ABEV vs TAL Stock Comparison
Compare ABEV and TAL across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between ABEV and TAL?
ABEV and TAL are close on the current AIQ evidence, so the better fit depends more on objective, risk tolerance and valuation preference than on a single headline score.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Ambev S.A. vs TAL Education Group
ABEV and TAL are effectively level
ABEV and TAL are effectively level on the AIQ Score; the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.
Ambev S.A.
TAL Education Group
The Algovestiq AIQ Score does not currently separate ABEV and TAL as of Sep 11, 2026. Both names are scored on the same 0–100 scale across Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience, and the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.
Compare Ambev S.A. and TAL Education Group across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare ABEV and TAL against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum78 vs 62ABEV +16
- Value43 vs 55TAL +12
- Risk Resilience56 vs 44ABEV +12
- Quality70 vs 78TAL +8
Neither name separates cleanly on the covered dimensions.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum +8
No new signals fired.
ABEV's lead narrowed by 2 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — ABEV and TAL both carry a full feed there.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
EvenNeither separates on the overall score.
Growth
TALTAL on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
TALTAL on the peer-relative Value factor, by 12 points.
Momentum
ABEVABEV on the Momentum factor, by 16 points.
Lower downside
ABEVABEV on Risk Resilience, by 12 points.
Analyst upside
TALTAL on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | ABEV | TAL | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | -1.3% | +15.2% | TAL has more room |
| Target dispersion | +28.5% | 0% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 2 | 1 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
How each independent group of evidence reads the pair.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 62 vs 62 |
| Fundamentals | TALon balance | revenue growth -10.3% vs -6.1%; EPS growth -8.3% vs 64.4%; TTM ROE 18.1% vs 24.6%; gross margin 50.1% vs 56%; operating margin 25.6% vs 12.5% — TAL takes 4 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | TAL | Value 43 vs 55 |
| Technicals | TAL | Price vs 50-day 1% vs 4.8%; vs 200-day 3.9% vs 4.5% |
| Risk Resilience | ABEV | Risk Resilience 56 vs 44 |
| Analyst expectations | TAL | Target upside -1.3% vs 15.2% |
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 0 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 1 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10TAL lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 10 to 0 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- Level
- 62 vs 62
- 7 sessions ago
- TAL +3
- 62 vs 65
- 30 sessions ago
- TAL +10
- 49 vs 59
- 90 sessions ago
- TAL +9
- 50 vs 59
The lead changed hands 7 times in this window, most recently on Sep 8 when ABEV moved ahead of TAL.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
4 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (2.25%)
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
3 bullish / 1 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (2.39%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.66%, AIQ 0 points).
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +2.7%, AIQ +2 points).
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
TAL leads on balance| Metric | ABEV | TAL |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -10.3% | -6.1% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -8.3% | 64.4% |
| Gross margin | 50.1% | 56% |
| Operating margin | 25.6% | 12.5% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 18.1% | 24.6% |
| Debt to equity | 0.03 | 0.1 |
Performance
ABEV leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | ABEV | TAL |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 1.7% | -5.2% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 7.8% | -3.1% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -2.3% | 23.7% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 1.7% | 4.5% |
| Year to date | 23.1% | 5.4% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 38.2% | 10.8% |
Technicals
TAL has the stronger structure| Metric | ABEV | TAL |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 73.3 | 50.5 |
| ADX (14) | 18.7 | 21.6 |
| Price vs 50-day | 1% | 4.8% |
| Price vs 200-day | 3.9% | 4.5% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 19% | 39.7% |
Risk
ABEV is the more resilient| Metric | ABEV | TAL |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.51 | 0.77 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.03 | 0.31 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.74 | 0.58 |
| Max drawdown | -18.9% | -30.7% |
| Current drawdown | -11.4% | -10.9% |
| Annualized volatility | 31.6% | 45.8% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.5% | -3.7% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which has more analyst upside, ABEV or TAL?
Analyst price targets imply -1.3% upside for ABEV and +15.2% for TAL, so the Street currently favors TAL. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, ABEV or TAL?
TAL is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. TAL on the peer-relative Value factor, by 12 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, ABEV or TAL?
TAL on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, ABEV or TAL?
ABEV on the Momentum factor, by 16 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, ABEV or TAL?
ABEV is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. ABEV on Risk Resilience, by 12 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is ABEV more profitable than TAL?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 50.1% vs 56%; operating margin 25.6% vs 12.5%; ttm roe 18.1% vs 24.6%. ABEV leads on one measure and TAL on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
What do the current signals say about ABEV and TAL?
ABEV: 4 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. TAL: 3 bullish / 1 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on ABEV is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On TAL it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare ABEV and TAL with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.