ARQQ vs SPIR Stock Comparison
Compare ARQQ and SPIR across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between ARQQ and SPIR?
ARQQ leads the current stock comparison as Arqit Quantum Inc., with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Arqit Quantum Inc. vs Spire Global, Inc.
ARQQ leads
ARQQ leads by 5 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Risk Resilience, having only recently taken the lead back from SPIR.
Fragile: 4 of 6 evidence groups support ARQQ, the lead recently changed hands, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Arqit Quantum Inc.
Spire Global, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors ARQQ over SPIR, 41 versus 36 as of Sep 11, 2026. ARQQ's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and risk resilience, while SPIR holds the stronger quality profile. ARQQ also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ARQQ today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 5 points. ARQQ lead: Reversed — SPIR led by 12 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; ARQQ now leads by 5.
Compare Arqit Quantum Inc. and Spire Global, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare ARQQ and SPIR against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum60 vs 24ARQQ +36
- Quality33 vs 46SPIR +13
- Risk Resilience39 vs 35ARQQ +4
- Value34 vs 36Even
4 of 6 evidence groups favor ARQQ. ARQQ’s edge is concentrated in momentum and risk resilience; SPIR keeps a meaningful quality edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum -2
New signals
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
Largest factor move: Risk Resilience +1
New signals
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (0.96%)
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
ARQQ's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — ARQQ and SPIR both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
ARQQ (Arqit Quantum Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and risk resilience.
SPIR (Spire Global, Inc.): the counter-case, on quality, fundamentals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
ARQQARQQ on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
SPIRSPIR on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
EvenThe two are level on Value.
Momentum
ARQQARQQ on the Momentum factor, by 36 points.
Lower downside
ARQQARQQ on Risk Resilience, by 4 points.
Analyst upside
ARQQARQQ on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | ARQQ | SPIR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +199.3% | +81.7% | ARQQ has more room |
| Target dispersion | 0% | +43.4% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 1 | 3 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ARQQ. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | ARQQ | 41 vs 36 |
| Fundamentals | SPIRon balance | revenue growth 34.6% vs 14%; EPS growth -67.2% vs 33.3%; TTM ROE -183.7% vs -75.2%; gross margin 9.3% vs 37.7%; operating margin -48.6% vs -125.6% — SPIR takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | Even | Value 34 vs 36 |
| Technicals | ARQQ | Price vs 50-day -1.7% vs -14.6%; vs 200-day 5.9% vs -16.4% |
| Risk Resilience | ARQQ | Risk Resilience 39 vs 35 |
| Analyst expectations | ARQQ | Target upside 199.3% vs 81.7% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of ARQQ and SPIR and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 5 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has swung materially session to session. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on ARQQ.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10ARQQ lead: Reversed — SPIR led by 12 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; ARQQ now leads by 5.
- Today
- ARQQ +5
- 41 vs 36
- 7 sessions ago
- ARQQ +2
- 38 vs 36
- 30 sessions ago
- SPIR +12
- 44 vs 56
- 90 sessions ago
- SPIR +11
- 40 vs 51
The lead changed hands once in this window, most recently on Sep 4 when ARQQ moved ahead of SPIR.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 1 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (4.90%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
1 bullish / 4 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (0.96%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
ARQQ leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -2.58%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.24%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1SPIR closes the Momentum gap — currently 36 points behind, the largest single contributor to ARQQ's edge.
- 2SPIR's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3ARQQ's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
SPIR leads on balance| Metric | ARQQ | SPIR |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 34.6% | 14% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -67.2% | 33.3% |
| Gross margin | 9.3% | 37.7% |
| Operating margin | -48.6% | -125.6% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | -183.7% | -75.2% |
| Debt to equity | 0.08 | 0.05 |
Performance
ARQQ leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | ARQQ | SPIR |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 0.2% | -5.3% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -13.2% | -23.5% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 57.2% | -31.1% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 39.5% | 2.3% |
| Year to date | -5.9% | 50.4% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -22.7% | 25.9% |
Technicals
ARQQ has the stronger structure| Metric | ARQQ | SPIR |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 48.4 | 20 |
| ADX (14) | 13.5 | 25.9 |
| Price vs 50-day | -1.7% | -14.6% |
| Price vs 200-day | 5.9% | -16.4% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 72.1% | 48.8% |
Risk
ARQQ is the more resilient| Metric | ARQQ | SPIR |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 4.07 | 3.49 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.26 | 0.7 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.48 | 1.14 |
| Max drawdown | -79.8% | -58.6% |
| Current drawdown | -64.7% | -55.7% |
| Annualized volatility | 116% | 104.2% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -9.9% | -9.2% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, ARQQ or SPIR?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, ARQQ is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 41 against SPIR's 36. The edge comes from momentum and risk resilience. SPIR is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is ARQQ or SPIR the better buy right now?
ARQQ carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 5 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor ARQQ over SPIR?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. ARQQ leads Momentum by 36 points; SPIR leads Quality by 13 points; ARQQ leads Risk Resilience by 4 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, ARQQ or SPIR?
Analyst price targets imply +199.3% upside for ARQQ and +81.7% for SPIR, so the Street currently favors ARQQ. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, ARQQ or SPIR?
Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, ARQQ or SPIR?
SPIR on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, ARQQ or SPIR?
ARQQ on the Momentum factor, by 36 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, ARQQ or SPIR?
ARQQ is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. ARQQ on Risk Resilience, by 4 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is ARQQ more profitable than SPIR?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 9.3% vs 37.7%; operating margin -48.6% vs -125.6%; ttm roe -183.7% vs -75.2%. ARQQ leads on one measure and SPIR on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is ARQQ's lead over SPIR getting stronger or weaker?
ARQQ lead: Reversed — SPIR led by 12 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; ARQQ now leads by 5. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands once in that window, most recently on 2026-09-04, when ARQQ moved ahead of SPIR.
What would change the ARQQ vs SPIR verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: SPIR closes the Momentum gap — currently 36 points behind, the largest single contributor to ARQQ's edge; SPIR's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; ARQQ's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about ARQQ and SPIR?
ARQQ: 2 bullish / 1 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted. SPIR: 1 bullish / 4 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on ARQQ is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On SPIR it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare ARQQ and SPIR with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.