BGC vs BPOP Stock Comparison
BPOP currently leads BGC in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 64 vs 56. The clearest difference is quality, while BGC has the stronger value profile.
What is the main difference between BGC and BPOP?
BPOP leads the current stock comparison as Popular, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
BGC Group, Inc vs Popular, Inc.
BPOP leads
BPOP leads by 8 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Momentum, and the lead has widened from 2 points over 30 sessions.
Stable: 4 of 6 evidence groups support BPOP, its lead is widening, and its signal state is cleanly positive.
BGC Group, Inc
Popular, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors BPOP over BGC, 64 versus 56 as of Oct 21, 2026. BPOP's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and momentum, while BGC holds the stronger value profile. BPOP also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor BPOP today, and the comparison is rated Stable on stability. BPOP lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 2 to 8 points over 30 sessions.
Compare BGC Group, Inc and Popular, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare BGC and BPOP against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality55 vs 72BPOP +17
- Momentum50 vs 67BPOP +17
- Value62 vs 55BGC +7
- Risk Resilience58 vs 63BPOP +5
4 of 6 evidence groups favor BPOP. BPOP’s edge is concentrated in quality and momentum; BGC keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +3, not enough on its own to move the overall score.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 3 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum +10
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 3 active signals are unchanged.
BPOP's lead widened by 2 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — BGC and BPOP both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
BPOP (Popular, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and momentum.
BGC (BGC Group, Inc): the counter-case, on value, valuation, technicals — but at materially higher volatility, 32.8% against 13.9%.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
BPOPBPOP on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
BPOPBPOP on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
BGCBGC on the peer-relative Value factor, by 7 points.
Momentum
BPOPBPOP on the Momentum factor, by 17 points.
Lower downside
BPOPBPOP on Risk Resilience, by 5 points.
Analyst upside
BPOPBPOP on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | BGC | BPOP | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | -2.8% | +16.2% | BPOP has more room |
| Target dispersion | 0% | +16.4% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Strong Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 1 | 7 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Dividend growth
| Dividend metric | BGC | BPOP |
|---|---|---|
| 5Y dividend CAGR | -13.99% | 12.63% |
| 2020 regular DPS | $0.170 | $1.600 |
| 2025 regular DPS | $0.080 | $2.900 |
| Years increased | 2 | 5 |
| No cut in window | No (1) | Yes |
| Cohort rank | not ranked | #56 |
BPOP grew its split-adjusted regular dividend faster over 2020–2025 — 12.63% a year against BGC's -13.99%. BPOP never reduced its regular dividend in the window; BGC did in 1 year. They are ranked in different cohorts — variable-dividend payers and US dividend-paying corporations — so their ranks are not comparable with each other.
Yield and payout ratio shown elsewhere on this page are current values, not part of the study window.
Split-adjusted regular dividends per share, 2020–2025, excluding special dividends. Research as of Sep 19, 2026.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor BPOP. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | BPOP | 56 vs 64 |
| Fundamentals | BPOPon balance | revenue growth -9.4% vs 4.7%; EPS growth -16.7% vs 15.1%; TTM ROE 19.2% vs 15.4%; gross margin 80% vs 69%; operating margin 11.9% vs 25.4% — BPOP takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | BGC | Value 62 vs 55 |
| Technicals | BGC | Price vs 50-day 0.9% vs -1.2%; vs 200-day 8.3% vs 5.7% |
| Risk Resilience | BPOP | Risk Resilience 58 vs 63 |
| Analyst expectations | BPOP | Target upside -2.8% vs 16.2% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of BGC and BPOP and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion rests on a wide gap and broad agreement. It is unlikely to turn on a single session.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 8 points.
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader's signal state is cleanly positive. (supports the conclusion holding)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on BPOP.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20BPOP lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 2 to 8 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- BPOP +8
- 56 vs 64
- 7 sessions ago
- BPOP +3
- 55 vs 58
- 30 sessions ago
- BPOP +2
- 53 vs 55
- 90 sessions ago
- BPOP +9
- 55 vs 64
The lead changed hands 4 times in this window, most recently on Oct 7 when BPOP moved ahead of BGC.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only BGC
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
2 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral
Only BPOP
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
Both carry 2 more signals that do not separate them: Bollinger Band Squeeze, Golden Cross Active.
BGC is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.72%, AIQ 0 points).
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +0.87%, AIQ +2 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1BGC closes the Quality gap — currently 17 points behind, the largest single contributor to BPOP's edge.
- 2BGC's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it.
- 3BPOP's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
BPOP leads on balance| Metric | BGC | BPOP |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -9.4% | 4.7% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -16.7% | 15.1% |
| Gross margin | 80% | 69% |
| Operating margin | 11.9% | 25.4% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 19.2% | 15.4% |
| Debt to equity | 1.6 | 0.25 |
Performance
BPOP leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | BGC | BPOP |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -0.1% | 3.2% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -5.2% | 0.4% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 1% | -7.5% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 2.1% | 8.2% |
| Year to date | 30.2% | 29.2% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 27.8% | 41.8% |
Technicals
BGC has the stronger structure| Metric | BGC | BPOP |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 51.8 | 69 |
| ADX (14) | 16.5 | 33.6 |
| Price vs 50-day | 0.9% | -1.2% |
| Price vs 200-day | 8.3% | 5.7% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 32.8% | 13.9% |
Risk
BPOP is the more resilient| Metric | BGC | BPOP |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.32 | 0.61 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.76 | 1.39 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.21 | 2.12 |
| Max drawdown | -19.7% | -12.7% |
| Current drawdown | -8.1% | -9.6% |
| Annualized volatility | 33.3% | 22.8% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.9% | -2.1% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, BGC or BPOP?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, BPOP is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 64 against BGC's 56. The edge comes from quality and momentum. BGC is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is BGC or BPOP the better buy right now?
BPOP carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Stable — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Stable rating means the gap is wide and the evidence is broad, so the conclusion is unlikely to turn on a single session.
Why does the AIQ Score favor BPOP over BGC?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. BPOP leads Quality by 17 points; BPOP leads Momentum by 17 points; BGC leads Value by 7 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, BGC or BPOP?
Analyst price targets imply -2.8% upside for BGC and +16.2% for BPOP, so the Street currently favors BPOP. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, BGC or BPOP?
BGC is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. BGC on the peer-relative Value factor, by 7 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, BGC or BPOP?
BPOP on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, BGC or BPOP?
BPOP on the Momentum factor, by 17 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, BGC or BPOP?
BPOP is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. BPOP on Risk Resilience, by 5 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is BGC more profitable than BPOP?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 80% vs 69%; operating margin 11.9% vs 25.4%; ttm roe 19.2% vs 15.4%. BGC leads on two measures and BPOP on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is BPOP's lead over BGC getting stronger or weaker?
BPOP lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 2 to 8 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands 4 times in that window, most recently on 2026-10-07, when BPOP moved ahead of BGC.
What would change the BGC vs BPOP verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: BGC closes the Quality gap — currently 17 points behind, the largest single contributor to BPOP's edge; BGC's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it; BPOP's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about BGC and BPOP?
BGC: 1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. BPOP: 2 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on BGC is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On BPOP it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare BGC and BPOP with others
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How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.