AAON vs AMRC Stock Comparison
AAON currently leads AMRC in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 40 vs 31. The clearest difference is quality, while AMRC has the stronger value profile.
What is the main difference between AAON and AMRC?
AAON leads the current stock comparison as AAON, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
AAON, Inc. vs Ameresco, Inc.
AAON leads
AAON leads by 9 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Risk Resilience, but the lead has narrowed from 21 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors AMRC on target upside.
Competitive: 4 of 6 evidence groups support AAON, and its lead is narrowing.
AAON, Inc.
Ameresco, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors AAON over AMRC, 40 versus 31 as of Oct 22, 2026. AAON's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and risk resilience, while AMRC holds the stronger value profile. AAON also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors AMRC. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor AAON today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the leader's advantage has been narrowing. AAON lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 21 to 9 points over 30 sessions.
Compare AAON, Inc. and Ameresco, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare AAON and AMRC against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality52 vs 17AAON +35
- Risk Resilience46 vs 25AAON +21
- Value40 vs 50AMRC +10
- Momentum24 vs 29AMRC +5
4 of 6 evidence groups favor AAON. AAON’s edge is concentrated in quality and risk resilience; AMRC keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +1, not enough on its own to move the overall score.
New signals
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
Largest factor move: Momentum +1, not enough on its own to move the overall score.
New signals
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
AAON's lead was unchanged in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — AAON and AMRC both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
AAON (AAON, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and risk resilience.
AMRC (Ameresco, Inc.): the counter-case, on value, momentum, valuation.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
AAONAAON on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
AMRCAMRC on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
AMRCAMRC on the peer-relative Value factor, by 10 points.
Momentum
AMRCAMRC on the Momentum factor, by 5 points.
Lower downside
AAONAAON on Risk Resilience, by 21 points.
Analyst upside
AMRCAMRC on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors AAON, analyst targets favor AMRC. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | AAON | AMRC | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +56.9% | +125.6% | AMRC has more room |
| Target dispersion | 0% | +58.1% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 1 | 3 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor AAON. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | AAON | 40 vs 31 |
| Fundamentals | AAONon balance | revenue growth 26.2% vs 28.4%; EPS growth 40.8% vs 151.4%; TTM ROE 17.2% vs 2.5%; gross margin 25.6% vs 16.1%; operating margin 11.1% vs 7% — AAON takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | AMRC | Value 40 vs 50 |
| Technicals | AAON | Price vs 50-day -6.7% vs -12.2%; vs 200-day -24.7% vs -30.4% |
| Risk Resilience | AAON | Risk Resilience 46 vs 25 |
| Analyst expectations | AMRC | Target upside 56.9% vs 125.6% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of AAON and AMRC and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 9 points.
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on AAON.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20AAON lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 21 to 9 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- AAON +9
- 40 vs 31
- 7 sessions ago
- AAON +8
- 40 vs 32
- 30 sessions ago
- AAON +21
- 53 vs 32
- 90 sessions ago
- Level
- 42 vs 42
The lead changed hands 3 times in this window, most recently on Aug 12 when AMRC moved ahead of AAON.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
0 bullish / 6 bearish / 1 neutral
Only AAON
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- 52-Week Low Proximity — bearish, risk, long horizon (0.6%)
1 bullish / 4 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted
Only AMRC
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
Both carry 5 more signals that do not separate them: Death Cross Active, ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode, Beta Spike Warning, Downtrend Structure Active, MACD Bearish Crossover.
AMRC is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.77%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +5.81%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1AMRC closes the Quality gap — currently 35 points behind, the largest single contributor to AAON's edge.
- 2AMRC's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3AAON starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 12 points over 30 sessions, and a further 9-point move would eliminate AAON's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
AAON leads on balance| Metric | AAON | AMRC |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 26.2% | 28.4% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 40.8% | 151.4% |
| Gross margin | 25.6% | 16.1% |
| Operating margin | 11.1% | 7% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 17.2% | 2.5% |
| Debt to equity | 0.46 | 1.5 |
Performance
AAON leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | AAON | AMRC |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -14.2% | -10.2% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -6.7% | -22.6% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -31% | -19.8% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -22.8% | -29.9% |
| Year to date | -3.1% | -33.4% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -26.1% | -56% |
Technicals
AAON has the stronger structure| Metric | AAON | AMRC |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 33.6 | 35.4 |
| ADX (14) | 20.9 | 21.1 |
| Price vs 50-day | -6.7% | -12.2% |
| Price vs 200-day | -24.7% | -30.4% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 51.2% | 49.3% |
Risk
AAON is the more resilient| Metric | AAON | AMRC |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.11 | 3.04 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.22 | -0.83 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.39 | -1.35 |
| Max drawdown | -50.3% | -56.4% |
| Current drawdown | -50.1% | -55.9% |
| Annualized volatility | 61% | 68.5% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -6.4% | -6.5% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, AAON or AMRC?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, AAON is the stronger of the two as of Oct 22, 2026, scoring 40 against AMRC's 31. The edge comes from quality and risk resilience. AMRC is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is AAON or AMRC the better buy right now?
AAON carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 22, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor AAON over AMRC?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. AAON leads Quality by 35 points; AAON leads Risk Resilience by 21 points; AMRC leads Value by 10 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, AAON or AMRC?
Analyst price targets imply +56.9% upside for AAON and +125.6% for AMRC, so the Street currently favors AMRC. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors AAON. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, AAON or AMRC?
AMRC is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. AMRC on the peer-relative Value factor, by 10 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, AAON or AMRC?
AMRC on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, AAON or AMRC?
AMRC on the Momentum factor, by 5 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, AAON or AMRC?
AAON is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. AAON on Risk Resilience, by 21 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is AAON more profitable than AMRC?
AAON leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 25.6% vs 16.1%; operating margin 11.1% vs 7%; ttm roe 17.2% vs 2.5%.
Is AAON's lead over AMRC getting stronger or weaker?
AAON lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 21 to 9 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands 3 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-12, when AMRC moved ahead of AAON.
What would change the AAON vs AMRC verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: AMRC closes the Quality gap — currently 35 points behind, the largest single contributor to AAON's edge; AMRC's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; AAON starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 12 points over 30 sessions, and a further 9-point move would eliminate AAON's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about AAON and AMRC?
AAON: 0 bullish / 6 bearish / 1 neutral. AMRC: 1 bullish / 4 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on AAON is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On AMRC it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare AAON and AMRC with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.