ESS vs NXRT Stock Comparison
Compare ESS and NXRT across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between ESS and NXRT?
NXRT leads the current stock comparison as NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Essex Property Trust, Inc. vs NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc.
NXRT leads
NXRT leads by 3 AIQ points, primarily on Value, having only recently taken the lead back from ESS. Wall Street currently favors ESS on target upside.
Fragile: 2 of 6 evidence groups support NXRT, the lead recently changed hands, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Essex Property Trust, Inc.
NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors NXRT over ESS, 44 versus 41 as of Sep 6, 2026. NXRT's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value, while ESS holds the stronger quality profile. NXRT also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors ESS. 2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor NXRT today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 3 points. NXRT lead: Reversed — ESS led by 8 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; NXRT now leads by 3.
Compare Essex Property Trust, Inc. and NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare ESS and NXRT against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value30%28 vs 63NXRT +35
- Quality30%49 vs 30ESS +19
- Risk Resilience15%52 vs 42ESS +10
- Momentum25%40 vs 40Even
2 of 6 evidence groups favor NXRT. NXRT’s edge is concentrated in value; ESS keeps a meaningful quality edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-05, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-04.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
NXRT's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — ESS and NXRT both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
NXRT (NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value.
ESS (Essex Property Trust, Inc.): the counter-case, on quality, risk resilience, technicals.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
NXRTNXRT on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
NXRTNXRT on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
NXRTNXRT on the peer-relative Value factor, by 35 points.
Momentum
EvenThe two are level on Momentum.
Lower downside
ESSESS on Risk Resilience, by 10 points.
Analyst upside
ESSESS on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors NXRT, analyst targets favor ESS. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | ESS | NXRT | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +8.2% | -0.5% | ESS has more room |
| Target dispersion | +26.5% | +38% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 14 | 2 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor NXRT. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 41 vs 44 |
| Fundamentals | NXRTon balance | revenue growth 0.9% vs 1.7%; EPS growth -41.2% vs -22.2%; TTM ROE 7.6% vs -11.8%; gross margin 69.4% vs 90.8%; operating margin 29.1% vs 11.1% — NXRT takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | NXRT | Value 28 vs 63 |
| Technicals | ESS | Price vs 50-day -3.7% vs -7.8%; vs 200-day 4.3% vs -14.8% |
| Risk Resilience | ESS | Risk Resilience 52 vs 42 |
| Analyst expectations | ESS | Target upside 8.2% vs -0.5% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of ESS and NXRT and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 3 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on NXRT.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 24 – Sep 5NXRT lead: Reversed — ESS led by 8 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; NXRT now leads by 3.
- Today
- NXRT +3
- 41 vs 44
- 7 sessions ago
- ESS +9
- 46 vs 37
- 30 sessions ago
- ESS +8
- 45 vs 37
- 90 sessions ago
- ESS +10
- 54 vs 44
The lead changed hands once in this window, most recently on Sep 2 when NXRT moved ahead of ESS.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (8.35%)
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
1 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (8.23%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- 52-Week Low Proximity — bearish, risk, long horizon (1.9%)
NXRT leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.01%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.34%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1ESS closes the Value gap — currently 35 points behind, the largest single contributor to NXRT's edge.
- 2ESS's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it.
- 3NXRT's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 3 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
NXRT leads on balance| Metric | ESS | NXRT |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 0.9% | 1.7% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -41.2% | -22.2% |
| Gross margin | 69.4% | 90.8% |
| Operating margin | 29.1% | 11.1% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 7.6% | -11.8% |
| Debt to equity | 1.27 | 6.41 |
Performance
ESS leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | ESS | NXRT |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -1.9% | 1% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -3.3% | -6.9% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -2.4% | -18% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 9.2% | -13.2% |
| Year to date | 6.5% | -21% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 6.5% | -28.9% |
Technicals
ESS has the stronger structure| Metric | ESS | NXRT |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 43.6 | 47.9 |
| ADX (14) | 21.8 | 26.9 |
| Price vs 50-day | -3.7% | -7.8% |
| Price vs 200-day | 4.3% | -14.8% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 18.9% | 25.5% |
Risk
ESS is the more resilient| Metric | ESS | NXRT |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.11 | 0.25 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.16 | -1.26 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.23 | -1.98 |
| Max drawdown | -10.9% | -32.5% |
| Current drawdown | -6.6% | -31.4% |
| Annualized volatility | 19.8% | 28.4% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.1% | -2.9% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, ESS or NXRT?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, NXRT is the stronger of the two as of Sep 6, 2026, scoring 44 against ESS's 41. The edge comes from value. ESS is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is ESS or NXRT the better buy right now?
NXRT carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 6, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 3 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor NXRT over ESS?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. NXRT leads Value by 35 points; ESS leads Quality by 19 points; ESS leads Risk Resilience by 10 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, ESS or NXRT?
Analyst price targets imply +8.2% upside for ESS and -0.5% for NXRT, so the Street currently favors ESS. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors NXRT. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, ESS or NXRT?
NXRT is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. NXRT on the peer-relative Value factor, by 35 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, ESS or NXRT?
NXRT on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, ESS or NXRT?
The two are level on Momentum. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, ESS or NXRT?
ESS is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. ESS on Risk Resilience, by 10 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is ESS more profitable than NXRT?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 69.4% vs 90.8%; operating margin 29.1% vs 11.1%; ttm roe 7.6% vs -11.8%. ESS leads on two measures and NXRT on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is NXRT's lead over ESS getting stronger or weaker?
NXRT lead: Reversed — ESS led by 8 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; NXRT now leads by 3. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-24 and 2026-09-05. The lead has changed hands once in that window, most recently on 2026-09-02, when NXRT moved ahead of ESS.
What would change the ESS vs NXRT verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: ESS closes the Value gap — currently 35 points behind, the largest single contributor to NXRT's edge; ESS's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it; NXRT's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 3 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about ESS and NXRT?
ESS: 1 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. NXRT: 1 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on ESS is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On NXRT it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare ESS and NXRT with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.