DOCU vs DUOL Stock Comparison
Compare DOCU and DUOL across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between DOCU and DUOL?
DUOL leads the current stock comparison as Duolingo, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
DocuSign, Inc. vs Duolingo, Inc.
DUOL leads
DUOL leads by 1 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Risk Resilience, having only recently taken the lead back from DOCU. Wall Street currently favors DOCU on target upside.
Fragile: 2 of 6 evidence groups support DUOL, the lead recently changed hands, and its current signal state is conflicted.
DocuSign, Inc.
Duolingo, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors DUOL over DOCU, 68 versus 67 as of Sep 11, 2026. DUOL's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and risk resilience, while DOCU holds the stronger momentum profile. DUOL also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors DOCU. 2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor DUOL today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. DUOL lead: Reversed — DOCU led by 2 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; DUOL now leads by 1.
Compare DocuSign, Inc. and Duolingo, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare DOCU and DUOL against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality75 vs 89DUOL +14
- Risk Resilience45 vs 57DUOL +12
- Momentum68 vs 57DOCU +11
- Value68 vs 60DOCU +8
2 of 6 evidence groups favor DUOL. DUOL’s edge is concentrated in quality and risk resilience; DOCU keeps a meaningful momentum edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum +2
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum +4
No new signals fired.
DUOL's lead widened by 1 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — DOCU and DUOL both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
DUOL (Duolingo, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and risk resilience.
DOCU (DocuSign, Inc.): the counter-case, on momentum, value, valuation.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
DUOLDUOL on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
DOCUDOCU on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
DOCUDOCU on the peer-relative Value factor, by 8 points.
Momentum
DOCUDOCU on the Momentum factor, by 11 points.
Lower downside
DUOLDUOL on Risk Resilience, by 12 points.
Analyst upside
DOCUDOCU on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors DUOL, analyst targets favor DOCU. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | DOCU | DUOL | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +1.3% | -14.2% | DOCU has more room |
| Target dispersion | +30.1% | +105.5% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 8 | 8 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor DUOL. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 67 vs 68 |
| Fundamentals | DUOLon balance | revenue growth -0.8% vs 2.2%; EPS growth -11.1% vs -23.7%; TTM ROE 16.4% vs 30.1%; gross margin 79.4% vs 72.3%; operating margin 10.6% vs 14.2% — DUOL takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | DOCU | Value 68 vs 60 |
| Technicals | DOCU | Price vs 50-day 15.4% vs 5.1%; vs 200-day 22.7% vs 10.9% |
| Risk Resilience | DUOL | Risk Resilience 45 vs 57 |
| Analyst expectations | DOCU | Target upside 1.3% vs -14.2% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of DOCU and DUOL and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on DUOL.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10DUOL lead: Reversed — DOCU led by 2 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; DUOL now leads by 1.
- Today
- DUOL +1
- 67 vs 68
- 7 sessions ago
- DUOL +5
- 69 vs 74
- 30 sessions ago
- DOCU +2
- 69 vs 67
- 90 sessions ago
- DOCU +3
- 67 vs 64
The lead changed hands 3 times in this window, most recently on Sep 1 when DUOL moved ahead of DOCU.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (6.08%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (4.44%)
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (5.56%)
DUOL leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -0.23%, AIQ +1 points).
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 2 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -1.02%, AIQ +2 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1DOCU closes the Quality gap — currently 14 points behind, the largest single contributor to DUOL's edge.
- 2DOCU generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover.
- 3DUOL's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
DUOL leads on balance| Metric | DOCU | DUOL |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -0.8% | 2.2% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -11.1% | -23.7% |
| Gross margin | 79.4% | 72.3% |
| Operating margin | 10.6% | 14.2% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 16.4% | 30.1% |
| Debt to equity | 0.1 | 0.06 |
Performance
DOCU leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | DOCU | DUOL |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 0.6% | -8% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 13.3% | 7.8% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 42.6% | 19.1% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 37.1% | 46.9% |
| Year to date | -3.8% | -17.3% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -19.5% | -46.5% |
Technicals
DOCU has the stronger structure| Metric | DOCU | DUOL |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 58.1 | 48.2 |
| ADX (14) | 36.2 | 14 |
| Price vs 50-day | 15.4% | 5.1% |
| Price vs 200-day | 22.7% | 10.9% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 59.6% | 66.8% |
Risk
DUOL is the more resilient| Metric | DOCU | DUOL |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.64 | 0.7 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.23 | -0.72 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.32 | -0.91 |
| Max drawdown | -50.9% | -74.1% |
| Current drawdown | -22.6% | -58.2% |
| Annualized volatility | 49.1% | 64.3% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -5.1% | -6.2% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, DOCU or DUOL?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, DUOL is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 68 against DOCU's 67. The edge comes from quality and risk resilience. DOCU is not without a case — it holds the better momentum profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is DOCU or DUOL the better buy right now?
DUOL carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor DUOL over DOCU?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. DUOL leads Quality by 14 points; DUOL leads Risk Resilience by 12 points; DOCU leads Momentum by 11 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, DOCU or DUOL?
Analyst price targets imply +1.3% upside for DOCU and -14.2% for DUOL, so the Street currently favors DOCU. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors DUOL. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, DOCU or DUOL?
DOCU is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. DOCU on the peer-relative Value factor, by 8 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, DOCU or DUOL?
DOCU on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, DOCU or DUOL?
DOCU on the Momentum factor, by 11 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, DOCU or DUOL?
DUOL is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. DUOL on Risk Resilience, by 12 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is DOCU more profitable than DUOL?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 79.4% vs 72.3%; operating margin 10.6% vs 14.2%; ttm roe 16.4% vs 30.1%. DOCU leads on one measure and DUOL on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is DUOL's lead over DOCU getting stronger or weaker?
DUOL lead: Reversed — DOCU led by 2 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; DUOL now leads by 1. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands 3 times in that window, most recently on 2026-09-01, when DUOL moved ahead of DOCU.
What would change the DOCU vs DUOL verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: DOCU closes the Quality gap — currently 14 points behind, the largest single contributor to DUOL's edge; DOCU generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover; DUOL's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about DOCU and DUOL?
DOCU: 3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. DUOL: 2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on DOCU is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On DUOL it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
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How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.