Stock Analysis
Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) Stock Analysis
Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.
Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) currently has an AIQ Score of 66/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 92/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 40/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
ULTA at a Glance
Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.
| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| Price | $606.99 |
| AIQ Score | 66/100 |
| Overall View | Neutral |
| Technical Analysis Consensus | Strong Buy |
| Market Cap | $23.46B |
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | 19.81 |
| Forward P/E | — |
| EPS (quarter ended 2026-08-01) | $6.57 |
| Revenue (quarter ended 2026-08-01) | $3.04B |
| Dividend Yield (TTM) | 0.00% |
| Beta | 0.85 |
| Volume | 406.69K |
| 52-week range | $443.60-$714.97 |
| RSI 14 | 79.89 |
| 50-Day SMA | $548.67 |
| 200-Day SMA | $553.89 |
| Analyst Price Target | $637.28 |
| Next Earnings | Dec 3, 2026 |
ULTAUlta Beauty, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical / Specialty Retail
Leader
Sector Leader
Latest quote
- Momentum92
- Value40
- Quality73
- Risk resilience61
- Sentiment—
ULTA Stock Analysis Summary
Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) currently has an AIQ Score of 66/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 92/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 40/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
In a neutral regime, ULTA has AIQ Score of 66/100 with Momentum base of 92/100 and fading Value at 40/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.
Momentum (92/100) leads while Value (40/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.
Consumer Cyclical · 0.68% stock move · ULTA classified in Specialty Retail.
Current Evidence
AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary
Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.
Is ULTA Bullish or Bearish Right Now?
ULTA currently has a neutral overall setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 92/100, while Value is weakest at 40/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.
- - Quality is supportive at 73/100.
- - Momentum is constructive at 92/100.
- - Risk Resilience is supportive at 61/100.
- - Price is +10.63% above its 50-day SMA.
- - Analyst target implies +4.99% upside from the latest quote.
- - Value is the current constraint at 40/100.
Current Consensus
ULTA's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Buy, with 37 buy, 2 neutral, and 6 sell votes. ULTA's 14-day RSI is 79.89, which places the stock in an overbought momentum range. ULTA's beta is 0.85, indicating market sensitivity broadly in line with the market.
What Changed in ULTA?
The largest recent change in ULTA is Momentum moving up by 1.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Momentum remains the strongest visible factor.
What Would Change the ULTA Outlook?
The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.
AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.
AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.
ULTA Decision Framework
Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Ulta Beauty, Inc..
Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) Stock Analysis
Ulta Beauty, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 66/100 in a Neutral regime. Momentum is strongest at 92/100. Beta is 0.84, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.
| Evidence Layer | Public Evidence |
|---|---|
| Regime Context | ULTA is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 66/100. |
| Signal Conflict | The primary conflict is that momentum leads at 92/100 while value lags at 40/100. |
| Factor Evidence | Momentum 92/100 · Value 40/100 · Quality 73/100 · Risk 61/100 |
| Persistence | Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro. |
Current Setup Checklist
Momentum is the strongest factor at 92/100.
Momentum is 92/100 and RSI (14) is 79.9.
ULTA is in a Neutral regime at 66/100.
Risk factor is 61/100 with beta 0.84 and annual volatility 35.19%.
Current conflict: momentum leads at 92/100 while value lags at 40/100.
ULTA Research Cluster
Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.
ULTA Fundamentals
ULTA valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.
ULTA Technical Analysis
ULTA technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.
ULTA Stock Catalysts
Track ULTA earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.
ULTA Dividend Analysis
ULTA dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.
ULTA Financial Data
ULTA revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.
ULTA Risk Analysis
ULTA volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.
ULTA Stock News
ULTA stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.
ULTA vs Retail — Specialty & Discount Peers
Current peer cohort: ULTA · URBN · VFC · WHR · WSM. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.
| Peer | AIQ | Value | Momentum | Risk | Sharpe | 1Y Volatility | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ULTA Current stock | 66/100 | 40/100 | 92/100 | 61/100 | 0.49 | 35.19% | Current |
| URBN Urban Outfitters | 65/100 | 58/100 | 80/100 | 62/100 | 0.74 | 42.73% | ULTA vs URBN |
| VFC VF Corporation | 55/100 | 48/100 | 79/100 | 54/100 | 0.52 | 48.11% | ULTA vs VFC |
| WHR Whirlpool | 34/100 | 62/100 | 25/100 | 40/100 | -1.84 | 50.05% | ULTA vs WHR |
| WSM Williams-Sonoma | 63/100 | 30/100 | 84/100 | 57/100 | 0.92 | 33.09% | ULTA vs WSM |
Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.
About the AIQ Score
Methodology for the current stock evidence.
The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.
View AIQ methodologyFactor Diagnostics
A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.
Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.
AIQ Component Profile
Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.
Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.
Open catalysts4 recent quarterly periods are available for review.
Checked Oct 21, 2026
Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.
Fundamentals Verdict
Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.
Latest period Aug 1, 2026.
Market Confirmation
Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.
Risk Alignment
Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.
Continue Researching ULTA
Open the detailed evidence pages and workflows behind the stock overview read.
Premium Feature
Full AIQ Analysis
AIQ Intelligence
AIQ Pro for ULTA
Scenario Analysis
AIQ Scenario Builder
Portfolio Implication
Related Links
ULTA Stock FAQ
What is ULTA stock price today?
Ulta Beauty, Inc.'s current stock price is $606.99. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.
Is ULTA bullish or bearish right now?
ULTA's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.
What is ULTA's market cap?
ULTA's market cap is $23.46B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.
What is ULTA's current P/E ratio?
ULTA's current P/E ratio is 19.81 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.
What is ULTA's RSI?
ULTA's 14-day RSI is 79.89 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.
Is ULTA above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?
ULTA is 10.63% from its 50-day SMA and 9.59% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.
When is ULTA's next earnings date?
ULTA's next earnings date is currently listed as Dec 3, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.
Does ULTA pay a dividend?
ULTA's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.