HPP vs JBGS Stock Comparison

Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. vs JBG SMITH Properties

Data as of Sep 5, 2026· market close· Real Estate· Coverage 54/66 fields· Moderate confidence
AIQ VerdictFragileAIQ Comparison Conviction 2/10

JBGS leads

JBGS leads by 1 AIQ points, primarily on Risk Resilience and Momentum, but the lead has narrowed from 5 points over 30 sessions.

Fragile: 2 of 6 evidence groups support JBGS, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.

Evidence agreement: 2 of 6Comparison trend: Weakening
HPP

Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc.

AIQ Score
39/100
AIQ Edge Score
3/10
JBGS

JBG SMITH Properties

Leads
AIQ Score
40/100
AIQ Edge Score
3/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors JBGS over HPP, 40 versus 39 as of Sep 5, 2026. JBGS's advantage is driven primarily by stronger risk resilience and momentum, while HPP holds the stronger quality profile. JBGS also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor JBGS today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. JBGS lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 5 to 1 points over 30 sessions.

Compare Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. and JBG SMITH Properties across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.

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AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

HPP advantage
0
JBGS advantage
  • Risk Resilience15%22 vs 42
    JBGS +20
  • Quality30%23 vs 9
    HPP +14
  • Momentum25%38 vs 46
    JBGS +8
  • Value30%65 vs 65
    Even

2 of 6 evidence groups favor JBGS. JBGS’s edge is concentrated in risk resilience and momentum; HPP keeps a meaningful quality edge.

What changed since the last close

Latest scored session 2026-09-03, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-02.

HPP0 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum +1

No new signals fired.

JBGS0 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum +2

No new signals fired.

JBGS's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.

Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — HPP and JBGS both carry a full feed there.

The central trade-off

JBGS (JBG SMITH Properties): the stronger current systematic profile, led by risk resilience and momentum.

HPP (Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc.): the counter-case, on quality, fundamentals, technicals — but at materially higher volatility, 59.8% against 44.9%.

Which one fits your objective

The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.

Balanced

JBGS

JBGS on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.

Growth

HPP

HPP on combined revenue and EPS growth.

Value

Even

The two are level on Value.

Momentum

JBGS

JBGS on the Momentum factor, by 8 points.

Lower downside

JBGS

JBGS on Risk Resilience, by 20 points.

Analyst upside

JBGS

JBGS on implied upside to the consensus price target.

AIQ vs Wall Street

Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.

MeasureHPPJBGSNote
Implied upside to target+9.7%+11.1%JBGS has more room
Target dispersion+75.9%0%Lower is tighter analyst agreement
ConsensusHoldSellContext, not a primary driver
Analysts covering61Higher coverage generally improves confidence

Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor JBGS. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreEven39 vs 40
FundamentalsHPPon balancerevenue growth 3.5% vs 1.4%; EPS growth -97.6% vs -221.9%; TTM ROE -18.6% vs -13.3%; gross margin 29.5% vs 20.3%; operating margin -0.3% vs 0.3% — HPP takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them
ValuationEvenValue 65 vs 65
TechnicalsHPPPrice vs 50-day -13.5% vs -12.7%; vs 200-day 16.1% vs -22.9%
Risk ResilienceJBGSRisk Resilience 22 vs 42
Analyst expectationsJBGSTarget upside 9.7% vs 11.1%

✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of HPP and JBGS and are excluded from the count.

AIQ Decision Stability

Fragile

The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.

  • The AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • Only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)

Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on JBGS.

How the comparison changed

120 daily snapshots · Apr 22 Sep 3

JBGS lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 5 to 1 points over 30 sessions.

Apr 22HPP leads above the line · JBGS leads belowSep 3
Today
JBGS +1
39 vs 40
7 sessions ago
JBGS +14
41 vs 55
30 sessions ago
JBGS +5
41 vs 46
90 sessions ago
JBGS +8
44 vs 52

The lead has not changed hands in this window.

AIQ Signal Divergence

Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.

HPPConflicted

1 bullish / 1 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (32.81%)
  • Bollinger Band Squeeze neutral, volatility, short horizon
  • ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode neutral, volatility, short horizon (6.47%)
JBGSConflicted

1 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted

  • Death Cross Active bearish, trend, long horizon (13.66%)
  • Bollinger Band Squeeze neutral, volatility, short horizon
  • Downtrend Structure Active bearish, trend, long horizon

JBGS leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.

Price vs model alignment

Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.

HPPNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -1.02%, AIQ 0 points).

JBGSNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.43%, AIQ 0 points).

What would flip this result

A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.

  1. 1HPP closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 20 points behind, the largest single contributor to JBGS's edge.
  2. 2HPP's Bollinger Band Squeeze turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend.
  3. 3JBGS's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
  4. 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 4 points over 30 sessions, and a further 1-point move would eliminate JBGS's advantage entirely.

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Fundamentals

HPP leads on balance
MetricHPPJBGS
Revenue growth (YoY)3.5%1.4%
EPS growth (YoY)-97.6%-221.9%
Gross margin29.5%20.3%
Operating margin-0.3%0.3%
Return on equity (TTM)-18.6%-13.3%
Debt to equity1.332.41

Technicals

HPP has the stronger structure
MetricHPPJBGS
RSI (14)38.555.3
ADX (14)16.933.8
Price vs 50-day-13.5%-12.7%
Price vs 200-day16.1%-22.9%
Volatility (1M, annualized)59.8%44.9%

Risk

JBGS is the more resilient
MetricHPPJBGS
Beta1.110.24
Sharpe ratio-0.35-1.74
Sortino ratio-0.61-2.11
Max drawdown-74.4%-53.7%
Current drawdown-40.7%-51.5%
Annualized volatility69.2%33.6%
Value at risk (95%)-6.6%-3%

Straight answers

Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.

Which is better, HPP or JBGS?

On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, JBGS is the stronger of the two as of Sep 5, 2026, scoring 40 against HPP's 39. The edge comes from risk resilience and momentum. HPP is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.

Is HPP or JBGS the better buy right now?

JBGS carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 5, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. Treat the lead as provisional.

Why does the AIQ Score favor JBGS over HPP?

The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. JBGS leads Risk Resilience by 20 points; HPP leads Quality by 14 points; JBGS leads Momentum by 8 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.

Which has more analyst upside, HPP or JBGS?

Analyst price targets imply +9.7% upside for HPP and +11.1% for JBGS, so the Street currently favors JBGS. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

Which is better value, HPP or JBGS?

Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.

Which has stronger growth, HPP or JBGS?

HPP on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.

Which has stronger momentum, HPP or JBGS?

JBGS on the Momentum factor, by 8 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.

Which is riskier, HPP or JBGS?

JBGS is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. JBGS on Risk Resilience, by 20 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.

Is HPP more profitable than JBGS?

The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 29.5% vs 20.3%; operating margin -0.3% vs 0.3%; ttm roe -18.6% vs -13.3%. HPP leads on one measure and JBGS on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.

Is JBGS's lead over HPP getting stronger or weaker?

JBGS lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 5 to 1 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-22 and 2026-09-03. The lead has not changed hands in that window.

What would change the HPP vs JBGS verdict?

The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: HPP closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 20 points behind, the largest single contributor to JBGS's edge; HPP's Bollinger Band Squeeze turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend; JBGS's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 4 points over 30 sessions, and a further 1-point move would eliminate JBGS's advantage entirely.

What do the current signals say about HPP and JBGS?

HPP: 1 bullish / 1 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted. JBGS: 1 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on HPP is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On JBGS it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).

Compare HPP and JBGS with others

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.