BTE vs COP Stock Comparison
Compare BTE and COP across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between BTE and COP?
COP leads the current stock comparison as ConocoPhillips, with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Baytex Energy Corp. vs ConocoPhillips
COP leads
COP leads by 9 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Value, but the lead has narrowed from 14 points over 30 sessions.
Fragile: 3 of 5 evidence groups support COP, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Baytex Energy Corp.
ConocoPhillips
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors COP over BTE, 55 versus 46 as of Sep 11, 2026. COP's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and value, while BTE holds the stronger risk resilience profile. COP also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 5 covered evidence groups favor COP today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the leader's advantage has been narrowing. COP lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 14 to 9 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Baytex Energy Corp. and ConocoPhillips across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare BTE and COP against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality31 vs 62COP +31
- Risk Resilience64 vs 53BTE +11
- Value34 vs 40COP +6
- Momentum69 vs 66Even
3 of 5 evidence groups favor COP. COP’s edge is concentrated in quality and value; BTE keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum -1
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum -6
No new signals fired.
COP's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — BTE and COP both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
COP (ConocoPhillips): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and value.
BTE (Baytex Energy Corp.): the counter-case, on risk resilience, technicals — but at materially higher volatility, 32.3% against 22.8%.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
COPCOP on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
COPCOP on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
COPCOP on the peer-relative Value factor, by 6 points.
Momentum
EvenThe two are level on Momentum.
Lower downside
BTEBTE on Risk Resilience, by 11 points.
Analyst upside
EvenAnalyst targets are level or not covered for both names.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | BTE | COP | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | — | +9.1% | Level |
| Target dispersion | — | +41.4% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 11 | 11 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 5 covered evidence groups favor COP. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | COP | 46 vs 55 |
| Fundamentals | COPon balance | revenue growth 36.6% vs 12.7%; EPS growth 3.7% vs 81.5%; TTM ROE -26.4% vs 14.3%; gross margin 4.7% vs 50.8%; operating margin 51.1% vs 22.7% — COP takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | COP | Value 34 vs 40 |
| Technicals | BTE | Price vs 50-day 13.8% vs 12.5%; vs 200-day 23.3% vs 20.8% |
| Risk Resilience | BTE | Risk Resilience 64 vs 53 |
| Analyst expectations | Not covered | Not covered |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of BTE and COP and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 9 points.
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on COP.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10COP lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 14 to 9 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- COP +9
- 46 vs 55
- 7 sessions ago
- COP +10
- 47 vs 57
- 30 sessions ago
- COP +14
- 47 vs 61
- 90 sessions ago
- COP +14
- 37 vs 51
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
4 bullish / 0 bearish
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (8.12%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
4 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (7.58%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- 52-Week High Proximity — bullish, risk, long horizon (0.0%)
COP leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved down over the latest session (price -0.2%, AIQ -1 points).
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 2 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +0.23%, AIQ -2 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1BTE closes the Quality gap — currently 31 points behind, the largest single contributor to COP's edge.
- 2BTE's existing bullish trend signals translate into factor-score gains — the rules are already firing, but the scores have not yet followed.
- 3COP's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 4 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 5 points over 30 sessions, and a further 9-point move would eliminate COP's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
COP leads on balance| Metric | BTE | COP |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 36.6% | 12.7% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 3.7% | 81.5% |
| Gross margin | 4.7% | 50.8% |
| Operating margin | 51.1% | 22.7% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | -26.4% | 14.3% |
| Debt to equity | 0.07 | 0.36 |
Performance
BTE leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | BTE | COP |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -0.6% | -0.1% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 15.6% | 7.7% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 6.1% | 14.3% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 22.9% | 17.1% |
| Year to date | 56% | 45.5% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 130.1% | 48.2% |
Technicals
BTE has the stronger structure| Metric | BTE | COP |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 59 | 55.7 |
| ADX (14) | 23.1 | 27.7 |
| Price vs 50-day | 13.8% | 12.5% |
| Price vs 200-day | 23.3% | 20.8% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 32.3% | 22.8% |
Risk
BTE is the more resilient| Metric | BTE | COP |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.13 | -0.53 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.92 | 1.35 |
| Sortino ratio | 3.14 | 2.23 |
| Max drawdown | -27.6% | -22.9% |
| Current drawdown | -5.3% | -0.1% |
| Annualized volatility | 46.3% | 30.2% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -4.4% | -3% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, BTE or COP?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, COP is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 55 against BTE's 46. The edge comes from quality and value. BTE is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is BTE or COP the better buy right now?
COP carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 5 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the leader's advantage has been narrowing. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor COP over BTE?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. COP leads Quality by 31 points; BTE leads Risk Resilience by 11 points; COP leads Value by 6 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, BTE or COP?
Analyst price targets imply not covered upside for BTE and +9.1% for COP. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, BTE or COP?
COP is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. COP on the peer-relative Value factor, by 6 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, BTE or COP?
COP on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, BTE or COP?
The two are level on Momentum. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, BTE or COP?
BTE is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. BTE on Risk Resilience, by 11 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is BTE more profitable than COP?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 4.7% vs 50.8%; operating margin 51.1% vs 22.7%; ttm roe -26.4% vs 14.3%. BTE leads on one measure and COP on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is COP's lead over BTE getting stronger or weaker?
COP lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 14 to 9 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the BTE vs COP verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: BTE closes the Quality gap — currently 31 points behind, the largest single contributor to COP's edge; BTE's existing bullish trend signals translate into factor-score gains — the rules are already firing, but the scores have not yet followed; COP's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 4 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 5 points over 30 sessions, and a further 9-point move would eliminate COP's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about BTE and COP?
BTE: 4 bullish / 0 bearish. COP: 4 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on BTE is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On COP it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare BTE and COP with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.