BOKF vs BPOP Stock Comparison

BOK Financial Corporation vs Popular, Inc.

Data as of Sep 5, 2026· market close· Financial Services· Coverage 66/66 fields· High confidence
AIQ VerdictFragileAIQ Comparison Conviction 4/10

BPOP leads

BPOP leads by 5 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Momentum.

Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support BPOP, and its current signal state is conflicted.

Evidence agreement: 3 of 6Comparison trend: Stable
BOKF

BOK Financial Corporation

AIQ Score
51/100
AIQ Edge Score
4/10
BPOP

Popular, Inc.

Leads
AIQ Score
56/100
AIQ Edge Score
6/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors BPOP over BOKF, 56 versus 51 as of Sep 5, 2026. BPOP's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and momentum. BPOP also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor BPOP today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 5 points. BPOP lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 5 points over 30 sessions.

Compare BOK Financial Corporation and Popular, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.

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AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

BOKF advantage
0
BPOP advantage
  • Quality30%58 vs 72
    BPOP +14
  • Momentum25%30 vs 35
    BPOP +5
  • Risk Resilience15%65 vs 62
    Even
  • Value30%54 vs 56
    Even

3 of 6 evidence groups favor BPOP. BPOP’s edge is concentrated in quality and momentum.

What changed since the last close

Latest scored session 2026-09-04, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-03.

BOKF0 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum +1

No new signals fired.

BPOP-3 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum -11

No new signals fired.

BPOP's lead narrowed by 3 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.

Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — BOKF and BPOP both carry a full feed there.

Which one fits your objective

The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.

Balanced

BPOP

BPOP on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.

Growth

Even

Growth figures are not covered for both names.

Value

Even

The two are level on Value.

Momentum

BPOP

BPOP on the Momentum factor, by 5 points.

Lower downside

BPOP

BPOP carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility.

Analyst upside

Even

Analyst targets are level or not covered for both names.

AIQ vs Wall Street

Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.

MeasureBOKFBPOPNote
Implied upside to target+8.5%+9.5%Level
Target dispersion+11.5%+16.5%Lower is tighter analyst agreement
ConsensusHoldBuyContext, not a primary driver
Analysts covering47Higher coverage generally improves confidence

Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor BPOP. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreBPOP51 vs 56
FundamentalsBPOPon balancerevenue growth 6% vs 4.7%; EPS growth 14% vs 15.1%; TTM ROE 10.8% vs 15.4%; gross margin 66.1% vs 69%; operating margin 23.4% vs 25.4% — BPOP takes 4 of 5 decided legs, not all of them
ValuationEvenValue 54 vs 56
TechnicalsBPOPPrice vs 50-day -2.8% vs 0%; vs 200-day 4.6% vs 17.4%
Risk ResilienceEvenRisk Resilience 65 vs 62
Analyst expectationsEvenTarget upside 8.5% vs 9.5%

✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of BOKF and BPOP and are excluded from the count.

AIQ Decision Stability

Fragile

The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.

  • The AIQ gap is narrow at 5 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
  • The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)

Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on BPOP.

How the comparison changed

120 daily snapshots · Apr 23 Sep 4

BPOP lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 5 points over 30 sessions.

Apr 23BOKF leads above the line · BPOP leads belowSep 4
Today
BPOP +5
51 vs 56
7 sessions ago
BPOP +6
50 vs 56
30 sessions ago
BPOP +4
61 vs 65
90 sessions ago
BPOP +5
62 vs 67

The lead changed hands 2 times in this window, most recently on Aug 21 when BPOP moved ahead of BOKF.

AIQ Signal Divergence

Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.

BOKFConflicted

2 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (7.63%)
  • RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce bullish, momentum, short horizon
  • MACD Bearish Crossover bearish, momentum, short horizon
BPOPConflicted

1 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (17.44%)
  • MACD Bearish Crossover bearish, momentum, short horizon

BPOP leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.

Price vs model alignment

Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.

BOKFNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.47%, AIQ 0 points).

BPOPNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.01%, AIQ -3 points).

What would flip this result

A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.

  1. 1BOKF closes the Quality gap — currently 14 points behind, the largest single contributor to BPOP's edge.
  2. 2BOKF's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it.
  3. 3BPOP's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
  4. 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Fundamentals

BPOP leads on balance
MetricBOKFBPOP
Revenue growth (YoY)6%4.7%
EPS growth (YoY)14%15.1%
Gross margin66.1%69%
Operating margin23.4%25.4%
Return on equity (TTM)10.8%15.4%
Debt to equity0.820.25

Performance

BPOP leads 6 of 6 windows
MetricBOKFBPOP
1 week (5 sessions)-0.6%0.9%
1 month (20 sessions)-4.9%-1.6%
3 months (63 sessions)5.8%11.9%
6 months (126 sessions)8.9%31%
Year to date15.4%37.6%
1 year (252 sessions)22%35.8%

Technicals

BPOP has the stronger structure
MetricBOKFBPOP
RSI (14)24.634.6
ADX (14)26.122.7
Price vs 50-day-2.8%0%
Price vs 200-day4.6%17.4%
Volatility (1M, annualized)17.1%15.6%

Risk

Split
MetricBOKFBPOP
Beta0.630.72
Sharpe ratio0.81.19
Sortino ratio1.081.64
Max drawdown-10.7%-14.7%
Current drawdown-6.4%-3.7%
Annualized volatility22.2%24.5%
Value at risk (95%)-2.1%-2.1%

Straight answers

Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.

Which is better, BOKF or BPOP?

On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, BPOP is the stronger of the two as of Sep 5, 2026, scoring 56 against BOKF's 51. The edge comes from quality and momentum. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.

Is BOKF or BPOP the better buy right now?

BPOP carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 5, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 5 points. Treat the lead as provisional.

Why does the AIQ Score favor BPOP over BOKF?

The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. BPOP leads Quality by 14 points; BPOP leads Momentum by 5 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.

Which has more analyst upside, BOKF or BPOP?

Analyst price targets imply +8.5% upside for BOKF and +9.5% for BPOP. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

Which is better value, BOKF or BPOP?

Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.

Which has stronger growth, BOKF or BPOP?

Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.

Which has stronger momentum, BOKF or BPOP?

BPOP on the Momentum factor, by 5 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.

Which is riskier, BOKF or BPOP?

BPOP is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. BPOP carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.

Is BOKF more profitable than BPOP?

BPOP leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 66.1% vs 69%; operating margin 23.4% vs 25.4%; ttm roe 10.8% vs 15.4%.

Is BPOP's lead over BOKF getting stronger or weaker?

BPOP lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 5 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-23 and 2026-09-04. The lead has changed hands 2 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-21, when BPOP moved ahead of BOKF.

What would change the BOKF vs BPOP verdict?

The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: BOKF closes the Quality gap — currently 14 points behind, the largest single contributor to BPOP's edge; BOKF's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it; BPOP's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

What do the current signals say about BOKF and BPOP?

BOKF: 2 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. BPOP: 1 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on BOKF is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On BPOP it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).

Compare BOKF and BPOP with others

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.