ET vs MO Stock Comparison
MO currently leads ET in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 59 vs 45. The clearest difference is momentum, while ET has the stronger value profile.
What is the main difference between ET and MO?
MO leads the current stock comparison as Altria Group, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Energy Transfer LP vs Altria Group, Inc.
MO leads
MO leads by 14 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Quality, and the lead has widened from 10 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors ET on target upside.
Competitive: 2 of 6 evidence groups support MO, its lead is widening, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Energy Transfer LP
Altria Group, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors MO over ET, 59 versus 45 as of Oct 21, 2026. MO's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and quality, while ET holds the stronger value profile. MO also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors ET. 2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor MO today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. MO lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 10 to 14 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Energy Transfer LP and Altria Group, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare ET and MO against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum45 vs 80MO +35
- Quality28 vs 60MO +32
- Value58 vs 47ET +11
- Risk Resilience55 vs 44ET +11
2 of 6 evidence groups favor MO. MO’s edge is concentrated in momentum and quality; ET keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum -6
New signals
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
No factor moved materially.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 7 active signals are unchanged.
MO's lead widened by 2 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — ET and MO both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
MO (Altria Group, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and quality.
ET (Energy Transfer LP): the counter-case, on value, risk resilience, fundamentals.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
MOMO on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
ETET on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
ETET on the peer-relative Value factor, by 11 points.
Momentum
MOMO on the Momentum factor, by 35 points.
Lower downside
ETET on Risk Resilience, by 11 points.
Analyst upside
ETET on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors MO, analyst targets favor ET. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | ET | MO | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +24.2% | -5.5% | ET has more room |
| Target dispersion | +12% | +30.1% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 4 | 7 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Dividend growth
| Dividend metric | ET | MO |
|---|---|---|
| 5Y dividend CAGR | 4.26% | 4.12% |
| 2020 regular DPS | $1.068 | $3.400 |
| 2025 regular DPS | $1.315 | $4.160 |
| Years increased | 4 | 5 |
| No cut in window | No (1) | Yes |
| Cohort rank | not ranked | #283 |
ET grew its split-adjusted regular dividend faster over 2020–2025 — 4.26% a year against MO's 4.12%. MO never reduced its regular dividend in the window; ET did in 1 year. They are ranked in different cohorts — master limited partnerships and US dividend-paying corporations — so their ranks are not comparable with each other.
Yield and payout ratio shown elsewhere on this page are current values, not part of the study window.
Split-adjusted regular dividends per share, 2020–2025, excluding special dividends. Research as of Sep 19, 2026.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor MO. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | MO | 45 vs 59 |
| Fundamentals | ETon balance | revenue growth 23.6% vs 12.6%; EPS growth 68.6% vs 5.4%; TTM ROE 16.8% vs -265.2%; gross margin 24.1% vs 71%; operating margin 10.6% vs 55.9% — ET takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | ET | Value 58 vs 47 |
| Technicals | MO | Price vs 50-day -3.4% vs 7.1%; vs 200-day 2.1% vs 9.5% |
| Risk Resilience | ET | Risk Resilience 55 vs 44 |
| Analyst expectations | ET | Target upside 24.2% vs -5.5% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of ET and MO and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 14 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- Only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on MO.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20MO lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 10 to 14 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- MO +14
- 45 vs 59
- 7 sessions ago
- MO +14
- 45 vs 59
- 30 sessions ago
- MO +10
- 42 vs 52
- 90 sessions ago
- ET +10
- 53 vs 43
The lead changed hands 4 times in this window, most recently on Sep 11 when MO moved ahead of ET.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only ET
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
6 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
Only MO
- Keltner Channel Breakout — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- 52-Week High Proximity — bullish, risk, long horizon (2.0%)
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
Both carry 1 more signal that do not separate them: Golden Cross Active.
MO leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 2 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +2.97%, AIQ -2 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -1.09%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1ET closes the Momentum gap — currently 35 points behind, the largest single contributor to MO's edge.
- 2ET's Bollinger Band Squeeze turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend.
- 3MO's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 6 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
ET leads on balance| Metric | ET | MO |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 23.6% | 12.6% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 68.6% | 5.4% |
| Gross margin | 24.1% | 71% |
| Operating margin | 10.6% | 55.9% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 16.8% | -265.2% |
| Debt to equity | 1.99 | -9.21 |
Performance
MO leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | ET | MO |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -4.4% | 4.3% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -4.2% | 8.7% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -4% | 3.4% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 3.1% | 15.5% |
| Year to date | 18.6% | 29.4% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 17.2% | 15.9% |
Technicals
MO has the stronger structure| Metric | ET | MO |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 46.7 | 85.2 |
| ADX (14) | 28.9 | 20.3 |
| Price vs 50-day | -3.4% | 7.1% |
| Price vs 200-day | 2.1% | 9.5% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 19.8% | 18.2% |
Risk
ET is the more resilient| Metric | ET | MO |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.18 | -0.52 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.85 | 0.51 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.45 | 0.62 |
| Max drawdown | -10% | -15.9% |
| Current drawdown | -10% | -0.6% |
| Annualized volatility | 17.7% | 26.3% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -1.6% | -2.3% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, ET or MO?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, MO is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 59 against ET's 45. The edge comes from momentum and quality. ET is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is ET or MO the better buy right now?
MO carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor MO over ET?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. MO leads Momentum by 35 points; MO leads Quality by 32 points; ET leads Value by 11 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, ET or MO?
Analyst price targets imply +24.2% upside for ET and -5.5% for MO, so the Street currently favors ET. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors MO. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, ET or MO?
ET is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. ET on the peer-relative Value factor, by 11 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, ET or MO?
ET on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, ET or MO?
MO on the Momentum factor, by 35 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, ET or MO?
ET is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. ET on Risk Resilience, by 11 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is ET more profitable than MO?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 24.1% vs 71%; operating margin 10.6% vs 55.9%; ttm roe 16.8% vs -265.2%. ET leads on one measure and MO on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is MO's lead over ET getting stronger or weaker?
MO lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 10 to 14 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands 4 times in that window, most recently on 2026-09-11, when MO moved ahead of ET.
What would change the ET vs MO verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: ET closes the Momentum gap — currently 35 points behind, the largest single contributor to MO's edge; ET's Bollinger Band Squeeze turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend; MO's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 6 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about ET and MO?
ET: 2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. MO: 6 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on ET is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On MO it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare ET and MO with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.