ETSY vs GENI Stock Comparison
Compare ETSY and GENI across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between ETSY and GENI?
ETSY leads the current stock comparison as Etsy, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Etsy, Inc. vs Genius Sports Limited
ETSY leads
ETSY leads by 6 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Momentum. Wall Street currently favors GENI on target upside.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support ETSY, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Etsy, Inc.
Genius Sports Limited
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors ETSY over GENI, 37 versus 31 as of Sep 11, 2026. ETSY's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and momentum, while GENI holds the stronger value profile. ETSY also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors GENI. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ETSY today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. ETSY lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 6 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Etsy, Inc. and Genius Sports Limited across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare ETSY and GENI against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality60 vs 24ETSY +36
- Value27 vs 48GENI +21
- Momentum29 vs 25ETSY +4
- Risk Resilience22 vs 22Even
3 of 6 evidence groups favor ETSY. ETSY’s edge is concentrated in quality and momentum; GENI keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum -1
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum -13
New signals
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
ETSY's lead widened by 3 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — ETSY and GENI both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
ETSY (Etsy, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and momentum.
GENI (Genius Sports Limited): the counter-case, on value, valuation, analyst expectations — but at materially higher volatility, 62.6% against 46.7%.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
ETSYETSY on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
GENIGENI on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
GENIGENI on the peer-relative Value factor, by 21 points.
Momentum
ETSYETSY on the Momentum factor, by 4 points.
Lower downside
ETSYETSY carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility.
Analyst upside
GENIGENI on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors ETSY, analyst targets favor GENI. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | ETSY | GENI | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +11.3% | +44.4% | GENI has more room |
| Target dispersion | +56.8% | +71.1% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 16 | 10 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ETSY. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | ETSY | 37 vs 31 |
| Fundamentals | ETSYon balance | revenue growth 5.9% vs 4%; EPS growth -168.1% vs -33.3%; TTM ROE -17.7% vs -25.7%; gross margin 72.3% vs 27.4%; operating margin 16% vs -12.6% — ETSY takes 4 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | GENI | Value 27 vs 48 |
| Technicals | ETSY | Price vs 50-day -10.1% vs -5.3%; vs 200-day 11.5% vs -4.1% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 22 vs 22 |
| Analyst expectations | GENI | Target upside 11.3% vs 44.4% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of ETSY and GENI and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 6 points.
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on ETSY.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10ETSY lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 6 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- ETSY +6
- 37 vs 31
- 7 sessions ago
- ETSY +1
- 40 vs 39
- 30 sessions ago
- ETSY +4
- 45 vs 41
- 90 sessions ago
- ETSY +12
- 48 vs 36
The lead changed hands 6 times in this window, most recently on Sep 9 when ETSY moved ahead of GENI.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (26.05%)
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
2 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (2.77%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
ETSY leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.63%, AIQ 0 points).
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 3 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +1.49%, AIQ -3 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1GENI closes the Quality gap — currently 36 points behind, the largest single contributor to ETSY's edge.
- 2GENI's Bollinger Band Squeeze turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend.
- 3ETSY's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
ETSY leads on balance| Metric | ETSY | GENI |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 5.9% | 4% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -168.1% | -33.3% |
| Gross margin | 72.3% | 27.4% |
| Operating margin | 16% | -12.6% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | -17.7% | -25.7% |
| Debt to equity | -2.2 | 1.2 |
Performance
ETSY leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | ETSY | GENI |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -12.4% | -9.4% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -10.1% | -12.2% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 4.2% | -1.2% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 35.9% | 29% |
| Year to date | 29.1% | -39% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 23% | -47.4% |
Technicals
ETSY has the stronger structure| Metric | ETSY | GENI |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 32.6 | 30.9 |
| ADX (14) | 17.8 | 18.6 |
| Price vs 50-day | -10.1% | -5.3% |
| Price vs 200-day | 11.5% | -4.1% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 46.7% | 62.6% |
Risk
Split| Metric | ETSY | GENI |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.13 | 1.49 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.65 | -0.62 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.94 | -0.94 |
| Max drawdown | -41.1% | -70.8% |
| Current drawdown | -17.7% | -50% |
| Annualized volatility | 53.8% | 70.3% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -5.1% | -6.1% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, ETSY or GENI?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, ETSY is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 37 against GENI's 31. The edge comes from quality and momentum. GENI is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is ETSY or GENI the better buy right now?
ETSY carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor ETSY over GENI?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. ETSY leads Quality by 36 points; GENI leads Value by 21 points; ETSY leads Momentum by 4 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, ETSY or GENI?
Analyst price targets imply +11.3% upside for ETSY and +44.4% for GENI, so the Street currently favors GENI. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors ETSY. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, ETSY or GENI?
GENI is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. GENI on the peer-relative Value factor, by 21 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, ETSY or GENI?
GENI on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, ETSY or GENI?
ETSY on the Momentum factor, by 4 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, ETSY or GENI?
ETSY is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. ETSY carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is ETSY more profitable than GENI?
ETSY leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 72.3% vs 27.4%; operating margin 16% vs -12.6%; ttm roe -17.7% vs -25.7%.
Is ETSY's lead over GENI getting stronger or weaker?
ETSY lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 6 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands 6 times in that window, most recently on 2026-09-09, when ETSY moved ahead of GENI.
What would change the ETSY vs GENI verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: GENI closes the Quality gap — currently 36 points behind, the largest single contributor to ETSY's edge; GENI's Bollinger Band Squeeze turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend; ETSY's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about ETSY and GENI?
ETSY: 2 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. GENI: 2 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on ETSY is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On GENI it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare ETSY and GENI with others
Continue your research
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How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.