's current P/E ratio?

TDG's current P/E ratio is 29.06 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is TDG's RSI?

TDG's 14-day RSI is 26.5 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is TDG above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

TDG is -6.43% from its 50-day SMA and -8.45% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is TDG's next earnings date?

TDG's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 11, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does TDG pay a dividend?

TDG's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.