HOOD vs COIN Stock Comparison
Robinhood Markets, Inc. vs Coinbase Global, Inc.
COIN leads
COIN leads by 5 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Momentum, and the lead has widened from 2 points over 30 sessions.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support COIN, its lead is widening, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
Coinbase Global, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors COIN over HOOD, 50 versus 45 as of Sep 2, 2026. COIN's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and momentum. COIN also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor COIN today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 5 points. COIN lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 2 to 5 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Robinhood Markets, Inc. and Coinbase Global, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value30%24 vs 34COIN +10
- Momentum25%73 vs 82COIN +9
- Quality30%53 vs 52Even
- Risk Resilience15%27 vs 27Even
3 of 6 evidence groups favor COIN. COIN’s edge is concentrated in value and momentum.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-01, compared against the prior scored session 2026-08-31.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
COIN's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — HOOD and COIN both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
COIN (Coinbase Global, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and momentum.
HOOD (Robinhood Markets, Inc.): the counter-case, on fundamentals, technicals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
COINCOIN on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
HOODHOOD on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
COINCOIN on the peer-relative Value factor, by 10 points.
Momentum
COINCOIN on the Momentum factor, by 9 points.
Lower downside
EvenDownside measures are level or not covered.
Analyst upside
COINCOIN on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | HOOD | COIN | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +5.7% | +14.7% | COIN has more room |
| Target dispersion | +70.1% | +116.7% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 13 | 19 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor COIN. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | COIN | 45 vs 50 |
| Fundamentals | HOODon balance | revenue growth -49.9% vs -13.7%; EPS growth 59% vs 8.7%; ROE 22.7% vs -6.9%; gross margin 78.7% vs 79% — HOOD takes 2 of 3 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | COIN | Value 24 vs 34 |
| Technicals | HOOD | Price vs 50-day 3.9% vs 9.2%; vs 200-day 10% vs -3.6% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 27 vs 27 |
| Analyst expectations | COIN | Target upside 5.7% vs 14.7% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of HOOD and COIN and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 5 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on COIN.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 20 – Sep 1COIN lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 2 to 5 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- COIN +5
- 45 vs 50
- 7 sessions ago
- COIN +4
- 48 vs 52
- 30 sessions ago
- COIN +2
- 34 vs 36
- 90 sessions ago
- HOOD +5
- 44 vs 39
The lead changed hands 2 times in this window, most recently on Aug 19 when COIN moved ahead of HOOD.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
4 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (6.32%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (21.08%)
- Keltner Channel Breakout — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (5.89%)
COIN leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.71%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.69%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1HOOD closes the Value gap — currently 10 points behind, the largest single contributor to COIN's edge.
- 2HOOD's existing bullish trend signals translate into factor-score gains — the rules are already firing, but the scores have not yet followed.
- 3COIN's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
HOOD leads on balance| Metric | HOOD | COIN |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -49.9% | -13.7% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 59% | 8.7% |
| Gross margin | 78.7% | 79% |
| Operating margin | 30.9% | -0.4% |
| Return on equity | 22.7% | -6.9% |
| Debt to equity | 2.92 | 0.51 |
Technicals
HOOD has the stronger structure| Metric | HOOD | COIN |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 59.3 | 68.3 |
| ADX (14) | 19.3 | 24.4 |
| Price vs 50-day | 3.9% | 9.2% |
| Price vs 200-day | 10% | -3.6% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 73.4% | 73.3% |
Risk
Split| Metric | HOOD | COIN |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.07 | 2.84 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.32 | -0.42 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.54 | -0.76 |
| Max drawdown | -57.3% | -63.6% |
| Current drawdown | -31.3% | -51.4% |
| Annualized volatility | 71.9% | 69.8% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -7.2% | -6.9% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, HOOD or COIN?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, COIN is the stronger of the two as of Sep 2, 2026, scoring 50 against HOOD's 45. The edge comes from value and momentum. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is HOOD or COIN the better buy right now?
COIN carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 2, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 5 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor COIN over HOOD?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. COIN leads Value by 10 points; COIN leads Momentum by 9 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, HOOD or COIN?
Analyst price targets imply +5.7% upside for HOOD and +14.7% for COIN, so the Street currently favors COIN. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, HOOD or COIN?
COIN is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. COIN on the peer-relative Value factor, by 10 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, HOOD or COIN?
HOOD on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, HOOD or COIN?
COIN on the Momentum factor, by 9 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, HOOD or COIN?
The two are close on downside measures. Downside measures are level or not covered. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is HOOD more profitable than COIN?
HOOD leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 78.7% vs 79%; operating margin 30.9% vs -0.4%; roe 22.7% vs -6.9%.
Is COIN's lead over HOOD getting stronger or weaker?
COIN lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 2 to 5 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-20 and 2026-09-01. The lead has changed hands 2 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-19, when COIN moved ahead of HOOD.
What would change the HOOD vs COIN verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: HOOD closes the Value gap — currently 10 points behind, the largest single contributor to COIN's edge; HOOD's existing bullish trend signals translate into factor-score gains — the rules are already firing, but the scores have not yet followed; COIN's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about HOOD and COIN?
HOOD: 4 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral. COIN: 2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on HOOD is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On COIN it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare HOOD and COIN with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.