GRBK vs MTH Stock Comparison
GRBK currently leads MTH in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 50 vs 49. The clearest difference is quality, while MTH has the stronger value profile.
What is the main difference between GRBK and MTH?
GRBK leads the current stock comparison as Green Brick Partners, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Green Brick Partners, Inc. vs Meritage Homes Corporation
GRBK leads
GRBK leads by 1 AIQ points, primarily on Quality.
Fragile: 1 of 5 evidence groups support GRBK.
Green Brick Partners, Inc.
Meritage Homes Corporation
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors GRBK over MTH, 50 versus 49 as of Oct 22, 2026. GRBK's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality, while MTH holds the stronger value profile. GRBK also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 1 of 5 covered evidence groups favor GRBK today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. GRBK lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 1 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Green Brick Partners, Inc. and Meritage Homes Corporation across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare GRBK and MTH against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality57 vs 39GRBK +18
- Value57 vs 65MTH +8
- Momentum30 vs 35MTH +5
- Risk Resilience58 vs 59Even
1 of 5 evidence groups favor GRBK. GRBK’s edge is concentrated in quality; MTH keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +6
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 3 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum +8
New signals
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
GRBK's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ point in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — GRBK and MTH both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
GRBK (Green Brick Partners, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality.
MTH (Meritage Homes Corporation): the counter-case, on value, momentum, valuation — but at materially higher volatility, 35.2% against 29.1%.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
GRBKGRBK on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
MTHMTH on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
MTHMTH on the peer-relative Value factor, by 8 points.
Momentum
MTHMTH on the Momentum factor, by 5 points.
Lower downside
GRBKGRBK carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility.
Analyst upside
EvenAnalyst targets are level or not covered for both names.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | GRBK | MTH | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | — | +34.9% | Level |
| Target dispersion | — | +35% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 3 | 4 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
1 of 5 covered evidence groups favor GRBK. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 50 vs 49 |
| Fundamentals | GRBKon balance | revenue growth 6.1% vs 31%; EPS growth 22.1% vs 67.1%; TTM ROE 15.4% vs 6.4%; gross margin 31.2% vs 18.9%; operating margin 19.5% vs 8.4% — GRBK takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | MTH | Value 57 vs 65 |
| Technicals | Even | Price vs 50-day -10.7% vs -9.8%; vs 200-day -11.1% vs -13% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 58 vs 59 |
| Analyst expectations | Not covered | Not covered |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of GRBK and MTH and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 1 of 5 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on GRBK.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20GRBK lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 1 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- GRBK +1
- 50 vs 49
- 7 sessions ago
- GRBK +2
- 49 vs 47
- 30 sessions ago
- GRBK +2
- 53 vs 51
- 90 sessions ago
- GRBK +2
- 54 vs 52
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
0 bullish / 3 bearish
Only GRBK
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only MTH
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (3.60%)
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
Both carry 2 more signals that do not separate them: Death Cross Active, Downtrend Structure Active.
MTH is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -2.11%, AIQ +1 points).
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 2 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -1.51%, AIQ +2 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1MTH closes the Quality gap — currently 18 points behind, the largest single contributor to GRBK's edge.
- 2MTH's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3GRBK starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
GRBK leads on balance| Metric | GRBK | MTH |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 6.1% | 31% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 22.1% | 67.1% |
| Gross margin | 31.2% | 18.9% |
| Operating margin | 19.5% | 8.4% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 15.4% | 6.4% |
| Debt to equity | 0.16 | 0.37 |
Performance
GRBK leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | GRBK | MTH |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 0.5% | 3.4% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -9.9% | -9.3% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -13.2% | -16.7% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -12.6% | -13.3% |
| Year to date | -1.1% | -8.5% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -7.5% | -13.7% |
Technicals
Split| Metric | GRBK | MTH |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 36.3 | 42.2 |
| ADX (14) | 19.2 | 26.1 |
| Price vs 50-day | -10.7% | -9.8% |
| Price vs 200-day | -11.1% | -13% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 29.1% | 35.2% |
Risk
Split| Metric | GRBK | MTH |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.9 | 1.06 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.21 | -0.31 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.39 | -0.6 |
| Max drawdown | -25.4% | -32.1% |
| Current drawdown | -23.1% | -29.3% |
| Annualized volatility | 32.9% | 38.4% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -3.1% | -3.7% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, GRBK or MTH?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, GRBK is the stronger of the two as of Oct 22, 2026, scoring 50 against MTH's 49. The edge comes from quality. MTH is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is GRBK or MTH the better buy right now?
GRBK carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 22, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 1 of 5 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor GRBK over MTH?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. GRBK leads Quality by 18 points; MTH leads Value by 8 points; MTH leads Momentum by 5 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, GRBK or MTH?
Analyst price targets imply not covered upside for GRBK and +34.9% for MTH. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, GRBK or MTH?
MTH is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. MTH on the peer-relative Value factor, by 8 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, GRBK or MTH?
MTH on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, GRBK or MTH?
MTH on the Momentum factor, by 5 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, GRBK or MTH?
GRBK is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. GRBK carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is GRBK more profitable than MTH?
GRBK leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 31.2% vs 18.9%; operating margin 19.5% vs 8.4%; ttm roe 15.4% vs 6.4%.
Is GRBK's lead over MTH getting stronger or weaker?
GRBK lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 1 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the GRBK vs MTH verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: MTH closes the Quality gap — currently 18 points behind, the largest single contributor to GRBK's edge; MTH's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; GRBK starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about GRBK and MTH?
GRBK: 0 bullish / 3 bearish. MTH: 1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on GRBK is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On MTH it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare GRBK and MTH with others
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This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.