DOV vs FAST Stock Comparison
Dover Corporation vs Fastenal Company
FAST leads
FAST leads by 7 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Quality. Wall Street currently favors DOV on target upside.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support FAST, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Dover Corporation
Fastenal Company
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors FAST over DOV, 58 versus 51 as of Sep 5, 2026. FAST's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and quality, while DOV holds the stronger value profile. FAST also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors DOV. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor FAST today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. FAST lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 7 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Dover Corporation and Fastenal Company across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Compare DOV and FAST against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value30%59 vs 30DOV +29
- Momentum25%22 vs 51FAST +29
- Quality30%56 vs 83FAST +27
- Risk Resilience15%72 vs 75Even
3 of 6 evidence groups favor FAST. FAST’s edge is concentrated in momentum and quality; DOV keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-04, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-03.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
FAST's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — DOV and FAST both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
FAST (Fastenal Company): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and quality.
DOV (Dover Corporation): the counter-case, on value, valuation, analyst expectations.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
FASTFAST on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
DOVDOV on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
DOVDOV on the peer-relative Value factor, by 29 points.
Momentum
FASTFAST on the Momentum factor, by 29 points.
Lower downside
DOVDOV carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility.
Analyst upside
DOVDOV on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors FAST, analyst targets favor DOV. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | DOV | FAST | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +28.5% | -1.8% | DOV has more room |
| Target dispersion | +21% | +26.7% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 9 | 7 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor FAST. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | FAST | 51 vs 58 |
| Fundamentals | FASTon balance | revenue growth 6.6% vs 8.4%; EPS growth 31.1% vs 10%; TTM ROE 15% vs 34%; gross margin 39.6% vs 44.7%; operating margin 16.9% vs 20.3% — FAST takes 4 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | DOV | Value 59 vs 30 |
| Technicals | FAST | Price vs 50-day -7.3% vs 2%; vs 200-day -9% vs 8.6% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 72 vs 75 |
| Analyst expectations | DOV | Target upside 28.5% vs -1.8% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of DOV and FAST and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 7 points.
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on FAST.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 23 – Sep 4FAST lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 7 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- FAST +7
- 51 vs 58
- 7 sessions ago
- FAST +5
- 51 vs 56
- 30 sessions ago
- FAST +9
- 56 vs 65
- 90 sessions ago
- FAST +6
- 57 vs 63
The lead changed hands 4 times in this window, most recently on Jul 23 when FAST moved ahead of DOV.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 4 bearish, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (0.90%)
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce — bullish, momentum, short horizon
3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (7.30%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
FAST leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.95%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.75%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1DOV closes the Momentum gap — currently 29 points behind, the largest single contributor to FAST's edge.
- 2DOV's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3FAST's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
FAST leads on balance| Metric | DOV | FAST |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 6.6% | 8.4% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 31.1% | 10% |
| Gross margin | 39.6% | 44.7% |
| Operating margin | 16.9% | 20.3% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 15% | 34% |
| Debt to equity | 0.42 | 0.11 |
Performance
FAST leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | DOV | FAST |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -5.3% | -3.7% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -9.4% | -3.1% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -10.5% | 4.4% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -11.4% | 4.1% |
| Year to date | -2.1% | 22.7% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 8.7% | 0.1% |
Technicals
FAST has the stronger structure| Metric | DOV | FAST |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 25.8 | 39 |
| ADX (14) | 23.1 | 20.7 |
| Price vs 50-day | -7.3% | 2% |
| Price vs 200-day | -9% | 8.6% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 16.7% | 22.3% |
Risk
Split| Metric | DOV | FAST |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.94 | 0.49 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.32 | -0.04 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.52 | -0.06 |
| Max drawdown | -19% | -22.1% |
| Current drawdown | -18.1% | -6% |
| Annualized volatility | 26.3% | 26% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.5% | -2.5% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, DOV or FAST?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, FAST is the stronger of the two as of Sep 5, 2026, scoring 58 against DOV's 51. The edge comes from momentum and quality. DOV is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is DOV or FAST the better buy right now?
FAST carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 5, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor FAST over DOV?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. DOV leads Value by 29 points; FAST leads Momentum by 29 points; FAST leads Quality by 27 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, DOV or FAST?
Analyst price targets imply +28.5% upside for DOV and -1.8% for FAST, so the Street currently favors DOV. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors FAST. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, DOV or FAST?
DOV is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. DOV on the peer-relative Value factor, by 29 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, DOV or FAST?
DOV on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, DOV or FAST?
FAST on the Momentum factor, by 29 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, DOV or FAST?
DOV is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. DOV carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is DOV more profitable than FAST?
FAST leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 39.6% vs 44.7%; operating margin 16.9% vs 20.3%; ttm roe 15% vs 34%.
Is FAST's lead over DOV getting stronger or weaker?
FAST lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 7 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-23 and 2026-09-04. The lead has changed hands 4 times in that window, most recently on 2026-07-23, when FAST moved ahead of DOV.
What would change the DOV vs FAST verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: DOV closes the Momentum gap — currently 29 points behind, the largest single contributor to FAST's edge; DOV's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; FAST's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about DOV and FAST?
DOV: 1 bullish / 4 bearish, conflicted. FAST: 3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on DOV is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On FAST it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare DOV and FAST with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.