AMCR vs IP Stock Comparison
AMCR currently leads IP in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 56 vs 49. The clearest difference is momentum.
What is the main difference between AMCR and IP?
AMCR leads the current stock comparison as Amcor plc, with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Amcor plc vs International Paper Company
AMCR leads
AMCR leads by 7 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum, and the lead has widened from 0 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors IP on target upside.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support AMCR, its lead is widening, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Amcor plc
International Paper Company
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors AMCR over IP, 56 versus 49 as of Oct 21, 2026. AMCR's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum. AMCR also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors IP. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor AMCR today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. AMCR lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 0 to 7 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Amcor plc and International Paper Company across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare AMCR and IP against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum80 vs 47AMCR +33
- Quality29 vs 32Even
- Risk Resilience58 vs 56Even
- Value63 vs 64Even
3 of 6 evidence groups favor AMCR. AMCR’s edge is concentrated in momentum.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +17
New signals
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- Keltner Channel Breakout — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
Largest factor move: Momentum +1, not enough on its own to move the overall score.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 4 active signals are unchanged.
AMCR's lead widened by 4 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — AMCR and IP both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
AMCR (Amcor plc): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum.
IP (International Paper Company): the counter-case, on analyst expectations — but at materially higher volatility, 31.5% against 19.3%.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
AMCRAMCR on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
AMCRAMCR on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
EvenThe two are level on Value.
Momentum
AMCRAMCR on the Momentum factor, by 33 points.
Lower downside
AMCRAMCR carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility.
Analyst upside
IPIP on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors AMCR, analyst targets favor IP. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | AMCR | IP | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +4.2% | +38.7% | IP has more room |
| Target dispersion | +31.8% | +55.7% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 5 | 7 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Dividend growth
| Dividend metric | AMCR | IP |
|---|---|---|
| 5Y dividend CAGR | 2.07% | -2.03% |
| 2020 regular DPS | $2.313 | $2.050 |
| 2025 regular DPS | $2.563 | $1.850 |
| Years increased | 5 | 0 |
| No cut in window | Yes | No (4) |
| Cohort rank | #326 | not ranked |
AMCR grew its split-adjusted regular dividend faster over 2020–2025 — 2.07% a year against IP's -2.03%. AMCR never reduced its regular dividend in the window; IP did in 4 years.
Yield and payout ratio shown elsewhere on this page are current values, not part of the study window.
Split-adjusted regular dividends per share, 2020–2025, excluding special dividends. Research as of Sep 19, 2026.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor AMCR. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | AMCR | 56 vs 49 |
| Fundamentals | AMCRon balance | EPS growth 40% vs -118.2%; TTM ROE 9.5% vs -22.4%; gross margin 20% vs 27.7%; operating margin 8.1% vs -11.5% — AMCR takes 3 of 4 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | Even | Value 63 vs 64 |
| Technicals | AMCR | Price vs 50-day 2.7% vs -6.6%; vs 200-day 4.4% vs -10.4% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 58 vs 56 |
| Analyst expectations | IP | Target upside 4.2% vs 38.7% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of AMCR and IP and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 7 points.
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on AMCR.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20AMCR lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 0 to 7 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- AMCR +7
- 56 vs 49
- 7 sessions ago
- AMCR +5
- 51 vs 46
- 30 sessions ago
- Level
- 45 vs 45
- 90 sessions ago
- Level
- 47 vs 47
The lead changed hands 6 times in this window, most recently on Oct 12 when IP moved ahead of AMCR.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
5 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only AMCR
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (2.86%)
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- Keltner Channel Breakout — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only IP
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (4.49%)
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
Both carry 2 more signals that do not separate them: Bollinger Band Squeeze, MACD Bullish Crossover.
AMCR leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +1.21%, AIQ +4 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.18%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1IP closes the Momentum gap — currently 33 points behind, the largest single contributor to AMCR's edge.
- 2IP's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3AMCR's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 5 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
AMCR leads on balance| Metric | AMCR | IP |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 8.2% | 0.6% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 40% | -118.2% |
| Gross margin | 20% | 27.7% |
| Operating margin | 8.1% | -11.5% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 9.5% | -22.4% |
| Debt to equity | 1.28 | 0.67 |
Performance
AMCR leads 6 of 6 windows| Metric | AMCR | IP |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 7.1% | 5.9% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 3.4% | -5.7% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 3.5% | -11.6% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 8.8% | -4.9% |
| Year to date | 7.3% | -14.5% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 9.9% | -27.8% |
Technicals
AMCR has the stronger structure| Metric | AMCR | IP |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 77.8 | 55.1 |
| ADX (14) | 25.8 | 27.1 |
| Price vs 50-day | 2.7% | -6.6% |
| Price vs 200-day | 4.4% | -10.4% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 19.3% | 31.5% |
Risk
Split| Metric | AMCR | IP |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.86 | 1.26 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.33 | -0.59 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.56 | -0.85 |
| Max drawdown | -27.5% | -40.3% |
| Current drawdown | -11.6% | -31.5% |
| Annualized volatility | 31.7% | 44.9% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.7% | -4.3% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, AMCR or IP?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, AMCR is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 56 against IP's 49. The edge comes from momentum. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is AMCR or IP the better buy right now?
AMCR carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor AMCR over IP?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. AMCR leads Momentum by 33 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, AMCR or IP?
Analyst price targets imply +4.2% upside for AMCR and +38.7% for IP, so the Street currently favors IP. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors AMCR. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, AMCR or IP?
Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, AMCR or IP?
AMCR on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, AMCR or IP?
AMCR on the Momentum factor, by 33 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, AMCR or IP?
AMCR is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. AMCR carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is AMCR more profitable than IP?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 20% vs 27.7%; operating margin 8.1% vs -11.5%; ttm roe 9.5% vs -22.4%. AMCR leads on two measures and IP on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is AMCR's lead over IP getting stronger or weaker?
AMCR lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 0 to 7 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands 6 times in that window, most recently on 2026-10-12, when IP moved ahead of AMCR.
What would change the AMCR vs IP verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: IP closes the Momentum gap — currently 33 points behind, the largest single contributor to AMCR's edge; IP's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; AMCR's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 5 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about AMCR and IP?
AMCR: 5 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. IP: 1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on AMCR is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On IP it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare AMCR and IP with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.