INTC vs IBM Stock Comparison

Intel Corp. vs International Business Machines Corporation

Data as of Sep 5, 2026· market close· Technology· Coverage 66/66 fields· High confidence
AIQ VerdictCompetitiveAIQ Comparison Conviction 9/10

IBM leads

IBM leads by 23 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Quality.

Competitive: 5 of 6 evidence groups support IBM, and its current signal state is conflicted.

Evidence agreement: 5 of 6Comparison trend: Stable
INTC

Intel Corp.

AIQ Score
35/100
AIQ Edge Score
2/10
IBM

International Business Machines Corporation

Leads
AIQ Score
58/100
AIQ Edge Score
7/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors IBM over INTC, 58 versus 35 as of Sep 5, 2026. IBM's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and quality. IBM also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 5 of 6 covered evidence groups favor IBM today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the leader is throwing conflicting signals. IBM lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 23 points over 30 sessions. IBM leads on all four AIQ factor dimensions. Value is itself one of those four, so a sweep is not explained by valuation alone — it deserves additional scrutiny for unmodeled catalysts, expectations or event risk.

Compare Intel Corp. and International Business Machines Corporation across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.

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AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

INTC advantage
0
IBM advantage
  • Value30%30 vs 67
    IBM +37
  • Quality30%39 vs 61
    IBM +22
  • Risk Resilience15%29 vs 51
    IBM +22
  • Momentum25%40 vs 49
    IBM +9

5 of 6 evidence groups favor IBM. IBM’s edge is concentrated in value and quality.

What changed since the last close

Latest scored session 2026-09-04, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-03.

INTC+2 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum +7

No new signals fired.

IBM+1 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum +5

No new signals fired.

IBM's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.

Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — INTC and IBM both carry a full feed there.

The central trade-off

IBM (International Business Machines Corporation): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and quality.

INTC (Intel Corp.): the counter-case, on technicals — but at materially higher volatility, 47.7% against 25.2%.

Which one fits your objective

The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.

Balanced

IBM

IBM on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.

Growth

IBM

IBM on combined revenue and EPS growth.

Value

IBM

IBM on the peer-relative Value factor, by 37 points.

Momentum

IBM

IBM on the Momentum factor, by 9 points.

Lower downside

IBM

IBM on Risk Resilience, by 22 points.

Analyst upside

IBM

IBM on implied upside to the consensus price target.

AIQ vs Wall Street

Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.

MeasureINTCIBMNote
Implied upside to target+7.6%+14.6%IBM has more room
Target dispersion+135.8%+65%Lower is tighter analyst agreement
ConsensusHoldBuyContext, not a primary driver
Analysts covering2713Higher coverage generally improves confidence

Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

5 of 6 covered evidence groups favor IBM. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreIBM35 vs 58
FundamentalsIBMon balancerevenue growth 18.8% vs 7.8%; EPS growth -195.9% vs 76.9%; TTM ROE -10.8% vs 33.5%; gross margin 38.9% vs 58.4% — IBM takes 3 of 4 decided legs, not all of them
ValuationIBMValue 30 vs 67
TechnicalsINTCPrice vs 50-day -4.8% vs -2.7%; vs 200-day 29.2% vs -10.5%
Risk ResilienceIBMRisk Resilience 29 vs 51
Analyst expectationsIBMTarget upside 7.6% vs 14.6%

✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of INTC and IBM and are excluded from the count.

AIQ Decision Stability

Competitive

The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.

  • The AIQ gap is wide at 23 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
  • 5 of 6 covered evidence groups point the same way. (supports the conclusion holding)
  • The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
  • The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • Signal direction runs against the verdict: the leader is net-bearish while the laggard is net-bullish. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)

Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on IBM.

How the comparison changed

120 daily snapshots · Apr 23 Sep 4

IBM lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 23 points over 30 sessions.

Apr 23INTC leads above the line · IBM leads belowSep 4
Today
IBM +23
35 vs 58
7 sessions ago
IBM +23
34 vs 57
30 sessions ago
IBM +21
41 vs 62
90 sessions ago
IBM +19
42 vs 61

The lead has not changed hands in this window.

AIQ Signal Divergence

Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.

INTC

2 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (35.67%)
  • ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode neutral, volatility, short horizon (5.34%)
  • MACD Bullish Crossover bullish, momentum, short horizon
IBMConflicted

1 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted

  • Death Cross Active bearish, trend, long horizon (8.69%)
  • Downtrend Structure Active bearish, trend, long horizon
  • MACD Bullish Crossover bullish, momentum, short horizon

IBM leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.

Price vs model alignment

Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.

INTCConfirmed strength

Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +4.51%, AIQ +2 points).

IBMNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.08%, AIQ +1 points).

What would flip this result

A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.

  1. 1INTC closes the Value gap — currently 37 points behind, the largest single contributor to IBM's edge.
  2. 2INTC's ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend.
  3. 3IBM's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
  4. 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Fundamentals

IBM leads on balance
MetricINTCIBM
Revenue growth (YoY)18.8%7.8%
EPS growth (YoY)-195.9%76.9%
Gross margin38.9%58.4%
Operating margin0.1%17.9%
Return on equity (TTM)-10.8%33.5%
Debt to equity0.581.89

Performance

INTC leads 5 of 6 windows
MetricINTCIBM
1 week (5 sessions)7.1%-0.3%
1 month (20 sessions)-5.8%-1%
3 months (63 sessions)-3.4%-17.5%
6 months (126 sessions)120.6%-9.3%
Year to date159.6%-20.7%
1 year (252 sessions)299.2%-3.8%

Technicals

INTC has the stronger structure
MetricINTCIBM
RSI (14)37.656.6
ADX (14)14.28.9
Price vs 50-day-4.8%-2.7%
Price vs 200-day29.2%-10.5%
Volatility (1M, annualized)47.7%25.2%

Risk

IBM is the more resilient
MetricINTCIBM
Beta2.910.88
Sharpe ratio2.060.07
Sortino ratio3.840.07
Max drawdown-41.9%-37.5%
Current drawdown-32%-28.6%
Annualized volatility79.2%48.5%
Value at risk (95%)-6.2%-3.3%

Straight answers

Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.

Which is better, INTC or IBM?

On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, IBM is the stronger of the two as of Sep 5, 2026, scoring 58 against INTC's 35. The edge comes from value and quality. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.

Is INTC or IBM the better buy right now?

IBM carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 5, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 5 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.

Why does the AIQ Score favor IBM over INTC?

The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. IBM leads Value by 37 points; IBM leads Quality by 22 points; IBM leads Risk Resilience by 22 points. IBM leads on all four AIQ factor dimensions. Value is itself one of those four, so the sweep is not explained by INTC simply being cheaper — it warrants extra scrutiny for unmodeled catalysts, forward expectations or event risk the factors do not capture.

Which has more analyst upside, INTC or IBM?

Analyst price targets imply +7.6% upside for INTC and +14.6% for IBM, so the Street currently favors IBM. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

Which is better value, INTC or IBM?

IBM is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. IBM on the peer-relative Value factor, by 37 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.

Which has stronger growth, INTC or IBM?

IBM on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.

Which has stronger momentum, INTC or IBM?

IBM on the Momentum factor, by 9 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.

Which is riskier, INTC or IBM?

IBM is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. IBM on Risk Resilience, by 22 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.

Is INTC more profitable than IBM?

IBM leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 38.9% vs 58.4%; operating margin 0.1% vs 17.9%; ttm roe -10.8% vs 33.5%.

Is IBM's lead over INTC getting stronger or weaker?

IBM lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 23 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-23 and 2026-09-04. The lead has not changed hands in that window.

What would change the INTC vs IBM verdict?

The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: INTC closes the Value gap — currently 37 points behind, the largest single contributor to IBM's edge; INTC's ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend; IBM's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

What do the current signals say about INTC and IBM?

INTC: 2 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral. IBM: 1 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on INTC is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On IBM it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).

Compare INTC and IBM with others

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.