GAP vs KMX Stock Comparison

GAP currently leads KMX in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 52 vs 38. The clearest difference is quality, while KMX has the stronger momentum profile.

Market data as of Oct 31, 2026 market close· AIQ score gap 14 points
GAP
Consumer Cyclical
vs
KMX
Consumer Cyclical
GAP
The Gap, Inc.
Leads
Price
$22.32
Day move
-2.49%
AIQ Score
52/100
Best edge
Quality
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
KMX
CarMax, Inc.
Price
$55.58
Day move
-1.05%
AIQ Score
38/100
Best edge
Momentum
Sector
Consumer Cyclical

What is the main difference between GAP and KMX?

GAP leads the current stock comparison as The Gap, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.

AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison

The Gap, Inc. vs CarMax, Inc.

Data as of Oct 31, 2026· market close· Consumer Cyclical· Coverage 66/66 fields· High confidence
AIQ VerdictFragileAIQ Comparison Conviction 6/10

GAP leads

GAP leads by 14 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Value, but the lead has narrowed from 30 points over 30 sessions.

Fragile: 4 of 6 evidence groups support GAP, and its lead is narrowing.

Evidence agreement: 4 of 6Comparison trend: Weakening
GAP

The Gap, Inc.

Leads
AIQ Score
52/100
AIQ Edge Score
6/10
KMX

CarMax, Inc.

AIQ Score
38/100
AIQ Edge Score
2/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors GAP over KMX, 52 versus 38 as of Oct 31, 2026. GAP's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and value, while KMX holds the stronger momentum profile. GAP also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor GAP today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the leader's advantage has been narrowing. GAP lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 30 to 14 points over 30 sessions.

Compare The Gap, Inc. and CarMax, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.

Currently unavailable

Performance over time

Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.

GAP
-3.8%
KMX
-34.3%

Total return comparison

Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested

GAP $9,623 · KMX $6,574

Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.

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AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

GAP advantage
0
KMX advantage
  • Quality61 vs 8
    GAP +53
  • Momentum29 vs 50
    KMX +21
  • Value67 vs 52
    GAP +15
  • Risk Resilience40 vs 48
    KMX +8

4 of 6 evidence groups favor GAP. GAP’s edge is concentrated in quality and value; KMX keeps a meaningful momentum edge.

What changed since the last close

Latest scored session 2026-10-28, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-27.

GAP+1 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum +4

No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 4 active signals are unchanged.

KMX0 AIQ

Largest factor move: Risk Resilience +3, not enough on its own to move the overall score.

No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 4 active signals are unchanged.

GAP's lead widened by 1 AIQ point in the latest session.

Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — GAP and KMX both carry a full feed there.

The central trade-off

GAP (The Gap, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and value.

KMX (CarMax, Inc.): the counter-case, on momentum, risk resilience, technicals — but at materially higher volatility, 44.1% against 30.1%.

Which one fits your objective

The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.

Balanced

GAP

GAP on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.

Growth

KMX

KMX on combined revenue and EPS growth.

Value

GAP

GAP on the peer-relative Value factor, by 15 points.

Momentum

KMX

KMX on the Momentum factor, by 21 points.

Lower downside

KMX

KMX on Risk Resilience, by 8 points.

Analyst upside

GAP

GAP on implied upside to the consensus price target.

AIQ vs Wall Street

Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.

MeasureGAPKMXNote
Implied upside to target+12.3%-1.9%GAP has more room
Target dispersion+87.8%+78.9%Lower is tighter analyst agreement
ConsensusHoldHoldContext, not a primary driver
Analysts covering98Higher coverage generally improves confidence

Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor GAP. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreGAP52 vs 38
FundamentalsGAPon balancerevenue growth 4.4% vs 34.8%; EPS growth 53.3% vs 270.1%; TTM ROE 33.1% vs 3.7%; gross margin 43.3% vs 10.2%; operating margin 11% vs -1.9% — GAP takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them
ValuationGAPValue 67 vs 52
TechnicalsKMXPrice vs 50-day 1.4% vs -2.9%; vs 200-day -5% vs 9.5%
Risk ResilienceKMXRisk Resilience 40 vs 48
Analyst expectationsGAPTarget upside 12.3% vs -1.9%

✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of GAP and KMX and are excluded from the count.

AIQ Decision Stability

Fragile

The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.

  • The AIQ gap is wide at 14 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
  • The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • Signal direction runs against the verdict: the leader is net-bearish while the laggard is net-bullish. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)

Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on GAP.

How the comparison changed

120 daily snapshots · Jun 29 – Oct 28

GAP lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 30 to 14 points over 30 sessions.

Jun 29GAP leads above the line · KMX leads belowOct 28
Today
GAP +14
52 vs 38
7 sessions ago
GAP +20
55 vs 35
30 sessions ago
GAP +30
64 vs 34
90 sessions ago
GAP +9
57 vs 48

The lead has not changed hands in this window.

AIQ Signal Divergence

Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.

GAP

0 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral

Only GAP

  • Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (5.24%)
  • Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
  • MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
KMX

2 bullish / 0 bearish / 2 neutral

Only KMX

  • Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (16.16%)
  • ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (4.32%)
  • MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon

Both carry 1 more signal that do not separate them: Bollinger Band Squeeze.

Price vs model alignment

Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.

GAPDivergence

Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -2.49%, AIQ +1 points).

KMXNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -1.05%, AIQ 0 points).

What would flip this result

A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.

  1. 1KMX closes the Quality gap — currently 53 points behind, the largest single contributor to GAP's edge.
  2. 2KMX's Bollinger Band Squeeze turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend.
  3. 3GAP starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
  4. 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 16 points over 30 sessions, and a further 14-point move would eliminate GAP's advantage entirely.

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Fundamentals

GAP leads on balance
MetricGAPKMX
Revenue growth (YoY)4.4%34.8%
EPS growth (YoY)53.3%270.1%
Gross margin43.3%10.2%
Operating margin11%-1.9%
Return on equity (TTM)33.1%3.7%
Debt to equity1.453.05

Performance

KMX leads 5 of 6 windows
MetricGAPKMX
1 week (5 sessions)-3%4.9%
1 month (20 sessions)-3.7%-2%
3 months (63 sessions)7.9%-8%
6 months (126 sessions)-9.3%40.8%
Year to date-14.1%39.7%
1 year (252 sessions)-6.2%22%

Technicals

KMX has the stronger structure
MetricGAPKMX
RSI (14)36.250.5
ADX (14)2019.6
Price vs 50-day1.4%-2.9%
Price vs 200-day-5%9.5%
Volatility (1M, annualized)30.1%44.1%

Risk

KMX is the more resilient
MetricGAPKMX
Beta1.081.22
Sharpe ratio-0.080.57
Sortino ratio-0.10.64
Max drawdown-37%-30.5%
Current drawdown-24.5%-15.9%
Annualized volatility46.1%52.3%
Value at risk (95%)-3.7%-4.1%

Straight answers

Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.

Which is better, GAP or KMX?

On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, GAP is the stronger of the two as of Oct 31, 2026, scoring 52 against KMX's 38. The edge comes from quality and value. KMX is not without a case — it holds the better momentum profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.

Is GAP or KMX the better buy right now?

GAP carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 31, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the leader's advantage has been narrowing. Treat the lead as provisional.

Why does the AIQ Score favor GAP over KMX?

The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. GAP leads Quality by 53 points; KMX leads Momentum by 21 points; GAP leads Value by 15 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.

Which has more analyst upside, GAP or KMX?

Analyst price targets imply +12.3% upside for GAP and -1.9% for KMX, so the Street currently favors GAP. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

Which is better value, GAP or KMX?

GAP is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. GAP on the peer-relative Value factor, by 15 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.

Which has stronger growth, GAP or KMX?

KMX on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.

Which has stronger momentum, GAP or KMX?

KMX on the Momentum factor, by 21 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.

Which is riskier, GAP or KMX?

KMX is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. KMX on Risk Resilience, by 8 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.

Is GAP more profitable than KMX?

GAP leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 43.3% vs 10.2%; operating margin 11% vs -1.9%; ttm roe 33.1% vs 3.7%.

Is GAP's lead over KMX getting stronger or weaker?

GAP lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 30 to 14 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-29 and 2026-10-28. The lead has not changed hands in that window.

What would change the GAP vs KMX verdict?

The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: KMX closes the Quality gap — currently 53 points behind, the largest single contributor to GAP's edge; KMX's Bollinger Band Squeeze turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend; GAP starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 16 points over 30 sessions, and a further 14-point move would eliminate GAP's advantage entirely.

What do the current signals say about GAP and KMX?

GAP: 0 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral. KMX: 2 bullish / 0 bearish / 2 neutral. The most decision-relevant rule on GAP is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On KMX it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).

Compare GAP and KMX with others

Continue your research

This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.