ARCH vs PBR Stock Comparison

Compare ARCH and PBR across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.

Market data as of Sep 11, 2026 market close· AIQ score gap 2 points
ARCH
Energy
vs
PBR
Energy
ARCH
Arch Resources, Inc.
Leads
Price
$135
Day move
-
AIQ Score
69/100
Best edge
Risk Resilience
Sector
Energy
PBR
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras
Price
$21.20
Day move
-0.84%
AIQ Score
67/100
Best edge
Value
Sector
Energy

What is the main difference between ARCH and PBR?

ARCH leads the current stock comparison as Arch Resources, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from risk resilience and the broader AIQ evidence mix.

AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison

Arch Resources, Inc. vs Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras

Data as of Sep 11, 2026· market close· Energy· Coverage 53/66 fields· Moderate confidence
AIQ VerdictFragileAIQ Comparison Conviction 2/10

ARCH leads

ARCH leads by 2 AIQ points, primarily on Risk Resilience, but the lead has narrowed from 17 points over 30 sessions.

Fragile: 2 of 5 evidence groups support ARCH, and its lead is narrowing.

Evidence agreement: 2 of 5Comparison trend: Weakening
ARCH

Arch Resources, Inc.

Leads
AIQ Score
69/100
AIQ Edge Score
10/10
PBR

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras

AIQ Score
67/100
AIQ Edge Score
10/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors ARCH over PBR, 69 versus 67 as of Sep 11, 2026. ARCH's advantage is driven primarily by stronger risk resilience, while PBR holds the stronger value profile. 2 of 5 covered evidence groups favor ARCH today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. ARCH lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 17 to 3 points over 30 sessions.

Compare Arch Resources, Inc. and Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.

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AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

ARCH advantage
0
PBR advantage
  • Risk Resilience85 vs 34
    ARCH +51
  • Value59 vs 70
    PBR +11
  • Quality70 vs 72
    Even

2 of 5 evidence groups favor ARCH. ARCH’s edge is concentrated in risk resilience; PBR keeps a meaningful value edge.

What changed since the last close

Latest scored session 2026-09-05, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-04.

ARCH0 AIQ

No factor moved materially.

No new signals fired.

PBR0 AIQ

No factor moved materially.

New signals

  • 52-Week High Proximity bullish, risk, long horizon (2.9%)

ARCH's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.

Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — ARCH and PBR both carry a full feed there.

The central trade-off

ARCH (Arch Resources, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by risk resilience.

PBR (Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras): the counter-case, on value, fundamentals, valuation.

Which one fits your objective

The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.

Balanced

ARCH

ARCH on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.

Growth

PBR

PBR on combined revenue and EPS growth.

Value

PBR

PBR on the peer-relative Value factor, by 11 points.

Momentum

Even

The two are level on Momentum.

Lower downside

ARCH

ARCH on Risk Resilience, by 51 points.

Analyst upside

ARCH

ARCH on implied upside to the consensus price target.

AIQ vs Wall Street

Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.

MeasureARCHPBRNote
Implied upside to target+18.7%+0.2%ARCH has more room
Target dispersion0%+23.5%Lower is tighter analyst agreement
ConsensusBuyBuyContext, not a primary driver
Analysts covering13Higher coverage generally improves confidence

Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

2 of 5 covered evidence groups favor ARCH. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreEven69 vs 67
FundamentalsPBRon balancerevenue growth 1.5% vs 42.8%; EPS growth -141.5% vs 68.8%; TTM ROE 32.6% vs 30.9%; gross margin 20.9% vs 49.2%; operating margin 17.4% vs 32.8% — PBR takes 4 of 5 decided legs, not all of them
ValuationPBRValue 59 vs 70
TechnicalsNot coveredNot covered
Risk ResilienceARCHRisk Resilience 85 vs 34
Analyst expectationsARCHTarget upside 18.7% vs 0.2%

✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of ARCH and PBR and are excluded from the count.

AIQ Decision Stability

Fragile

The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.

  • The AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • Only 2 of 5 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)

Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on ARCH.

How the comparison changed

114 daily snapshots · May 4 Sep 5

ARCH lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 17 to 3 points over 30 sessions.

May 4ARCH leads above the line · PBR leads belowSep 5
Today
ARCH +3
69 vs 66
7 sessions ago
ARCH +13
77 vs 64
30 sessions ago
ARCH +17
77 vs 60
90 sessions ago
ARCH +23
77 vs 54

The lead has not changed hands in this window.

AIQ Signal Divergence

Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.

ARCH

No active signals

PBR

6 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (7.37%)
  • Bollinger Band Squeeze neutral, volatility, short horizon
  • Keltner Channel Breakout bullish, volatility, short horizon

Price vs model alignment

Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.

PBRNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.84%, AIQ 0 points).

What would flip this result

A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.

  1. 1PBR closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 51 points behind, the largest single contributor to ARCH's edge.
  2. 2PBR's Bollinger Band Squeeze turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend.
  3. 3ARCH starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
  4. 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 14 points over 30 sessions, and a further 2-point move would eliminate ARCH's advantage entirely.

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Fundamentals

PBR leads on balance
MetricARCHPBR
Revenue growth (YoY)1.5%42.8%
EPS growth (YoY)-141.5%68.8%
Gross margin20.9%49.2%
Operating margin17.4%32.8%
Return on equity (TTM)32.6%30.9%
Debt to equity0.10.76

Performance

Split across windows
MetricARCHPBR
1 week (5 sessions)2.5%
1 month (20 sessions)20.4%
3 months (63 sessions)18.1%
6 months (126 sessions)12.6%
Year to date80.4%
1 year (252 sessions)72.8%

Technicals

Split
MetricARCHPBR
RSI (14)67.9
ADX (14)25.3
Price vs 50-day14.8%
Price vs 200-day24.3%
Volatility (1M, annualized)37.8%

Risk

ARCH is the more resilient
MetricARCHPBR
Beta-0.19
Sharpe ratio1.7
Sortino ratio2.71
Max drawdown-27.4%
Current drawdown-3%
Annualized volatility33.4%
Value at risk (95%)-3.3%

Straight answers

Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.

Which is better, ARCH or PBR?

On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, ARCH is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 69 against PBR's 67. The edge comes from risk resilience. PBR is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.

Is ARCH or PBR the better buy right now?

ARCH carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 2 of 5 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. Treat the lead as provisional.

Why does the AIQ Score favor ARCH over PBR?

The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. ARCH leads Risk Resilience by 51 points; PBR leads Value by 11 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.

Which has more analyst upside, ARCH or PBR?

Analyst price targets imply +18.7% upside for ARCH and +0.2% for PBR, so the Street currently favors ARCH. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

Which is better value, ARCH or PBR?

PBR is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. PBR on the peer-relative Value factor, by 11 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.

Which has stronger growth, ARCH or PBR?

PBR on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.

Which has stronger momentum, ARCH or PBR?

The two are level on Momentum. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.

Which is riskier, ARCH or PBR?

ARCH is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. ARCH on Risk Resilience, by 51 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.

Is ARCH more profitable than PBR?

The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 20.9% vs 49.2%; operating margin 17.4% vs 32.8%; ttm roe 32.6% vs 30.9%. ARCH leads on one measure and PBR on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.

Is ARCH's lead over PBR getting stronger or weaker?

ARCH lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 17 to 3 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 114 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-05. The lead has not changed hands in that window.

What would change the ARCH vs PBR verdict?

The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: PBR closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 51 points behind, the largest single contributor to ARCH's edge; PBR's Bollinger Band Squeeze turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend; ARCH starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 14 points over 30 sessions, and a further 2-point move would eliminate ARCH's advantage entirely.

What do the current signals say about ARCH and PBR?

ARCH: No active signals. PBR: 6 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral. On PBR it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).

Compare ARCH and PBR with others

Continue your research

This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.