DE vs MDU Stock Comparison
Compare DE and MDU across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between DE and MDU?
DE leads the current stock comparison as Deere & Company, with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Deere & Company vs MDU Resources Group, Inc.
DE leads
DE leads by 9 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum, having only recently taken the lead back from MDU. Wall Street currently favors MDU on target upside.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support DE, the lead recently changed hands, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Deere & Company
MDU Resources Group, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors DE over MDU, 52 versus 43 as of Sep 6, 2026. DE's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum, while MDU holds the stronger value profile. DE also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors MDU. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor DE today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. DE lead: Reversed — MDU led by 1 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; DE now leads by 9.
Compare Deere & Company and MDU Resources Group, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare DE and MDU against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum25%95 vs 25DE +70
- Value30%38 vs 51MDU +13
- Risk Resilience15%44 vs 55MDU +11
- Quality30%34 vs 43MDU +9
3 of 6 evidence groups favor DE. DE’s edge is concentrated in momentum; MDU keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-05, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-04.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
DE's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — DE and MDU both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
DE (Deere & Company): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum.
MDU (MDU Resources Group, Inc.): the counter-case, on value, risk resilience, quality.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
DEDE on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
DEDE on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
MDUMDU on the peer-relative Value factor, by 13 points.
Momentum
DEDE on the Momentum factor, by 70 points.
Lower downside
MDUMDU on Risk Resilience, by 11 points.
Analyst upside
MDUMDU on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors DE, analyst targets favor MDU. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | DE | MDU | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +3.3% | +27.7% | MDU has more room |
| Target dispersion | +33.9% | 0% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 10 | 1 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor DE. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | DE | 52 vs 43 |
| Fundamentals | DEon balance | revenue growth -5.7% vs -38.1%; EPS growth -22.1% vs -74.4%; TTM ROE 18.1% vs 6.9%; gross margin 35.7% vs 42.4%; operating margin 19% vs 17% — DE takes 4 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | MDU | Value 38 vs 51 |
| Technicals | DE | Price vs 50-day 12.1% vs -4.7%; vs 200-day 22.1% vs -5.1% |
| Risk Resilience | MDU | Risk Resilience 44 vs 55 |
| Analyst expectations | MDU | Target upside 3.3% vs 27.7% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of DE and MDU and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 9 points.
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on DE.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 24 – Sep 5DE lead: Reversed — MDU led by 1 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; DE now leads by 9.
- Today
- DE +9
- 52 vs 43
- 7 sessions ago
- DE +6
- 50 vs 44
- 30 sessions ago
- MDU +1
- 44 vs 45
- 90 sessions ago
- DE +7
- 54 vs 47
The lead changed hands 9 times in this window, most recently on Aug 21 when DE moved ahead of MDU.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
6 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (8.91%)
- Keltner Channel Breakout — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
1 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (1.21%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce — bullish, momentum, short horizon
DE leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.13%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.81%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1MDU closes the Momentum gap — currently 70 points behind, the largest single contributor to DE's edge.
- 2MDU's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3DE's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 6 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
DE leads on balance| Metric | DE | MDU |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -5.7% | -38.1% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -22.1% | -74.4% |
| Gross margin | 35.7% | 42.4% |
| Operating margin | 19% | 17% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 18.1% | 6.9% |
| Debt to equity | 2.29 | 0.88 |
Performance
DE leads 6 of 6 windows| Metric | DE | MDU |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 10% | -1.1% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 11.7% | -4.8% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 18.9% | -8.4% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 17.6% | -5.3% |
| Year to date | 45% | 0.3% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 46.7% | 21.2% |
Technicals
DE has the stronger structure| Metric | DE | MDU |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 73.2 | 26.4 |
| ADX (14) | 24.4 | 23.5 |
| Price vs 50-day | 12.1% | -4.7% |
| Price vs 200-day | 22.1% | -5.1% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 40.6% | 14.9% |
Risk
MDU is the more resilient| Metric | DE | MDU |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.46 | 0.18 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.22 | 0.82 |
| Sortino ratio | 2.23 | 1.22 |
| Max drawdown | -20.1% | -14.2% |
| Current drawdown | -0.7% | -14.2% |
| Annualized volatility | 32% | 20.7% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.4% | -2.1% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, DE or MDU?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, DE is the stronger of the two as of Sep 6, 2026, scoring 52 against MDU's 43. The edge comes from momentum. MDU is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is DE or MDU the better buy right now?
DE carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 6, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor DE over MDU?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. DE leads Momentum by 70 points; MDU leads Value by 13 points; MDU leads Risk Resilience by 11 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, DE or MDU?
Analyst price targets imply +3.3% upside for DE and +27.7% for MDU, so the Street currently favors MDU. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors DE. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, DE or MDU?
MDU is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. MDU on the peer-relative Value factor, by 13 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, DE or MDU?
DE on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, DE or MDU?
DE on the Momentum factor, by 70 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, DE or MDU?
MDU is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. MDU on Risk Resilience, by 11 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is DE more profitable than MDU?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 35.7% vs 42.4%; operating margin 19% vs 17%; ttm roe 18.1% vs 6.9%. DE leads on two measures and MDU on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is DE's lead over MDU getting stronger or weaker?
DE lead: Reversed — MDU led by 1 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; DE now leads by 9. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-24 and 2026-09-05. The lead has changed hands 9 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-21, when DE moved ahead of MDU.
What would change the DE vs MDU verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: MDU closes the Momentum gap — currently 70 points behind, the largest single contributor to DE's edge; MDU's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; DE's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 6 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about DE and MDU?
DE: 6 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. MDU: 1 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on DE is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On MDU it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare DE and MDU with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.