DE vs MDU Stock Comparison
MDU currently leads DE in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 51 vs 34. The clearest difference is momentum.
What is the main difference between DE and MDU?
MDU leads the current stock comparison as MDU Resources Group, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Deere & Company vs MDU Resources Group, Inc.
MDU leads
MDU leads by 17 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Value, and the lead has widened from 0 points over 30 sessions.
Competitive: 4 of 6 evidence groups support MDU, its lead is widening, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Deere & Company
MDU Resources Group, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors MDU over DE, 51 versus 34 as of Oct 22, 2026. MDU's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and value. MDU also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor MDU today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the leader is throwing conflicting signals. MDU lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 0 to 17 points over 30 sessions. MDU leads on all four AIQ factor dimensions. Value is itself one of those four, so a sweep is not explained by valuation alone — it deserves additional scrutiny for unmodeled catalysts, expectations or event risk.
Compare Deere & Company and MDU Resources Group, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare DE and MDU against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum21 vs 56MDU +35
- Value38 vs 51MDU +13
- Quality34 vs 43MDU +9
- Risk Resilience48 vs 56MDU +8
4 of 6 evidence groups favor MDU. MDU’s edge is concentrated in momentum and value.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +4
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 2 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum +9
New signals
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
MDU's lead widened by 2 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — DE and MDU both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
MDU (MDU Resources Group, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and value.
DE (Deere & Company): the counter-case, on fundamentals, technicals — but at materially higher volatility, 30.6% against 14.1%.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
MDUMDU on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
DEDE on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
MDUMDU on the peer-relative Value factor, by 13 points.
Momentum
MDUMDU on the Momentum factor, by 35 points.
Lower downside
MDUMDU on Risk Resilience, by 8 points.
Analyst upside
MDUMDU on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | DE | MDU | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +12.6% | +30.8% | MDU has more room |
| Target dispersion | +33.9% | 0% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 10 | 1 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Dividend growth
| Dividend metric | DE | MDU |
|---|---|---|
| 5Y dividend CAGR | 16.34% | 11.21% |
| 2020 regular DPS | $3.040 | $0.318 |
| 2025 regular DPS | $6.480 | $0.540 |
| Years increased | 5 | 4 |
| No cut in window | Yes | No (1) |
| Cohort rank | #26 | not ranked |
DE grew its split-adjusted regular dividend faster over 2020–2025 — 16.34% a year against MDU's 11.21%. DE never reduced its regular dividend in the window; MDU did in 1 year.
Yield and payout ratio shown elsewhere on this page are current values, not part of the study window.
Split-adjusted regular dividends per share, 2020–2025, excluding special dividends. Research as of Sep 19, 2026.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor MDU. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | MDU | 34 vs 51 |
| Fundamentals | DEon balance | revenue growth -5.7% vs -38.1%; EPS growth -22.1% vs -74.4%; TTM ROE 18.1% vs 6.9%; gross margin 35.7% vs 42.4%; operating margin 19% vs 17% — DE takes 4 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | MDU | Value 38 vs 51 |
| Technicals | DE | Price vs 50-day -3.1% vs -1%; vs 200-day 5.6% vs -7.4% |
| Risk Resilience | MDU | Risk Resilience 48 vs 56 |
| Analyst expectations | MDU | Target upside 12.6% vs 30.8% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of DE and MDU and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 17 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on MDU.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20MDU lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 0 to 17 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- MDU +17
- 34 vs 51
- 7 sessions ago
- MDU +12
- 34 vs 46
- 30 sessions ago
- Level
- 43 vs 43
- 90 sessions ago
- MDU +8
- 38 vs 46
The lead changed hands 8 times in this window, most recently on Aug 21 when DE moved ahead of MDU.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
Only DE
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (9.79%)
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
1 bullish / 3 bearish, conflicted
Only MDU
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (6.79%)
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
MDU leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +0.69%, AIQ +1 points).
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +0.1%, AIQ +3 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1DE closes the Momentum gap — currently 35 points behind, the largest single contributor to MDU's edge.
- 2DE's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it.
- 3MDU's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 3 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
DE leads on balance| Metric | DE | MDU |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -5.7% | -38.1% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -22.1% | -74.4% |
| Gross margin | 35.7% | 42.4% |
| Operating margin | 19% | 17% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 18.1% | 6.9% |
| Debt to equity | 2.29 | 0.88 |
Performance
DE leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | DE | MDU |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -2.7% | 2.5% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -10.1% | 2.9% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 4.1% | -9.5% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 7.6% | -10.8% |
| Year to date | 35.8% | -2.2% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 38.3% | 0.5% |
Technicals
DE has the stronger structure| Metric | DE | MDU |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 36.9 | 66.3 |
| ADX (14) | 19.4 | 24.5 |
| Price vs 50-day | -3.1% | -1% |
| Price vs 200-day | 5.6% | -7.4% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 30.6% | 14.1% |
Risk
MDU is the more resilient| Metric | DE | MDU |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.48 | 0.18 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.02 | -0.12 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.81 | -0.17 |
| Max drawdown | -20.1% | -19.3% |
| Current drawdown | -10.9% | -16.2% |
| Annualized volatility | 32.9% | 20% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.7% | -2.1% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, DE or MDU?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, MDU is the stronger of the two as of Oct 22, 2026, scoring 51 against DE's 34. The edge comes from momentum and value. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is DE or MDU the better buy right now?
MDU carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 22, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor MDU over DE?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. MDU leads Momentum by 35 points; MDU leads Value by 13 points; MDU leads Quality by 9 points. MDU leads on all four AIQ factor dimensions. Value is itself one of those four, so the sweep is not explained by DE simply being cheaper — it warrants extra scrutiny for unmodeled catalysts, forward expectations or event risk the factors do not capture.
Which has more analyst upside, DE or MDU?
Analyst price targets imply +12.6% upside for DE and +30.8% for MDU, so the Street currently favors MDU. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, DE or MDU?
MDU is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. MDU on the peer-relative Value factor, by 13 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, DE or MDU?
DE on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, DE or MDU?
MDU on the Momentum factor, by 35 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, DE or MDU?
MDU is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. MDU on Risk Resilience, by 8 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is DE more profitable than MDU?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 35.7% vs 42.4%; operating margin 19% vs 17%; ttm roe 18.1% vs 6.9%. DE leads on two measures and MDU on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is MDU's lead over DE getting stronger or weaker?
MDU lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 0 to 17 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands 8 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-21, when DE moved ahead of MDU.
What would change the DE vs MDU verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: DE closes the Momentum gap — currently 35 points behind, the largest single contributor to MDU's edge; DE's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it; MDU's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 3 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about DE and MDU?
DE: 1 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. MDU: 1 bullish / 3 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on DE is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On MDU it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare DE and MDU with others
Continue your research
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How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.