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International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) Stock Analysis

International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

IBM Stock Analysis Summary

International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) currently has an AIQ Score of 67/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 87/100. Risk is the weakest current factor at 52/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 30, 2026 · Market-close data

IBM at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$257.81
AIQ Score67/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Buy
Market Cap$238.89B
P/E Ratio (TTM)21.31
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-09-30)$2.32
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-09-30)$17.1B
Dividend Yield (TTM)2.66%
Beta0.72
Volume5.74M
52-week range$199.19-$332.46
RSI 1482.62
50-Day SMA$234.68
200-Day SMA$249.42
Analyst Price Target$263.28
Next EarningsJan 27, 2027
As of Oct 30, 2026 · Market close

IBMInternational Business Machines Corporation

Technology / Information Technology Services

Leader

Strong Relative Position

NeutralEdge 9/10
$257.81−$0.47 (−0.18%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    87
  • Value
    65
  • Quality
    61
  • Risk resilience
    52
  • Sentiment
    65
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 30, 2026

IBM Stock Analysis Summary

International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) currently has an AIQ Score of 67/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 87/100. Risk resilience is the weakest current factor at 52/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 30, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, IBM has AIQ Score of 67/100 with Momentum base of 87/100 and fading Risk resilience at 52/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Momentum (87/100) leads while Risk resilience (52/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Technology · -0.18% stock move · IBM classified in Information Technology Services.

Current Evidence

NeutralIBM is in a neutral AIQ regime; Momentum is the strongest visible factor at 87/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is IBM Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

IBM currently has a neutral overall setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 87/100, while Risk Resilience is weakest at 52/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 61/100.
  • - Momentum is constructive at 87/100.
  • - Price is +10.05% above its 50-day SMA.
  • - Analyst target implies +2.12% upside from the latest quote.
  • - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (37 vs 8).
Bear Case
  • - No strong bearish evidence is available in the current snapshot.

Current Consensus

IBM's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Buy, with 37 buy, 0 neutral, and 8 sell votes. IBM's 14-day RSI is 82.62, which places the stock in an overbought momentum range. IBM's beta is 0.72, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in IBM?

The largest recent change in IBM is Momentum moving down by 2.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Momentum remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
-1.0
Momentum
-2.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
+2.0

What Would Change the IBM Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

IBM Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for International Business Machines Corporation.

International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) Stock Analysis

International Business Machines Corporation has an AIQ Score of 67/100 in a Neutral regime. Momentum is strongest at 87/100. Beta is 0.72, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextIBM is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 67/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that momentum leads at 87/100 while risk lags at 52/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 87/100 · Value 65/100 · Quality 61/100 · Risk 52/100 · Sentiment 65/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Momentum is the strongest factor at 87/100.

TimingPass

Momentum is 87/100 and RSI (14) is 82.6.

Regime fitPass

IBM is in a Neutral regime at 67/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 52/100 with beta 0.72 and annual volatility 48.37%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: momentum leads at 87/100 while risk lags at 52/100.

AIQ Score
67/100
Price
$257.81
Beta
0.72
RSI (14)
82.6

IBM Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

IBM Fundamentals

IBM valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$17.1B
Net income
$2.19B
Free cash flow
$3.54B
View full IBM fundamental analysis

IBM Technical Analysis

IBM technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Buy
RSI 14
82.62
Price vs SMA-50
+10.05%
View full IBM technical analysis

IBM Stock Catalysts

Track IBM earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Jan 27, 2027
Analyst target
$263.28
News items
3
View IBM earnings and stock catalysts

IBM Dividend Analysis

IBM dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
2.61%
Annual dividend
$6.74
Payout ratio
56.72%
View IBM dividend history and analysis

IBM Financial Data

IBM revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$17.1B
EPS
$2.32
Periods
4
View IBM financials

IBM Risk Analysis

IBM volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.72
Risk score
52/100
1Y volatility
48.37%
View IBM risk analysis

IBM Stock News

IBM stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
3
Updated
Oct 30, 2026
Sentiment
65/100
Read IBM stock news

IBM vs AI Software Peers

Current peer cohort: IBM · NOW · ORCL · MSFT · SAP. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
IBM
Current stock
————-0.1948.37%Current
NOW
ServiceNow
————-0.5264.04%IBM vs NOW
ORCL
Oracle
————-0.9558.20%IBM vs ORCL
MSFT
Microsoft
————-0.0232.93%IBM vs MSFT
SAP
SAP
————-0.1838.52%IBM vs SAP
Pairwise Compare links: NOW · ORCL · MSFT · SAPIBM vs NOWIBM vs ORCLIBM vs MSFTIBM vs SAPCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 29, 2026.

How IBM scores against the names it is most often compared with.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 30, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a IBM stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

4 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 31, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
21.31
As of Oct 29, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
57.96%
Current debt / equity
1.89
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Sep 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$17.1B
Quarter net income
$2.19B
Quarter free cash flow
$3.54B

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Bullish
RSI 14
82.62
MACD
6.77

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
52/100
Beta
0.72
Annual volatility
48.37%
Max drawdown
-37.50%

IBM Stock FAQ

What is IBM stock price today?

International Business Machines Corporation's current stock price is $257.81. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is IBM bullish or bearish right now?

IBM's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is IBM's market cap?

IBM's market cap is $238.89B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is IBM's current P/E ratio?

IBM's current P/E ratio is 21.31 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is IBM's RSI?

IBM's 14-day RSI is 82.62 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is IBM above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

IBM is 10.05% from its 50-day SMA and 3.55% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is IBM's next earnings date?

IBM's next earnings date is currently listed as Jan 27, 2027. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does IBM pay a dividend?

IBM's dividend yield is 2.66% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.