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TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) Stock Analysis

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

TKO Stock Analysis Summary

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) currently has an AIQ Score of 40/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk is the strongest factor at 55/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 30/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data

TKO at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$177.94
AIQ Score40/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusNeutral
Market Cap$13.66B
P/E Ratio (TTM)60.36
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$1.36
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$1.55B
Dividend Yield (TTM)1.71%
Beta0.65
Volume829.39K
52-week range$170.92-$226.94
RSI 1453.14
50-Day SMA$185.81
200-Day SMA$194.27
Analyst Price Target$228.00
Next EarningsNov 4, 2026
As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

TKOTKO Group Holdings, Inc.

Communication Services / Entertainment

Low Priority

Relative Laggard

NeutralEdge 2/10
$177.94−$1.70 (−0.95%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    46
  • Value
    30
  • Quality
    39
  • Risk resilience
    55
  • Sentiment
    —
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 21, 2026

TKO Stock Analysis Summary

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) currently has an AIQ Score of 40/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk resilience is the strongest factor at 55/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 30/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, TKO has AIQ Score of 40/100 with Risk resilience base of 55/100 and fading Value at 30/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Risk resilience (55/100) leads while Value (30/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Communication Services · -0.95% stock move · TKO classified in Entertainment.

Current Evidence

NeutralTKO is in a neutral AIQ regime; Risk resilience is the strongest visible factor at 55/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is TKO Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

TKO currently has a neutral overall setup. Risk Resilience is the strongest factor at 55/100, while Value is weakest at 30/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Analyst target implies +28.13% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 30/100.
  • - Price is -8.40% below its 200-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (21 vs 16).

Current Consensus

TKO's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Neutral, with 16 buy, 8 neutral, and 21 sell votes. TKO's 14-day RSI is 53.14, which places the stock in a neutral momentum range. TKO's beta is 0.65, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
Moderate agreement

What Changed in TKO?

The largest recent change in TKO is Momentum moving up by 23.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Risk Resilience remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
+5.0
Momentum
+23.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
-1.0

What Would Change the TKO Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

TKO Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for TKO Group Holdings, Inc..

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) Stock Analysis

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 40/100 in a Neutral regime. Risk is strongest at 55/100. Beta is 0.69, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextTKO is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 40/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that risk leads at 55/100 while value lags at 30/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 46/100 · Value 30/100 · Quality 39/100 · Risk 55/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthWait

Risk is the strongest factor at 55/100.

TimingWait

Momentum is 46/100 and RSI (14) is 53.1.

Regime fitWait

TKO is in a Neutral regime at 40/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 55/100 with beta 0.69 and annual volatility 31.65%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: risk leads at 55/100 while value lags at 30/100.

AIQ Score
40/100
Price
$177.94
Beta
0.69
RSI (14)
53.1

TKO Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

TKO Fundamentals

TKO valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$1.55B
Net income
$101.58M
Free cash flow
$349.45M
View full TKO fundamental analysis

TKO Technical Analysis

TKO technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Neutral
RSI 14
53.14
Price vs SMA-50
-4.24%
View full TKO technical analysis

TKO Stock Catalysts

Track TKO earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 4, 2026
Analyst target
$228.00
News items
0
View TKO earnings and stock catalysts

TKO Dividend Analysis

TKO dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
1.76%
Annual dividend
$3.14
Payout ratio
230.57%
View TKO dividend history and analysis

TKO Financial Data

TKO revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$1.55B
EPS
$1.36
Periods
3
View TKO financials

TKO Risk Analysis

TKO volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.65
Risk score
55/100
1Y volatility
31.65%
View TKO risk analysis

TKO Stock News

TKO stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
0
Updated
—
Sentiment
—
Read TKO stock news

TKO vs Hotels, Travel & Leisure Peers

Current peer cohort: TKO · WH · WYNN · ABNB · CCL. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
TKO
Current stock
40/10030/10046/10055/100-0.1231.65%Current
WH
Wyndham Hotels
62/10044/10081/10050/100030.59%TKO vs WH
WYNN
Wynn Resorts
44/10046/10040/10044/100-1.4631.99%TKO vs WYNN
ABNB
Airbnb
65/10024/10085/10065/1000.9336.06%TKO vs ABNB
CCL
Carnival Corporation
53/10063/10077/10019/1000.0549.65%TKO vs CCL
Pairwise Compare links: WH · WYNN · ABNB · CCLTKO vs WHTKO vs WYNNTKO vs ABNBTKO vs CCLCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a TKO stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

3 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 22, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
60.36
As of Oct 21, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
54.08%
Current debt / equity
1.46
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$1.55B
Quarter net income
$101.58M
Quarter free cash flow
$349.45M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bearish
Momentum
Mixed
RSI 14
53.14
MACD
-2.66

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
55/100
Beta
0.69
Annual volatility
31.65%
Max drawdown
-23.37%

TKO Stock FAQ

What is TKO stock price today?

TKO Group Holdings, Inc.'s current stock price is $177.94. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is TKO bullish or bearish right now?

TKO's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is TKO's market cap?

TKO's market cap is $13.66B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is TKO's current P/E ratio?

TKO's current P/E ratio is 60.36 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is TKO's RSI?

TKO's 14-day RSI is 53.14 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is TKO above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

TKO is -4.24% from its 50-day SMA and -8.40% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is TKO's next earnings date?

TKO's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 4, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does TKO pay a dividend?

TKO's dividend yield is 1.71% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.