AR vs BTE Stock Comparison
Compare AR and BTE across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between AR and BTE?
AR leads the current stock comparison as Antero Resources Corporation, with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Antero Resources Corporation vs Baytex Energy Corp.
AR leads
AR leads by 5 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Value, but the lead has narrowed from 9 points over 30 sessions.
Fragile: 2 of 5 evidence groups support AR, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Antero Resources Corporation
Baytex Energy Corp.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors AR over BTE, 52 versus 47 as of Sep 6, 2026. AR's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and value, while BTE holds the stronger risk resilience profile. AR also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 2 of 5 covered evidence groups favor AR today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 5 points. AR lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 9 to 5 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Antero Resources Corporation and Baytex Energy Corp. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare AR and BTE against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Risk Resilience15%41 vs 63BTE +22
- Quality30%47 vs 31AR +16
- Value30%41 vs 34AR +7
- Momentum25%79 vs 72AR +7
2 of 5 evidence groups favor AR. AR’s edge is concentrated in quality and value; BTE keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-05, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-04.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
AR's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — AR and BTE both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
AR (Antero Resources Corporation): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and value.
BTE (Baytex Energy Corp.): the counter-case, on risk resilience, fundamentals, technicals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
ARAR on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
BTEBTE on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
ARAR on the peer-relative Value factor, by 7 points.
Momentum
ARAR on the Momentum factor, by 7 points.
Lower downside
BTEBTE on Risk Resilience, by 22 points.
Analyst upside
EvenAnalyst targets are level or not covered for both names.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | AR | BTE | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +30.9% | — | Level |
| Target dispersion | +36.8% | — | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 12 | 11 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
2 of 5 covered evidence groups favor AR. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | AR | 52 vs 47 |
| Fundamentals | BTEon balance | revenue growth -28.2% vs 36.6%; EPS growth -48% vs 3.7%; TTM ROE 13.9% vs -26.4%; gross margin 26% vs 4.7%; operating margin 21% vs 51.1% — BTE takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | AR | Value 41 vs 34 |
| Technicals | BTE | Price vs 50-day 9.5% vs 11.4%; vs 200-day 8.6% vs 19.7% |
| Risk Resilience | BTE | Risk Resilience 41 vs 63 |
| Analyst expectations | Not covered | Not covered |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of AR and BTE and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 5 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 2 of 5 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on AR.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 24 – Sep 5AR lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 9 to 5 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- AR +5
- 52 vs 47
- 7 sessions ago
- AR +5
- 53 vs 48
- 30 sessions ago
- AR +9
- 54 vs 45
- 90 sessions ago
- AR +12
- 48 vs 36
The lead changed hands once in this window, most recently on Apr 29 when AR moved ahead of BTE.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (0.75%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
4 bullish / 0 bearish
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (7.40%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
AR leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.71%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -1.82%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1BTE closes the Quality gap — currently 16 points behind, the largest single contributor to AR's edge.
- 2BTE's existing bullish trend signals translate into factor-score gains — the rules are already firing, but the scores have not yet followed.
- 3AR's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 4 points over 30 sessions, and a further 5-point move would eliminate AR's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
BTE leads on balance| Metric | AR | BTE |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -28.2% | 36.6% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -48% | 3.7% |
| Gross margin | 26% | 4.7% |
| Operating margin | 21% | 51.1% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 13.9% | -26.4% |
| Debt to equity | 0.55 | 0.07 |
Performance
BTE leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | AR | BTE |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 13.5% | 16.3% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 10.8% | 2.1% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 1.5% | 23% |
| Year to date | 14.4% | 50.5% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 24% | 116% |
Technicals
BTE has the stronger structure| Metric | AR | BTE |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 83 | 61.8 |
| ADX (14) | 23.8 | 21.5 |
| Price vs 50-day | 9.5% | 11.4% |
| Price vs 200-day | 8.6% | 19.7% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 31.8% | 35.7% |
Risk
BTE is the more resilient| Metric | AR | BTE |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.16 | -0.11 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.95 | 2.97 |
| Max drawdown | -26.4% | -27.6% |
| Current drawdown | -12.7% | -8.7% |
| Annualized volatility | 37.4% | 46.4% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -4% | -4.4% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, AR or BTE?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, AR is the stronger of the two as of Sep 6, 2026, scoring 52 against BTE's 47. The edge comes from quality and value. BTE is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is AR or BTE the better buy right now?
AR carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 6, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 2 of 5 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 5 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor AR over BTE?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. BTE leads Risk Resilience by 22 points; AR leads Quality by 16 points; AR leads Value by 7 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, AR or BTE?
Analyst price targets imply +30.9% upside for AR and not covered for BTE. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, AR or BTE?
AR is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. AR on the peer-relative Value factor, by 7 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, AR or BTE?
BTE on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, AR or BTE?
AR on the Momentum factor, by 7 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, AR or BTE?
BTE is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. BTE on Risk Resilience, by 22 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is AR more profitable than BTE?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 26% vs 4.7%; operating margin 21% vs 51.1%; ttm roe 13.9% vs -26.4%. AR leads on two measures and BTE on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is AR's lead over BTE getting stronger or weaker?
AR lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 9 to 5 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-24 and 2026-09-05. The lead has changed hands once in that window, most recently on 2026-04-29, when AR moved ahead of BTE.
What would change the AR vs BTE verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: BTE closes the Quality gap — currently 16 points behind, the largest single contributor to AR's edge; BTE's existing bullish trend signals translate into factor-score gains — the rules are already firing, but the scores have not yet followed; AR's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 4 points over 30 sessions, and a further 5-point move would eliminate AR's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about AR and BTE?
AR: 2 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. BTE: 4 bullish / 0 bearish. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on AR is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On BTE it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare AR and BTE with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.