ADT vs VRSK Stock Comparison
Compare ADT and VRSK across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between ADT and VRSK?
ADT leads the current stock comparison as ADT Inc., with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
ADT Inc. vs Verisk Analytics, Inc.
ADT leads
ADT leads by 4 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Risk Resilience, but the lead has narrowed from 10 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors VRSK on target upside.
Fragile: 4 of 6 evidence groups support ADT, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.
ADT Inc.
Verisk Analytics, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors ADT over VRSK, 49 versus 45 as of Sep 11, 2026. ADT's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and risk resilience, while VRSK holds the stronger quality profile. ADT also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors VRSK. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ADT today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. ADT lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 10 to 4 points over 30 sessions.
Compare ADT Inc. and Verisk Analytics, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare ADT and VRSK against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value73 vs 50ADT +23
- Quality40 vs 60VRSK +20
- Risk Resilience55 vs 39ADT +16
- Momentum26 vs 24Even
4 of 6 evidence groups favor ADT. ADT’s edge is concentrated in value and risk resilience; VRSK keeps a meaningful quality edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum -1
New signals
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
Largest factor move: Momentum -5
No new signals fired.
ADT's lead widened by 1 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — ADT and VRSK both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
ADT (ADT Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and risk resilience.
VRSK (Verisk Analytics, Inc.): the counter-case, on quality, fundamentals, analyst expectations — but at materially higher volatility, 37.4% against 26.3%.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
ADTADT on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
VRSKVRSK on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
ADTADT on the peer-relative Value factor, by 23 points.
Momentum
EvenThe two are level on Momentum.
Lower downside
ADTADT on Risk Resilience, by 16 points.
Analyst upside
VRSKVRSK on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors ADT, analyst targets favor VRSK. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | ADT | VRSK | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +8.1% | +30.2% | VRSK has more room |
| Target dispersion | +3.3% | +27.5% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 2 | 6 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ADT. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | ADT | 49 vs 45 |
| Fundamentals | VRSKon balance | revenue growth 2.6% vs 3%; EPS growth -4.8% vs 1.2%; TTM ROE 16.8% vs -212%; gross margin 51.4% vs 67.7%; operating margin 25% vs 44.7% — VRSK takes 3 of 4 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | ADT | Value 73 vs 50 |
| Technicals | ADT | Price vs 50-day -2.5% vs -7.4%; vs 200-day -4.2% vs -9.3% |
| Risk Resilience | ADT | Risk Resilience 55 vs 39 |
| Analyst expectations | VRSK | Target upside 8.1% vs 30.2% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of ADT and VRSK and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on ADT.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10ADT lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 10 to 4 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- ADT +4
- 49 vs 45
- 7 sessions ago
- ADT +9
- 62 vs 53
- 30 sessions ago
- ADT +10
- 56 vs 46
- 90 sessions ago
- VRSK +1
- 57 vs 58
The lead changed hands 6 times in this window, most recently on Sep 2 when ADT moved ahead of VRSK.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 4 bearish, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (1.18%)
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
0 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (1.86%)
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (3.77%)
ADT leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.57%, AIQ 0 points).
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +0.19%, AIQ -1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1VRSK closes the Value gap — currently 23 points behind, the largest single contributor to ADT's edge.
- 2VRSK's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3ADT's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 4 bearish rules at once.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 6 points over 30 sessions, and a further 4-point move would eliminate ADT's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
VRSK leads on balance| Metric | ADT | VRSK |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 2.6% | 3% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -4.8% | 1.2% |
| Gross margin | 51.4% | 67.7% |
| Operating margin | 25% | 44.7% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 16.8% | -212% |
| Debt to equity | 2.21 | -3.88 |
Performance
ADT leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | ADT | VRSK |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -6.4% | -6.5% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -4.1% | -2.5% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 4.6% | -4% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 6.9% | -13.4% |
| Year to date | -13.1% | -21.4% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -18.7% | -35.6% |
Technicals
ADT has the stronger structure| Metric | ADT | VRSK |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 31.6 | 34.8 |
| ADX (14) | 19.7 | 16 |
| Price vs 50-day | -2.5% | -7.4% |
| Price vs 200-day | -4.2% | -9.3% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 26.3% | 37.4% |
Risk
ADT is the more resilient| Metric | ADT | VRSK |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.8 | -0.34 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.72 | -1.14 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.83 | -1.5 |
| Max drawdown | -28.8% | -41.6% |
| Current drawdown | -20.8% | -34.5% |
| Annualized volatility | 28.2% | 35.3% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.8% | -3.3% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, ADT or VRSK?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, ADT is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 49 against VRSK's 45. The edge comes from value and risk resilience. VRSK is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is ADT or VRSK the better buy right now?
ADT carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor ADT over VRSK?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. ADT leads Value by 23 points; VRSK leads Quality by 20 points; ADT leads Risk Resilience by 16 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, ADT or VRSK?
Analyst price targets imply +8.1% upside for ADT and +30.2% for VRSK, so the Street currently favors VRSK. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors ADT. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, ADT or VRSK?
ADT is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. ADT on the peer-relative Value factor, by 23 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, ADT or VRSK?
VRSK on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, ADT or VRSK?
The two are level on Momentum. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, ADT or VRSK?
ADT is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. ADT on Risk Resilience, by 16 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is ADT more profitable than VRSK?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 51.4% vs 67.7%; operating margin 25% vs 44.7%; ttm roe 16.8% vs -212%. ADT leads on one measure and VRSK on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is ADT's lead over VRSK getting stronger or weaker?
ADT lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 10 to 4 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands 6 times in that window, most recently on 2026-09-02, when ADT moved ahead of VRSK.
What would change the ADT vs VRSK verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: VRSK closes the Value gap — currently 23 points behind, the largest single contributor to ADT's edge; VRSK's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; ADT's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 4 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 6 points over 30 sessions, and a further 4-point move would eliminate ADT's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about ADT and VRSK?
ADT: 1 bullish / 4 bearish, conflicted. VRSK: 0 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on ADT is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On VRSK it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare ADT and VRSK with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.