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Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) Stock Analysis

Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

TPL Stock Analysis Summary

Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) currently has an AIQ Score of 42/100, indicating a neutral setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 82/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 19/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 30, 2026 · Market-close data

TPL at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$331.68
AIQ Score42/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Sell
Market Cap$25.52B
P/E Ratio (TTM)47.12
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$2.23
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$246.06M
Dividend Yield (TTM)0.63%
Beta0.63
Volume480.64K
52-week range$269.23-$547.20
RSI 1427.86
50-Day SMA$354.08
200-Day SMA$401.69
Analyst Price Target$639.00
Next EarningsNov 4, 2026
As of Oct 30, 2026 · Market close

TPLTexas Pacific Land Corporation

Energy / Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Low Priority

Relative Laggard

NeutralEdge 3/10
$331.68+$3.72 (+1.13%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    19
  • Value
    24
  • Quality
    66
  • Risk resilience
    66
  • Sentiment
    82
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 30, 2026

TPL Stock Analysis Summary

Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) currently has an AIQ Score of 42/100, indicating a neutral setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 82/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 19/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 30, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, TPL has AIQ Score of 42/100 with Sentiment base of 82/100 and fading Momentum at 19/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Sentiment (82/100) leads while Momentum (19/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Energy · 1.13% stock move · TPL classified in Oil & Gas Exploration & Production.

Current Evidence

NeutralTPL is in a neutral AIQ regime; Sentiment is the strongest visible factor at 82/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is TPL Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

TPL currently has a neutral overall setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 82/100, while Momentum is weakest at 19/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 66/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is supportive at 66/100.
  • - Analyst target implies +92.66% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 24/100.
  • - Momentum is weak at 19/100.
  • - Price is -18.35% below its 200-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (35 vs 8).

Current Consensus

TPL's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 8 buy, 2 neutral, and 35 sell votes. TPL's 14-day RSI is 27.86, which places the stock in an oversold momentum range. TPL's beta is 0.63, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in TPL?

The largest recent change in TPL is Momentum moving down by 17.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Sentiment remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
-4.0
Momentum
-17.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
+2.0

What Would Change the TPL Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

TPL Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Texas Pacific Land Corporation.

Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) Stock Analysis

Texas Pacific Land Corporation has an AIQ Score of 42/100 in a Neutral regime. Sentiment is strongest at 82/100. Beta is 0.59, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextTPL is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 42/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that sentiment leads at 82/100 while momentum lags at 19/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 19/100 · Value 24/100 · Quality 66/100 · Risk 66/100 · Sentiment 82/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Sentiment is the strongest factor at 82/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 19/100 and RSI (14) is 27.9.

Regime fitWait

TPL is in a Neutral regime at 42/100.

Risk controlPass

Risk factor is 66/100 with beta 0.59 and annual volatility 48.65%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: sentiment leads at 82/100 while momentum lags at 19/100.

AIQ Score
42/100
Price
$331.68
Beta
0.59
RSI (14)
27.9

TPL Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

TPL Fundamentals

TPL valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$246.06M
Net income
$153.93M
Free cash flow
$151.01M
View full TPL fundamental analysis

TPL Technical Analysis

TPL technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Sell
RSI 14
27.86
Price vs SMA-50
-7.38%
View full TPL technical analysis

TPL Stock Catalysts

Track TPL earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 4, 2026
Analyst target
$639.00
News items
0
View TPL earnings and stock catalysts

TPL Dividend Analysis

TPL dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
1.03%
Annual dividend
$3.40
Payout ratio
28.95%
View TPL dividend history and analysis

TPL Financial Data

TPL revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$246.06M
EPS
$2.23
Periods
3
View TPL financials

TPL Risk Analysis

TPL volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.63
Risk score
66/100
1Y volatility
48.65%
View TPL risk analysis

TPL Stock News

TPL stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
0
Updated
—
Sentiment
82/100
Read TPL stock news

TPL vs Oil Majors & E&P Peers

Current peer cohort: TPL · XOM · APA · AR · BP. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
TPL
Current stock
42/10024/10019/10066/1000.2948.65%Current
XOM
ExxonMobil
56/10042/10080/10054/1001.7226.22%TPL vs XOM
APA
APA Corporation
65/10062/10079/10046/1002.0144.37%TPL vs APA
AR
Antero Resources
52/10041/10080/10038/1000.7937.97%TPL vs AR
BP
BP
56/10069/10077/10044/1001.2230.05%TPL vs BP
Pairwise Compare links: XOM · APA · AR · BPTPL vs XOMTPL vs APATPL vs ARTPL vs BPCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 29, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 30, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a TPL stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

3 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 31, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
47.12
As of Oct 29, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
100.32%
Current debt / equity
0.01
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$246.06M
Quarter net income
$153.93M
Quarter free cash flow
$151.01M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bearish
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
27.86
MACD
-6.32

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
66/100
Beta
0.59
Annual volatility
48.65%
Max drawdown
-39.64%

TPL Stock FAQ

What is TPL stock price today?

Texas Pacific Land Corporation's current stock price is $331.68. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is TPL bullish or bearish right now?

TPL's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is TPL's market cap?

TPL's market cap is $25.52B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is TPL's current P/E ratio?

TPL's current P/E ratio is 47.12 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is TPL's RSI?

TPL's 14-day RSI is 27.86 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is TPL above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

TPL is -7.38% from its 50-day SMA and -18.35% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is TPL's next earnings date?

TPL's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 4, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does TPL pay a dividend?

TPL's dividend yield is 0.63% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.