D vs DUK Stock Comparison
DUK currently leads D in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 55 vs 49. The clearest difference is quality, while D has the stronger risk resilience profile.
What is the main difference between D and DUK?
DUK leads the current stock comparison as Duke Energy Corporation, with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Dominion Energy, Inc. vs Duke Energy Corporation
DUK leads
DUK leads by 6 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Momentum.
Competitive: 4 of 6 evidence groups support DUK, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Dominion Energy, Inc.
Duke Energy Corporation
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors DUK over D, 55 versus 49 as of Oct 31, 2026. DUK's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and momentum, while D holds the stronger risk resilience profile. DUK also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor DUK today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the leader is throwing conflicting signals. DUK lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 6 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Dominion Energy, Inc. and Duke Energy Corporation across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare D and DUK against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality33 vs 45DUK +12
- Momentum67 vs 72DUK +5
- Risk Resilience54 vs 49D +5
- Value49 vs 53DUK +4
4 of 6 evidence groups favor DUK. DUK’s edge is concentrated in quality and momentum; D keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-28, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-27.
Largest factor move: Momentum -13
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 3 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum -9
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 3 active signals are unchanged.
DUK's lead widened by 2 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — D and DUK both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
DUK (Duke Energy Corporation): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and momentum.
D (Dominion Energy, Inc.): the counter-case, on risk resilience.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
DUKDUK on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
DUKDUK on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
DUKDUK on the peer-relative Value factor, by 4 points.
Momentum
DUKDUK on the Momentum factor, by 5 points.
Lower downside
DD on Risk Resilience, by 5 points.
Analyst upside
EvenAnalyst targets are level or not covered for both names.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | D | DUK | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +4.8% | +4.1% | Level |
| Target dispersion | +25.8% | +14.3% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 9 | 10 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Dividend growth
| Dividend metric | D | DUK |
|---|---|---|
| 5Y dividend CAGR | -5.00% | 2.01% |
| 2020 regular DPS | $3.450 | $3.820 |
| 2025 regular DPS | $2.670 | $4.220 |
| Years increased | 1 | 5 |
| No cut in window | No (2) | Yes |
| Cohort rank | not ranked | #329 |
DUK grew its split-adjusted regular dividend faster over 2020–2025 — 2.01% a year against D's -5.00%. DUK never reduced its regular dividend in the window; D did in 2 years.
Yield and payout ratio shown elsewhere on this page are current values, not part of the study window.
Split-adjusted regular dividends per share, 2020–2025, excluding special dividends. Research as of Sep 19, 2026.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor DUK. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | DUK | 49 vs 55 |
| Fundamentals | DUKon balance | revenue growth -11.4% vs -17.3%; EPS growth -46.4% vs -29.9%; TTM ROE 8.9% vs 9.9%; gross margin 49.3% vs 68.2%; operating margin 25.1% vs 27.6% — DUK takes 4 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | DUK | Value 49 vs 53 |
| Technicals | DUK | Price vs 50-day 4.4% vs 7.1%; vs 200-day -0.7% vs -0.6% |
| Risk Resilience | D | Risk Resilience 54 vs 49 |
| Analyst expectations | Even | Target upside 4.8% vs 4.1% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of D and DUK and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 6 points.
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on DUK.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 29 – Oct 28DUK lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 6 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- DUK +6
- 49 vs 55
- 7 sessions ago
- DUK +4
- 53 vs 57
- 30 sessions ago
- DUK +5
- 40 vs 45
- 90 sessions ago
- Level
- 46 vs 46
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only D
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
2 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
Only DUK
- Keltner Channel Breakout — bullish, volatility, short horizon
Both carry 2 more signals that do not separate them: Death Cross Active, MACD Bullish Crossover.
DUK leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 4 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +2.3%, AIQ -4 points).
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 2 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +1.18%, AIQ -2 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1D closes the Quality gap — currently 12 points behind, the largest single contributor to DUK's edge.
- 2D's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3DUK's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
DUK leads on balance| Metric | D | DUK |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -11.4% | -17.3% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -46.4% | -29.9% |
| Gross margin | 49.3% | 68.2% |
| Operating margin | 25.1% | 27.6% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 8.9% | 9.9% |
| Debt to equity | 1.85 | 1.67 |
Performance
D leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | D | DUK |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 6.2% | 8.4% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -7.8% | -2.1% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| Year to date | 9.7% | 5.4% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 5.3% | -3% |
Technicals
DUK has the stronger structure| Metric | D | DUK |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 63.3 | 68 |
| ADX (14) | 28.4 | 38.1 |
| Price vs 50-day | 4.4% | 7.1% |
| Price vs 200-day | -0.7% | -0.6% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 23% | 20.5% |
Risk
D is the more resilient| Metric | D | DUK |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.12 | -0.31 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.28 | -0.26 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.48 | -0.41 |
| Max drawdown | -15.9% | -15.2% |
| Current drawdown | -10.3% | -7.4% |
| Annualized volatility | 21% | 16.6% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2% | -1.7% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, D or DUK?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, DUK is the stronger of the two as of Oct 31, 2026, scoring 55 against D's 49. The edge comes from quality and momentum. D is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is D or DUK the better buy right now?
DUK carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 31, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor DUK over D?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. DUK leads Quality by 12 points; DUK leads Momentum by 5 points; D leads Risk Resilience by 5 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, D or DUK?
Analyst price targets imply +4.8% upside for D and +4.1% for DUK. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, D or DUK?
DUK is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. DUK on the peer-relative Value factor, by 4 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, D or DUK?
DUK on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, D or DUK?
DUK on the Momentum factor, by 5 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, D or DUK?
D is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. D on Risk Resilience, by 5 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is D more profitable than DUK?
DUK leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 49.3% vs 68.2%; operating margin 25.1% vs 27.6%; ttm roe 8.9% vs 9.9%.
Is DUK's lead over D getting stronger or weaker?
DUK lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 6 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-29 and 2026-10-28. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the D vs DUK verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: D closes the Quality gap — currently 12 points behind, the largest single contributor to DUK's edge; d's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; DUK's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about D and DUK?
D: 1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. DUK: 2 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on D is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On DUK it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare D and DUK with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.