FATE vs ICLR Stock Comparison
Compare FATE and ICLR across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between FATE and ICLR?
ICLR leads the current stock comparison as ICON Public Limited Company, with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Fate Therapeutics, Inc. vs ICON Public Limited Company
ICLR leads
ICLR leads by 15 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Quality. Wall Street currently favors FATE on target upside.
Competitive: 4 of 6 evidence groups support ICLR, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Fate Therapeutics, Inc.
ICON Public Limited Company
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors ICLR over FATE, 48 versus 33 as of Sep 11, 2026. ICLR's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and quality, while FATE holds the stronger momentum profile. ICLR also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors FATE. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ICLR today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the leader is throwing conflicting signals. ICLR lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 15 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Fate Therapeutics, Inc. and ICON Public Limited Company across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare FATE and ICLR against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value34 vs 67ICLR +33
- Quality23 vs 38ICLR +15
- Risk Resilience34 vs 49ICLR +15
- Momentum43 vs 36FATE +7
4 of 6 evidence groups favor ICLR. ICLR’s edge is concentrated in value and quality; FATE keeps a meaningful momentum edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum +4
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum +8
No new signals fired.
ICLR's lead widened by 1 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — FATE and ICLR both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
ICLR (ICON Public Limited Company): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and quality.
FATE (Fate Therapeutics, Inc.): the counter-case, on momentum, technicals, analyst expectations — but at materially higher volatility, 58.1% against 35.7%.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
ICLRICLR on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
FATEFATE on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
ICLRICLR on the peer-relative Value factor, by 33 points.
Momentum
FATEFATE on the Momentum factor, by 7 points.
Lower downside
ICLRICLR on Risk Resilience, by 15 points.
Analyst upside
FATEFATE on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors ICLR, analyst targets favor FATE. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | FATE | ICLR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +143.3% | -4.2% | FATE has more room |
| Target dispersion | +80.1% | +62.9% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 4 | 11 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ICLR. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | ICLR | 33 vs 48 |
| Fundamentals | ICLRon balance | revenue growth 60.3% vs 1.4%; EPS growth 3.8% vs -31.4%; TTM ROE -65.1% vs 3.5%; gross margin -3.4% vs 21.8%; operating margin -20.6% vs 10.1% — ICLR takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | ICLR | Value 34 vs 67 |
| Technicals | FATE | Price vs 50-day -12.3% vs 1.2%; vs 200-day 33.5% vs 12.4% |
| Risk Resilience | ICLR | Risk Resilience 34 vs 49 |
| Analyst expectations | FATE | Target upside 143.3% vs -4.2% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of FATE and ICLR and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 15 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on ICLR.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10ICLR lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 15 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- ICLR +15
- 33 vs 48
- 7 sessions ago
- ICLR +16
- 33 vs 49
- 30 sessions ago
- ICLR +16
- 39 vs 55
- 90 sessions ago
- ICLR +16
- 42 vs 58
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (50.82%)
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (6.58%)
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (13.50%)
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (4.03%)
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
ICLR leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -0.86%, AIQ +1 points).
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +2.18%, AIQ +2 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1FATE closes the Value gap — currently 33 points behind, the largest single contributor to ICLR's edge.
- 2FATE's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it.
- 3ICLR's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
ICLR leads on balance| Metric | FATE | ICLR |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 60.3% | 1.4% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 3.8% | -31.4% |
| Gross margin | -3.4% | 21.8% |
| Operating margin | -20.6% | 10.1% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | -65.1% | 3.5% |
| Debt to equity | 0.49 | 0.37 |
Performance
FATE leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | FATE | ICLR |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -4.9% | 3.7% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -14.3% | -0.9% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 24.6% | 14.6% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 89.4% | 57.2% |
| Year to date | 137.1% | -9.1% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 141.2% | -6.8% |
Technicals
FATE has the stronger structure| Metric | FATE | ICLR |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 43.2 | 38.7 |
| ADX (14) | 13 | 12.2 |
| Price vs 50-day | -12.3% | 1.2% |
| Price vs 200-day | 33.5% | 12.4% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 58.1% | 35.7% |
Risk
ICLR is the more resilient| Metric | FATE | ICLR |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.9 | 1.32 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.32 | 0.29 |
| Sortino ratio | 2.63 | 0.31 |
| Max drawdown | -41.6% | -60.5% |
| Current drawdown | -25.1% | -18.4% |
| Annualized volatility | 96.2% | 67.3% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -8.7% | -4.7% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, FATE or ICLR?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, ICLR is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 48 against FATE's 33. The edge comes from value and quality. FATE is not without a case — it holds the better momentum profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is FATE or ICLR the better buy right now?
ICLR carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor ICLR over FATE?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. ICLR leads Value by 33 points; ICLR leads Quality by 15 points; ICLR leads Risk Resilience by 15 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, FATE or ICLR?
Analyst price targets imply +143.3% upside for FATE and -4.2% for ICLR, so the Street currently favors FATE. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors ICLR. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, FATE or ICLR?
ICLR is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. ICLR on the peer-relative Value factor, by 33 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, FATE or ICLR?
FATE on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, FATE or ICLR?
FATE on the Momentum factor, by 7 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, FATE or ICLR?
ICLR is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. ICLR on Risk Resilience, by 15 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is FATE more profitable than ICLR?
ICLR leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin -3.4% vs 21.8%; operating margin -20.6% vs 10.1%; ttm roe -65.1% vs 3.5%.
Is ICLR's lead over FATE getting stronger or weaker?
ICLR lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 15 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the FATE vs ICLR verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: FATE closes the Value gap — currently 33 points behind, the largest single contributor to ICLR's edge; FATE's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it; ICLR's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about FATE and ICLR?
FATE: 1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. ICLR: 1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on FATE is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On ICLR it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare FATE and ICLR with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.