FLYW vs GPN Stock Comparison
Compare FLYW and GPN across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between FLYW and GPN?
GPN leads the current stock comparison as Global Payments Inc., with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Flywire Corp vs Global Payments Inc.
GPN leads
GPN leads by 6 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Momentum, and the lead has widened from 1 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors FLYW on target upside.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support GPN, its lead is widening, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Flywire Corp
Global Payments Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors GPN over FLYW, 52 versus 46 as of Sep 11, 2026. GPN's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and momentum, while FLYW holds the stronger quality profile. GPN also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors FLYW. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor GPN today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. GPN lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 1 to 6 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Flywire Corp and Global Payments Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare FLYW and GPN against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value35 vs 65GPN +30
- Quality60 vs 44FLYW +16
- Momentum38 vs 50GPN +12
- Risk Resilience56 vs 47FLYW +9
3 of 6 evidence groups favor GPN. GPN’s edge is concentrated in value and momentum; FLYW keeps a meaningful quality edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum +1
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum +3
No new signals fired.
GPN's lead widened by 1 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — FLYW and GPN both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
GPN (Global Payments Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and momentum.
FLYW (Flywire Corp): the counter-case, on quality, risk resilience, analyst expectations.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
GPNGPN on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
GPNGPN on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
GPNGPN on the peer-relative Value factor, by 30 points.
Momentum
GPNGPN on the Momentum factor, by 12 points.
Lower downside
FLYWFLYW on Risk Resilience, by 9 points.
Analyst upside
FLYWFLYW on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors GPN, analyst targets favor FLYW. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | FLYW | GPN | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +13.5% | +6.5% | FLYW has more room |
| Target dispersion | +44.4% | +63.8% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 11 | 13 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor GPN. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | GPN | 46 vs 52 |
| Fundamentals | GPNon balance | revenue growth -10.8% vs 11.8%; EPS growth -170% vs 100.7%; TTM ROE 4.1% vs -4.1%; gross margin 57.5% vs 63.9%; operating margin 5.5% vs 11.9% — GPN takes 4 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | GPN | Value 35 vs 65 |
| Technicals | Even | Price vs 50-day -0.4% vs 3.1%; vs 200-day 19.8% vs 16.6% |
| Risk Resilience | FLYW | Risk Resilience 56 vs 47 |
| Analyst expectations | FLYW | Target upside 13.5% vs 6.5% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of FLYW and GPN and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 6 points.
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on GPN.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10GPN lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 1 to 6 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- GPN +6
- 46 vs 52
- 7 sessions ago
- GPN +4
- 53 vs 57
- 30 sessions ago
- GPN +1
- 56 vs 57
- 90 sessions ago
- GPN +5
- 56 vs 61
The lead changed hands 2 times in this window, most recently on Jun 29 when GPN moved ahead of FLYW.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 1 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (21.15%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (12.85%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
GPN leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.68%, AIQ 0 points).
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -0.29%, AIQ +1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1FLYW closes the Value gap — currently 30 points behind, the largest single contributor to GPN's edge.
- 2FLYW's Bollinger Band Squeeze turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend.
- 3GPN's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
GPN leads on balance| Metric | FLYW | GPN |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -10.8% | 11.8% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -170% | 100.7% |
| Gross margin | 57.5% | 63.9% |
| Operating margin | 5.5% | 11.9% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 4.1% | -4.1% |
| Debt to equity | 0 | 0.97 |
Performance
FLYW leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | FLYW | GPN |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -5.7% | -4.6% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 1.7% | 0% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 24.7% | 39.1% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 36.6% | 21.6% |
| Year to date | 25.4% | 14.4% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 35.4% | 1.3% |
Technicals
Split| Metric | FLYW | GPN |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 38.2 | 39.6 |
| ADX (14) | 22.7 | 33.9 |
| Price vs 50-day | -0.4% | 3.1% |
| Price vs 200-day | 19.8% | 16.6% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 38.2% | 37.2% |
Risk
FLYW is the more resilient| Metric | FLYW | GPN |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.37 | 1.1 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.8 | 0.15 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.37 | 0.25 |
| Max drawdown | -28.2% | -29.4% |
| Current drawdown | -9.2% | -6.6% |
| Annualized volatility | 46.9% | 40.6% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -3.9% | -3.5% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, FLYW or GPN?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, GPN is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 52 against FLYW's 46. The edge comes from value and momentum. FLYW is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is FLYW or GPN the better buy right now?
GPN carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor GPN over FLYW?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. GPN leads Value by 30 points; FLYW leads Quality by 16 points; GPN leads Momentum by 12 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, FLYW or GPN?
Analyst price targets imply +13.5% upside for FLYW and +6.5% for GPN, so the Street currently favors FLYW. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors GPN. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, FLYW or GPN?
GPN is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. GPN on the peer-relative Value factor, by 30 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, FLYW or GPN?
GPN on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, FLYW or GPN?
GPN on the Momentum factor, by 12 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, FLYW or GPN?
FLYW is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. FLYW on Risk Resilience, by 9 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is FLYW more profitable than GPN?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 57.5% vs 63.9%; operating margin 5.5% vs 11.9%; ttm roe 4.1% vs -4.1%. FLYW leads on one measure and GPN on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is GPN's lead over FLYW getting stronger or weaker?
GPN lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 1 to 6 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands 2 times in that window, most recently on 2026-06-29, when GPN moved ahead of FLYW.
What would change the FLYW vs GPN verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: FLYW closes the Value gap — currently 30 points behind, the largest single contributor to GPN's edge; FLYW's Bollinger Band Squeeze turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend; GPN's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about FLYW and GPN?
FLYW: 2 bullish / 1 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted. GPN: 3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on FLYW is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On GPN it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare FLYW and GPN with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.