BTU vs CEIX Stock Comparison

Compare BTU and CEIX across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.

Market data as of Sep 11, 2026 market close· AIQ score gap 3 points
BTU
Energy
vs
CEIX
Energy
BTU
Peabody Energy Corporation
Price
$28.21
Day move
-2.82%
AIQ Score
52/100
Best edge
Balanced
Sector
Energy
CEIX
CONSOL Energy Inc.
Leads
Price
$84.16
Day move
-
AIQ Score
55/100
Best edge
Risk Resilience
Sector
Energy

What is the main difference between BTU and CEIX?

CEIX leads the current stock comparison as CONSOL Energy Inc., with the clearest separation coming from risk resilience and the broader AIQ evidence mix.

AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison

Peabody Energy Corporation vs CONSOL Energy Inc.

Data as of Sep 11, 2026· market close· Energy· Coverage 50/66 fields· Moderate confidence
AIQ VerdictCompetitiveAIQ Comparison Conviction 5/10

CEIX leads

CEIX leads by 3 AIQ points, primarily on Risk Resilience and Value.

Competitive: 3 of 4 evidence groups support CEIX.

Evidence agreement: 3 of 4Comparison trend: Stable
BTU

Peabody Energy Corporation

AIQ Score
52/100
AIQ Edge Score
6/10
CEIX

CONSOL Energy Inc.

Leads
AIQ Score
55/100
AIQ Edge Score
7/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors CEIX over BTU, 55 versus 52 as of Sep 11, 2026. CEIX's advantage is driven primarily by stronger risk resilience and value. 3 of 4 covered evidence groups favor CEIX today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 3 points. CEIX lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 3 points over 30 sessions.

Compare Peabody Energy Corporation and CONSOL Energy Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.

Currently unavailable

Performance over time

Price-return comparison using available daily close history.

BTU
+65.6%
CEIX
+286.5%

Total return comparison

Growth of $10,000

BTU $16,560 · CEIX $38,648

Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.

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AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

BTU advantage
0
CEIX advantage
  • Risk Resilience43 vs 63
    CEIX +20
  • Value62 vs 72
    CEIX +10
  • Quality29 vs 34
    CEIX +5

3 of 4 evidence groups favor CEIX. CEIX’s edge is concentrated in risk resilience and value.

What changed since the last close

Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.

BTU0 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum -2

New signals

  • MACD Bearish Crossover bearish, momentum, short horizon
CEIX0 AIQ

No factor moved materially.

No new signals fired.

CEIX's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.

Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — BTU and CEIX both carry a full feed there.

Which one fits your objective

The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.

Balanced

CEIX

CEIX on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.

Growth

CEIX

CEIX on combined revenue and EPS growth.

Value

CEIX

CEIX on the peer-relative Value factor, by 10 points.

Momentum

Even

The two are level on Momentum.

Lower downside

CEIX

CEIX on Risk Resilience, by 20 points.

Analyst upside

Even

Analyst targets are level or not covered for both names.

AIQ vs Wall Street

Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.

MeasureBTUCEIXNote
Implied upside to target+29.4%Level
Target dispersion0%Lower is tighter analyst agreement
ConsensusBuyBuyContext, not a primary driver
Analysts covering13Higher coverage generally improves confidence

Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

3 of 4 covered evidence groups favor CEIX. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreEven52 vs 55
FundamentalsCEIXrevenue growth 3.1% vs 5.2%; EPS growth -174.1% vs 5%; TTM ROE -5.3% vs 2.7%; gross margin 2.2% vs 7.3%; operating margin -3.7% vs 1.6%
ValuationCEIXValue 62 vs 72
TechnicalsNot coveredNot covered
Risk ResilienceCEIXRisk Resilience 43 vs 63
Analyst expectationsNot coveredNot covered

✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of BTU and CEIX and are excluded from the count.

AIQ Decision Stability

Competitive

The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.

  • The AIQ gap is narrow at 3 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)

Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on CEIX.

How the comparison changed

119 daily snapshots · May 4 Sep 10

CEIX lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 3 points over 30 sessions.

May 4BTU leads above the line · CEIX leads belowSep 10
Today
CEIX +3
52 vs 55
7 sessions ago
CEIX +5
50 vs 55
30 sessions ago
CEIX +3
52 vs 55
90 sessions ago
CEIX +15
40 vs 55

The lead has not changed hands in this window.

AIQ Signal Divergence

Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.

BTU

0 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral

  • Death Cross Active bearish, trend, long horizon (16.43%)
  • Bollinger Band Squeeze neutral, volatility, short horizon
  • ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode neutral, volatility, short horizon (4.21%)
CEIX

No active signals

Price vs model alignment

Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.

BTUNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -2.82%, AIQ 0 points).

What would flip this result

A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.

  1. 1BTU closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 20 points behind, the largest single contributor to CEIX's edge.
  2. 2BTU's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
  3. 3CEIX starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
  4. 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Fundamentals

CEIX leads on balance
MetricBTUCEIX
Revenue growth (YoY)3.1%5.2%
EPS growth (YoY)-174.1%5%
Gross margin2.2%7.3%
Operating margin-3.7%1.6%
Return on equity (TTM)-5.3%2.7%
Debt to equity0.130.15

Performance

Split across windows
MetricBTUCEIX
1 week (5 sessions)-1.4%
1 month (20 sessions)17.7%
3 months (63 sessions)10.5%
6 months (126 sessions)-15.9%
Year to date-2.3%
1 year (252 sessions)57.9%

Technicals

Split
MetricBTUCEIX
RSI (14)60.9
ADX (14)35
Price vs 50-day13.2%
Price vs 200-day0.1%
Volatility (1M, annualized)54.9%

Risk

CEIX is the more resilient
MetricBTUCEIX
Beta0.41
Sharpe ratio1
Sortino ratio1.6
Max drawdown-47.3%
Current drawdown-26.5%
Annualized volatility58.5%
Value at risk (95%)-5.7%

Straight answers

Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.

Which is better, BTU or CEIX?

On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, CEIX is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 55 against BTU's 52. The edge comes from risk resilience and value. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.

Is BTU or CEIX the better buy right now?

CEIX carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 3 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.

Why does the AIQ Score favor CEIX over BTU?

The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. CEIX leads Risk Resilience by 20 points; CEIX leads Value by 10 points; CEIX leads Quality by 5 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.

Which has more analyst upside, BTU or CEIX?

Analyst price targets imply +29.4% upside for BTU and not covered for CEIX. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

Which is better value, BTU or CEIX?

CEIX is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. CEIX on the peer-relative Value factor, by 10 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.

Which has stronger growth, BTU or CEIX?

CEIX on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.

Which has stronger momentum, BTU or CEIX?

The two are level on Momentum. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.

Which is riskier, BTU or CEIX?

CEIX is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. CEIX on Risk Resilience, by 20 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.

Is BTU more profitable than CEIX?

CEIX leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 2.2% vs 7.3%; operating margin -3.7% vs 1.6%; ttm roe -5.3% vs 2.7%.

Is CEIX's lead over BTU getting stronger or weaker?

CEIX lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 3 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has not changed hands in that window.

What would change the BTU vs CEIX verdict?

The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: BTU closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 20 points behind, the largest single contributor to CEIX's edge; BTU's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; CEIX starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

What do the current signals say about BTU and CEIX?

BTU: 0 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral. CEIX: No active signals. The most decision-relevant rule on BTU is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).

Compare BTU and CEIX with others

Continue your research

This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.