ATI vs VSEC Stock Comparison

Compare ATI and VSEC across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.

Market data as of Sep 11, 2026 market close· AIQ score gap 6 points
ATI
Industrials
vs
VSEC
Industrials
ATI
ATI Inc.
Leads
Price
$199
Day move
-0.12%
AIQ Score
40/100
Best edge
Quality
Sector
Industrials
VSEC
VSE Corporation
Price
$195
Day move
+1.21%
AIQ Score
34/100
Best edge
Value
Sector
Industrials

What is the main difference between ATI and VSEC?

ATI leads the current stock comparison as ATI Inc., with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.

AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison

ATI Inc. vs VSE Corporation

Data as of Sep 11, 2026· market close· Industrials· Coverage 66/66 fields· High confidence
AIQ VerdictCompetitiveAIQ Comparison Conviction 5/10

ATI leads

ATI leads by 6 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Momentum, and the lead has widened from 3 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors VSEC on target upside.

Competitive: 4 of 6 evidence groups support ATI, its lead is widening, and its current signal state is conflicted.

Evidence agreement: 4 of 6Comparison trend: Strengthening
ATI

ATI Inc.

Leads
AIQ Score
40/100
AIQ Edge Score
3/10
VSEC

VSE Corporation

AIQ Score
34/100
AIQ Edge Score
2/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors ATI over VSEC, 40 versus 34 as of Sep 11, 2026. ATI's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and momentum, while VSEC holds the stronger value profile. ATI also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors VSEC. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ATI today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the leader is throwing conflicting signals. ATI lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 3 to 6 points over 30 sessions.

Compare ATI Inc. and VSE Corporation across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.

Currently unavailable

Performance over time

Price-return comparison using available daily close history.

ATI
+1026.8%
VSEC
+301.8%

Total return comparison

Growth of $10,000

ATI $112,684 · VSEC $40,175

Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.

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AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

ATI advantage
0
VSEC advantage
  • Quality50 vs 35
    ATI +15
  • Momentum33 vs 19
    ATI +14
  • Risk Resilience61 vs 51
    ATI +10
  • Value27 vs 36
    VSEC +9

4 of 6 evidence groups favor ATI. ATI’s edge is concentrated in quality and momentum; VSEC keeps a meaningful value edge.

What changed since the last close

Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.

ATI-5 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum -15

No new signals fired.

VSEC+1 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum +3

No new signals fired.

ATI's lead narrowed by 6 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.

Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — ATI and VSEC both carry a full feed there.

The central trade-off

ATI (ATI Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and momentum.

VSEC (VSE Corporation): the counter-case, on value, valuation, analyst expectations — but at materially higher volatility, 50.7% against 33.5%.

The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.

Which one fits your objective

The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.

Balanced

ATI

ATI on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.

Growth

ATI

ATI on combined revenue and EPS growth.

Value

VSEC

VSEC on the peer-relative Value factor, by 9 points.

Momentum

ATI

ATI on the Momentum factor, by 14 points.

Lower downside

ATI

ATI on Risk Resilience, by 10 points.

Analyst upside

VSEC

VSEC on implied upside to the consensus price target.

AIQ vs Wall Street

The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors ATI, analyst targets favor VSEC. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.

MeasureATIVSECNote
Implied upside to target+9.5%+29.7%VSEC has more room
Target dispersion+49.6%+31.6%Lower is tighter analyst agreement
ConsensusBuyBuyContext, not a primary driver
Analysts covering54Higher coverage generally improves confidence

The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.

Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ATI. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreATI40 vs 34
FundamentalsATIon balancerevenue growth 9.5% vs 38.4%; EPS growth 27.6% vs -13.2%; TTM ROE 26.6% vs 3.7%; gross margin 23.4% vs 14%; operating margin 15.3% vs 11.2% — ATI takes 4 of 5 decided legs, not all of them
ValuationVSECValue 27 vs 36
TechnicalsATIPrice vs 50-day -2% vs -8.3%; vs 200-day 25.3% vs -2.8%
Risk ResilienceATIRisk Resilience 61 vs 51
Analyst expectationsVSECTarget upside 9.5% vs 29.7%

✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of ATI and VSEC and are excluded from the count.

AIQ Decision Stability

Competitive

The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.

  • The AIQ gap is moderate at 6 points.
  • The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
  • The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)

Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on ATI.

How the comparison changed

119 daily snapshots · May 4 Sep 10

ATI lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 3 to 6 points over 30 sessions.

May 4ATI leads above the line · VSEC leads belowSep 10
Today
ATI +6
40 vs 34
7 sessions ago
ATI +9
43 vs 34
30 sessions ago
ATI +3
51 vs 48
90 sessions ago
VSEC +6
41 vs 47

The lead changed hands once in this window, most recently on Jul 10 when ATI moved ahead of VSEC.

AIQ Signal Divergence

Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.

ATIConflicted

1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (26.68%)
  • ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode neutral, volatility, short horizon (4.07%)
  • MACD Bearish Crossover bearish, momentum, short horizon
VSECConflicted

1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (7.29%)
  • Keltner Channel Breakdown bearish, volatility, short horizon
  • ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode neutral, volatility, short horizon (5.20%)

ATI leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.

Price vs model alignment

Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.

ATIConfirmed weakness

Price and the AIQ Score both moved down over the latest session (price -0.12%, AIQ -5 points).

VSECConfirmed strength

Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +1.21%, AIQ +1 points).

What would flip this result

A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.

  1. 1VSEC closes the Quality gap — currently 15 points behind, the largest single contributor to ATI's edge.
  2. 2VSEC's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it.
  3. 3ATI's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
  4. 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Fundamentals

ATI leads on balance
MetricATIVSEC
Revenue growth (YoY)9.5%38.4%
EPS growth (YoY)27.6%-13.2%
Gross margin23.4%14%
Operating margin15.3%11.2%
Return on equity (TTM)26.6%3.7%
Debt to equity1.170.35

Performance

ATI leads 5 of 6 windows
MetricATIVSEC
1 week (5 sessions)-1.3%-2%
1 month (20 sessions)-13.6%-20.6%
3 months (63 sessions)8.5%11.2%
6 months (126 sessions)26.4%-10.5%
Year to date73.4%11.5%
1 year (252 sessions)156.8%17.3%

Technicals

ATI has the stronger structure
MetricATIVSEC
RSI (14)39.734.8
ADX (14)14.718.3
Price vs 50-day-2%-8.3%
Price vs 200-day25.3%-2.8%
Volatility (1M, annualized)33.5%50.7%

Risk

ATI is the more resilient
MetricATIVSEC
Beta1.72.32
Sharpe ratio2.450.51
Sortino ratio4.510.84
Max drawdown-18.6%-30.4%
Current drawdown-14.1%-20.9%
Annualized volatility42%58.1%
Value at risk (95%)-3.6%-5%

Straight answers

Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.

Which is better, ATI or VSEC?

On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, ATI is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 40 against VSEC's 34. The edge comes from quality and momentum. VSEC is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.

Is ATI or VSEC the better buy right now?

ATI carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.

Why does the AIQ Score favor ATI over VSEC?

The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. ATI leads Quality by 15 points; ATI leads Momentum by 14 points; ATI leads Risk Resilience by 10 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.

Which has more analyst upside, ATI or VSEC?

Analyst price targets imply +9.5% upside for ATI and +29.7% for VSEC, so the Street currently favors VSEC. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors ATI. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

Which is better value, ATI or VSEC?

VSEC is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. VSEC on the peer-relative Value factor, by 9 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.

Which has stronger growth, ATI or VSEC?

ATI on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.

Which has stronger momentum, ATI or VSEC?

ATI on the Momentum factor, by 14 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.

Which is riskier, ATI or VSEC?

ATI is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. ATI on Risk Resilience, by 10 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.

Is ATI more profitable than VSEC?

ATI leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 23.4% vs 14%; operating margin 15.3% vs 11.2%; ttm roe 26.6% vs 3.7%.

Is ATI's lead over VSEC getting stronger or weaker?

ATI lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 3 to 6 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands once in that window, most recently on 2026-07-10, when ATI moved ahead of VSEC.

What would change the ATI vs VSEC verdict?

The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: VSEC closes the Quality gap — currently 15 points behind, the largest single contributor to ATI's edge; VSEC's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it; ATI's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

What do the current signals say about ATI and VSEC?

ATI: 1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. VSEC: 1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on ATI is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On VSEC it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).

Compare ATI and VSEC with others

Continue your research

This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.