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Vistra Corp. (VST) Stock Analysis

Vistra Corp. (VST) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

VST Stock Analysis Summary

Vistra Corp. (VST) currently has an AIQ Score of 49/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 70/100. Risk is the weakest current factor at 31/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data

VST at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$156.14
AIQ Score49/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Buy
Market Cap$46.56B
P/E Ratio (TTM)23.05
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$0.76
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$4.02B
Dividend Yield (TTM)0.66%
Beta1.43
Volume5.09M
52-week range$132.66-$205.50
RSI 1461.03
50-Day SMA$145.44
200-Day SMA$154.42
Analyst Price Target$213.13
Next EarningsNov 6, 2026
As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

VSTVistra Corp.

Utilities / Independent Power Producers

Low Priority

In Line With Peers

NeutralEdge 4/10
$156.14+$5.82 (+3.87%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    70
  • Value
    45
  • Quality
    46
  • Risk resilience
    31
  • Sentiment
    —
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 21, 2026

VST Stock Analysis Summary

Vistra Corp. (VST) currently has an AIQ Score of 49/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 70/100. Risk resilience is the weakest current factor at 31/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, VST has AIQ Score of 49/100 with Momentum base of 70/100 and fading Risk resilience at 31/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Momentum (70/100) leads while Risk resilience (31/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Utilities · 3.87% stock move · VST classified in Independent Power Producers.

Current Evidence

NeutralVST is in a neutral AIQ regime; Momentum is the strongest visible factor at 70/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is VST Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

VST currently has a neutral overall setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 70/100, while Risk Resilience is weakest at 31/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Momentum is constructive at 70/100.
  • - Price is +7.36% above its 50-day SMA.
  • - Analyst target implies +36.50% upside from the latest quote.
  • - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (34 vs 4).
Bear Case
  • - Risk Resilience is weak at 31/100.

Current Consensus

VST's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Buy, with 34 buy, 7 neutral, and 4 sell votes. VST's 14-day RSI is 61.03, which places the stock in a constructive momentum range. VST's beta is 1.43, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in VST?

The largest recent change in VST is Momentum moving up by 2.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Momentum remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
+0.0
Momentum
+2.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
+1.0

What Would Change the VST Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

VST Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Vistra Corp..

Vistra Corp. (VST) Stock Analysis

Vistra Corp. has an AIQ Score of 49/100 in a Neutral regime. Momentum is strongest at 70/100. Beta is 1.38, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextVST is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 49/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that momentum leads at 70/100 while risk lags at 31/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 70/100 · Value 45/100 · Quality 46/100 · Risk 31/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Momentum is the strongest factor at 70/100.

TimingPass

Momentum is 70/100 and RSI (14) is 61.0.

Regime fitWait

VST is in a Neutral regime at 49/100.

Risk controlFail

Risk factor is 31/100 with beta 1.38 and annual volatility 49.88%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: momentum leads at 70/100 while risk lags at 31/100.

AIQ Score
49/100
Price
$156.14
Beta
1.38
RSI (14)
61

VST Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

VST Fundamentals

VST valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$4.02B
Net income
$305M
Free cash flow
$133M
View full VST fundamental analysis

VST Technical Analysis

VST technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Buy
RSI 14
61.03
Price vs SMA-50
+7.36%
View full VST technical analysis

VST Stock Catalysts

Track VST earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 6, 2026
Analyst target
$213.13
News items
5
View VST earnings and stock catalysts

VST Dividend Analysis

VST dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
0.59%
Annual dividend
$0.91
Payout ratio
22.53%
View VST dividend history and analysis

VST Financial Data

VST revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$4.02B
EPS
$0.76
Periods
3
View VST financials

VST Risk Analysis

VST volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
1.43
Risk score
31/100
1Y volatility
49.88%
View VST risk analysis

VST Stock News

VST stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
5
Updated
Oct 22, 2026
Sentiment
—
Read VST stock news

VST vs Utilities Peers

Current peer cohort: VST · WEC · XEL · AEE · AEP. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
VST
Current stock
49/10045/10070/10031/100-0.2749.88%Current
WEC
WEC Energy Group
54/10048/10074/10051/100-0.6616.19%VST vs WEC
XEL
Xcel Energy
51/10048/10074/10051/100-0.4119.02%VST vs XEL
AEE
Ameren
51/10047/10074/10052/100-0.0917.50%VST vs AEE
AEP
American Electric Power
52/10049/10074/10052/1000.319.23%VST vs AEP
Pairwise Compare links: WEC · XEL · AEE · AEPVST vs WECVST vs XELVST vs AEEVST vs AEPCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a VST stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

3 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 22, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
23.05
As of Oct 21, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
12.97%
Current debt / equity
3.63
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$4.02B
Quarter net income
$305M
Quarter free cash flow
$133M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Mixed
RSI 14
61.03
MACD
2.71

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
31/100
Beta
1.38
Annual volatility
49.88%
Max drawdown
-33.14%

VST Stock FAQ

What is VST stock price today?

Vistra Corp.'s current stock price is $156.14. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is VST bullish or bearish right now?

VST's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is VST's market cap?

VST's market cap is $46.56B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is VST's current P/E ratio?

VST's current P/E ratio is 23.05 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is VST's RSI?

VST's 14-day RSI is 61.03 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is VST above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

VST is 7.36% from its 50-day SMA and 1.12% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is VST's next earnings date?

VST's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 6, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does VST pay a dividend?

VST's dividend yield is 0.66% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.