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Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) Stock Analysis

Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

TPL Stock Analysis Summary

Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) currently has an AIQ Score of 46/100, indicating a neutral setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 82/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 24/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data

TPL at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$369.10
AIQ Score46/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusSell
Market Cap$25.52B
P/E Ratio47.12
Forward P/E
EPS$2.23
Revenue TTM$246.06M
Dividend Yield0.00%
Beta0.63
Volume270.99K
52-week range$269.23-$547.20
RSI 1440.92
50-Day SMA$384.37
200-Day SMA$393.04
Analyst Price Target$639.00
Next EarningsNov 4, 2026
As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close
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TPL

Overview
Texas Pacific Land Corporation
Energy· Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
AIQ Score
NeutralAIQ Edge 4/10
Low Priority
In Line With Peers
Score data as of Sep 11, 2026
Last price
$369.10
+$3.00 (+0.82%)
Latest market quote
Momentum38
Value24
Quality66
Risk Resilience63
Sentiment82
View financial data

TPL Stock Analysis Summary

Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) currently has an AIQ Score of 46/100, indicating a neutral setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 82/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 24/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, TPL has AIQ Score of 46/100 with Sentiment base of 82/100 and fading Value at 24/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Sentiment (82/100) leads while Value (24/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Energy · 0.82% stock move · TPL classified in Oil & Gas Exploration & Production.

Current Evidence

NeutralTPL is in a neutral AIQ regime; Sentiment is the strongest visible factor at 82/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is TPL Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

TPL currently has a neutral overall setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 82/100, while Value is weakest at 24/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 66/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is supportive at 63/100.
  • - Analyst target implies +73.12% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 24/100.
  • - Momentum is weak at 38/100.
  • - Price is -6.09% below its 200-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (27 vs 8).

Current Consensus

TPL's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Sell, with 8 buy, 10 neutral, and 27 sell votes. TPL's 14-day RSI is 40.92, which places the stock in a weaker momentum range. TPL's beta is 0.63, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in TPL?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
46/100
Momentum
38/100
Quality
66/100
Risk
63/100

What Would Change the TPL Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

TPL Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Texas Pacific Land Corporation.

Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) Stock Analysis

Texas Pacific Land Corporation has an AIQ Score of 46/100 in a Neutral regime. Sentiment is strongest at 82/100. Beta is 0.63, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextTPL is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 46/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that sentiment leads at 82/100 while value lags at 24/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 38/100 · Value 24/100 · Quality 66/100 · Risk 63/100 · Sentiment 82/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Sentiment is the strongest factor at 82/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 38/100 and RSI (14) is 40.9.

Regime fitWait

TPL is in a Neutral regime at 46/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 63/100 with beta 0.63 and annual volatility 48.2%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: sentiment leads at 82/100 while value lags at 24/100.

AIQ Score
46/100
Price
$369.10
Beta
0.63
RSI (14)
40.9

TPL Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

TPL Fundamentals

TPL valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$246.06M
Net income
$153.93M
Free cash flow
$151.01M
View full TPL fundamental analysis

TPL Technical Analysis

TPL technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Sell
RSI 14
40.92
Price vs SMA-50
-3.97%
View full TPL technical analysis

TPL Stock Catalysts

Track TPL earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 4, 2026
Analyst target
$639.00
News items
5
View TPL earnings and stock catalysts

TPL Dividend Analysis

TPL dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
0.92%
Annual dividend
$3.40
Payout ratio
View TPL dividend history and analysis

TPL Financial Data

TPL revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$246.06M
EPS
$2.23
Periods
6
View TPL financials

TPL Risk Analysis

TPL volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.63
Risk score
63/100
1Y volatility
48.20%
View TPL risk analysis

TPL Stock News

TPL stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
5
Updated
Sep 11, 2026
Sentiment
82/100
Read TPL stock news

TPL vs Oil Majors & E&P Peers

Current peer cohort: TPL · XOM · APA · AR · BP. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
TPL
Current stock
46/10024/10038/10063/1000.5148.20%Current
XOM
ExxonMobil
52/10042/10063/10053/1001.525.61%TPL vs XOM
APA
APA Corporation
61/10062/10067/10044/1001.5845.68%TPL vs APA
AR
Antero Resources
50/10041/10067/10044/1000.537.38%TPL vs AR
BP
BP
54/10069/10069/10046/1000.9929.09%TPL vs BP
Pairwise Compare links: XOM · APA · AR · BPTPL vs XOMTPL vs APATPL vs ARTPL vs BPCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 11, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a TPL stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

6 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 12, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
47.12
As of Sep 11, 2026
Revenue growth
3.90%
Gross margin
100.32%
Current debt / equity
0.01
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$246.06M
Quarter net income
$153.93M
Quarter free cash flow
$151.01M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bearish
Momentum
Mixed
RSI 14
40.92
MACD
-2.64

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
63/100
Beta
0.63
Annual volatility
48.20%
Max drawdown
-36.89%

TPL Stock FAQ

What is TPL stock price today?

Texas Pacific Land Corporation's current stock price is $369.10. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is TPL bullish or bearish right now?

TPL's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is TPL's market cap?

TPL's market cap is $25.52B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is TPL's current P/E ratio?

TPL's current P/E ratio is 47.12 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is TPL's RSI?

TPL's 14-day RSI is 40.92 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is TPL above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

TPL is -3.97% from its 50-day SMA and -6.09% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is TPL's next earnings date?

TPL's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 4, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does TPL pay a dividend?

TPL's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.