ABNB vs TKO Stock Comparison
ABNB currently leads TKO in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 64 vs 40. The clearest difference is quality, while TKO has the stronger value profile.
What is the main difference between ABNB and TKO?
ABNB leads the current stock comparison as Airbnb, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Airbnb, Inc. vs TKO Group Holdings, Inc.
ABNB leads
ABNB leads by 24 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Momentum, and the lead has widened from 16 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors TKO on target upside.
Competitive: 4 of 6 evidence groups support ABNB, its lead is widening, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Airbnb, Inc.
TKO Group Holdings, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors ABNB over TKO, 64 versus 40 as of Oct 21, 2026. ABNB's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and momentum, while TKO holds the stronger value profile. ABNB also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors TKO. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ABNB today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the leader is throwing conflicting signals. ABNB lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 16 to 24 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Airbnb, Inc. and TKO Group Holdings, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare ABNB and TKO against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality89 vs 39ABNB +50
- Momentum86 vs 43ABNB +43
- Value24 vs 30TKO +6
- Risk Resilience60 vs 55ABNB +5
4 of 6 evidence groups favor ABNB. ABNB’s edge is concentrated in quality and momentum; TKO keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +1, not enough on its own to move the overall score.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 6 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum +6
New signals
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
ABNB's lead narrowed by 2 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — ABNB and TKO both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
ABNB (Airbnb, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and momentum.
TKO (TKO Group Holdings, Inc.): the counter-case, on value, valuation, analyst expectations.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
ABNBABNB on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
ABNBABNB on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
TKOTKO on the peer-relative Value factor, by 6 points.
Momentum
ABNBABNB on the Momentum factor, by 43 points.
Lower downside
ABNBABNB on Risk Resilience, by 5 points.
Analyst upside
TKOTKO on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors ABNB, analyst targets favor TKO. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | ABNB | TKO | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +0.8% | +28.1% | TKO has more room |
| Target dispersion | +54.3% | +13.2% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 23 | 6 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ABNB. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | ABNB | 64 vs 40 |
| Fundamentals | ABNBon balance | revenue growth 34.7% vs -3.1%; EPS growth 4.1% vs 17.2%; TTM ROE 33.4% vs 6.4%; gross margin 82.9% vs 54.1%; operating margin 20.8% vs 20% — ABNB takes 4 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | TKO | Value 24 vs 30 |
| Technicals | ABNB | Price vs 50-day 0.6% vs -4.4%; vs 200-day 21.7% vs -7.6% |
| Risk Resilience | ABNB | Risk Resilience 60 vs 55 |
| Analyst expectations | TKO | Target upside 0.8% vs 28.1% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of ABNB and TKO and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 24 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on ABNB.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20ABNB lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 16 to 24 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- ABNB +24
- 64 vs 40
- 7 sessions ago
- ABNB +27
- 64 vs 37
- 30 sessions ago
- ABNB +16
- 50 vs 34
- 90 sessions ago
- ABNB +18
- 64 vs 46
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
5 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
Only ABNB
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (18.68%)
- Keltner Channel Breakout — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
1 bullish / 3 bearish, conflicted
Only TKO
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (4.43%)
- 52-Week Low Proximity — bearish, risk, long horizon (2.8%)
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
Both carry 1 more signal that do not separate them: MACD Bullish Crossover.
ABNB leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -1.84%, AIQ 0 points).
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 2 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -0.95%, AIQ +2 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1TKO closes the Quality gap — currently 50 points behind, the largest single contributor to ABNB's edge.
- 2TKO's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3ABNB's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 5 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
ABNB leads on balance| Metric | ABNB | TKO |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 34.7% | -3.1% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 4.1% | 17.2% |
| Gross margin | 82.9% | 54.1% |
| Operating margin | 20.8% | 20% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 33.4% | 6.4% |
| Debt to equity | 0.32 | 1.46 |
Performance
ABNB leads 6 of 6 windows| Metric | ABNB | TKO |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 6.9% | 3.3% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 9.4% | -4.9% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 26.3% | -1.1% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 24% | -1.9% |
| Year to date | 30.4% | -14% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 44% | -4.4% |
Technicals
ABNB has the stronger structure| Metric | ABNB | TKO |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 77.2 | 49.9 |
| ADX (14) | 21.1 | 24.1 |
| Price vs 50-day | 0.6% | -4.4% |
| Price vs 200-day | 21.7% | -7.6% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 39% | 25% |
Risk
ABNB is the more resilient| Metric | ABNB | TKO |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.11 | 0.44 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.02 | -0.13 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.66 | -0.21 |
| Max drawdown | -21.5% | -23.4% |
| Current drawdown | -7.1% | -20.1% |
| Annualized volatility | 36% | 31.7% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -3% | -3.1% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, ABNB or TKO?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, ABNB is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 64 against TKO's 40. The edge comes from quality and momentum. TKO is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is ABNB or TKO the better buy right now?
ABNB carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor ABNB over TKO?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. ABNB leads Quality by 50 points; ABNB leads Momentum by 43 points; TKO leads Value by 6 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, ABNB or TKO?
Analyst price targets imply +0.8% upside for ABNB and +28.1% for TKO, so the Street currently favors TKO. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors ABNB. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, ABNB or TKO?
TKO is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. TKO on the peer-relative Value factor, by 6 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, ABNB or TKO?
ABNB on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, ABNB or TKO?
ABNB on the Momentum factor, by 43 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, ABNB or TKO?
ABNB is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. ABNB on Risk Resilience, by 5 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is ABNB more profitable than TKO?
ABNB leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 82.9% vs 54.1%; operating margin 20.8% vs 20%; ttm roe 33.4% vs 6.4%.
Is ABNB's lead over TKO getting stronger or weaker?
ABNB lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 16 to 24 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the ABNB vs TKO verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: TKO closes the Quality gap — currently 50 points behind, the largest single contributor to ABNB's edge; TKO's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; ABNB's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 5 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about ABNB and TKO?
ABNB: 5 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. TKO: 1 bullish / 3 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on ABNB is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On TKO it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare ABNB and TKO with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.