GAP vs HD Stock Comparison
Compare GAP and HD across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between GAP and HD?
GAP leads the current stock comparison as The Gap, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
The Gap, Inc. vs The Home Depot, Inc.
GAP leads
GAP leads by 18 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Value, and the lead has widened from 2 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors HD on target upside.
Competitive: 3 of 6 evidence groups support GAP, and its lead is widening.
The Gap, Inc.
The Home Depot, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors GAP over HD, 58 versus 40 as of Sep 11, 2026. GAP's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and value, while HD holds the stronger risk resilience profile. GAP also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors HD. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor GAP today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. GAP lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 2 to 18 points over 30 sessions.
Compare The Gap, Inc. and The Home Depot, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare GAP and HD against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum61 vs 16GAP +45
- Value67 vs 37GAP +30
- Risk Resilience29 vs 59HD +30
- Quality61 vs 55GAP +6
3 of 6 evidence groups favor GAP. GAP’s edge is concentrated in momentum and value; HD keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
No factor moved materially.
New signals
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
Largest factor move: Momentum -1
New signals
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
GAP's lead widened by 1 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — GAP and HD both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
GAP (The Gap, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and value.
HD (The Home Depot, Inc.): the counter-case, on risk resilience, fundamentals, analyst expectations.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
GAPGAP on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
EvenGrowth figures are not covered for both names.
Value
GAPGAP on the peer-relative Value factor, by 30 points.
Momentum
GAPGAP on the Momentum factor, by 45 points.
Lower downside
HDHD on Risk Resilience, by 30 points.
Analyst upside
HDHD on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors GAP, analyst targets favor HD. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | GAP | HD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +17.3% | +20.3% | HD has more room |
| Target dispersion | +87.2% | +28.3% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 8 | 13 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor GAP. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | GAP | 58 vs 40 |
| Fundamentals | HDon balance | revenue growth 4.4% vs 14.6%; EPS growth 53.3% vs 44.7%; TTM ROE 33.1% vs 102.7%; gross margin 43.3% vs 33.2%; operating margin 11% vs 12.4% — HD takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | GAP | Value 67 vs 37 |
| Technicals | GAP | Price vs 50-day 5.5% vs -8.3%; vs 200-day -12.5% vs -11% |
| Risk Resilience | HD | Risk Resilience 29 vs 59 |
| Analyst expectations | HD | Target upside 17.3% vs 20.3% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of GAP and HD and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 18 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on GAP.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10GAP lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 2 to 18 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- GAP +18
- 58 vs 40
- 7 sessions ago
- GAP +19
- 60 vs 41
- 30 sessions ago
- GAP +2
- 52 vs 50
- 90 sessions ago
- HD +4
- 48 vs 52
The lead changed hands 2 times in this window, most recently on Jul 13 when GAP moved ahead of HD.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
0 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (17.18%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (4.23%)
2 bullish / 4 bearish, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (2.04%)
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
HD is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +2.87%, AIQ 0 points).
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +1%, AIQ -1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1HD closes the Momentum gap — currently 45 points behind, the largest single contributor to GAP's edge.
- 2HD's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3GAP starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
HD leads on balance| Metric | GAP | HD |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 4.4% | 14.6% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 53.3% | 44.7% |
| Gross margin | 43.3% | 33.2% |
| Operating margin | 11% | 12.4% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 33.1% | 102.7% |
| Debt to equity | 1.45 | 3.77 |
Performance
GAP leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | GAP | HD |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -5.2% | -4% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 3.3% | -11% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -0.9% | -4.1% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -11.2% | -12.9% |
| Year to date | -18.3% | -11.2% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -13.4% | -26.5% |
Technicals
GAP has the stronger structure| Metric | GAP | HD |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 57.5 | 17.8 |
| ADX (14) | 24.1 | 19 |
| Price vs 50-day | 5.5% | -8.3% |
| Price vs 200-day | -12.5% | -11% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 59.6% | 19.2% |
Risk
HD is the more resilient| Metric | GAP | HD |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.2 | 0.71 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.15 | -1.24 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.2 | -2.14 |
| Max drawdown | -37% | -29.7% |
| Current drawdown | -28.2% | -27.8% |
| Annualized volatility | 47.1% | 25.5% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -3.9% | -2.4% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, GAP or HD?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, GAP is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 58 against HD's 40. The edge comes from momentum and value. HD is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is GAP or HD the better buy right now?
GAP carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor GAP over HD?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. GAP leads Momentum by 45 points; GAP leads Value by 30 points; HD leads Risk Resilience by 30 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, GAP or HD?
Analyst price targets imply +17.3% upside for GAP and +20.3% for HD, so the Street currently favors HD. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors GAP. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, GAP or HD?
GAP is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. GAP on the peer-relative Value factor, by 30 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, GAP or HD?
Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, GAP or HD?
GAP on the Momentum factor, by 45 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, GAP or HD?
HD is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. HD on Risk Resilience, by 30 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is GAP more profitable than HD?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 43.3% vs 33.2%; operating margin 11% vs 12.4%; ttm roe 33.1% vs 102.7%. GAP leads on one measure and HD on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is GAP's lead over HD getting stronger or weaker?
GAP lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 2 to 18 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands 2 times in that window, most recently on 2026-07-13, when GAP moved ahead of HD.
What would change the GAP vs HD verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: HD closes the Momentum gap — currently 45 points behind, the largest single contributor to GAP's edge; HD's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; GAP starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about GAP and HD?
GAP: 0 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral. HD: 2 bullish / 4 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on GAP is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On HD it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare GAP and HD with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.