INTC vs ITW Stock Comparison
Compare INTC and ITW across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between INTC and ITW?
ITW leads the current stock comparison as Illinois Tool Works Inc., with the clearest separation coming from risk resilience and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Intel Corp. vs Illinois Tool Works Inc.
ITW leads
ITW leads by 2 AIQ points, primarily on Risk Resilience and Quality, but the lead has narrowed from 16 points over 30 sessions.
Fragile: 4 of 6 evidence groups support ITW, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Intel Corp.
Illinois Tool Works Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors ITW over INTC, 46 versus 44 as of Sep 11, 2026. ITW's advantage is driven primarily by stronger risk resilience and quality, while INTC holds the stronger momentum profile. ITW also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ITW today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. ITW lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 16 to 2 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Intel Corp. and Illinois Tool Works Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare INTC and ITW against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum77 vs 18INTC +59
- Risk Resilience28 vs 63ITW +35
- Quality39 vs 60ITW +21
- Value30 vs 46ITW +16
4 of 6 evidence groups favor ITW. ITW’s edge is concentrated in risk resilience and quality; INTC keeps a meaningful momentum edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum -8
New signals
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
ITW's lead widened by 2 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — INTC and ITW both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
ITW (Illinois Tool Works Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by risk resilience and quality.
INTC (Intel Corp.): the counter-case, on momentum, technicals — but at materially higher volatility, 58.9% against 14.1%.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
ITWITW on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
ITWITW on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
ITWITW on the peer-relative Value factor, by 16 points.
Momentum
INTCINTC on the Momentum factor, by 59 points.
Lower downside
ITWITW on Risk Resilience, by 35 points.
Analyst upside
ITWITW on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | INTC | ITW | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | -0.1% | +4.7% | ITW has more room |
| Target dispersion | +136.1% | +16.7% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 27 | 7 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ITW. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 44 vs 46 |
| Fundamentals | ITWon balance | revenue growth 18.8% vs 7.1%; EPS growth -195.9% vs 7.1%; TTM ROE -10.8% vs 101.7%; gross margin 38.9% vs 44.2% — ITW takes 3 of 4 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | ITW | Value 30 vs 46 |
| Technicals | INTC | Price vs 50-day 4.2% vs -4.3%; vs 200-day 33.4% vs -0.8% |
| Risk Resilience | ITW | Risk Resilience 28 vs 63 |
| Analyst expectations | ITW | Target upside -0.1% vs 4.7% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of INTC and ITW and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on ITW.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10ITW lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 16 to 2 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- ITW +2
- 44 vs 46
- 7 sessions ago
- ITW +12
- 35 vs 47
- 30 sessions ago
- ITW +16
- 38 vs 54
- 90 sessions ago
- ITW +26
- 33 vs 59
The lead changed hands 2 times in this window, most recently on May 7 when INTC moved ahead of ITW.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
4 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (31.44%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
2 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (4.79%)
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce — bullish, momentum, short horizon
ITW leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 2 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +2.61%, AIQ -2 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.12%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1INTC closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 35 points behind, the largest single contributor to ITW's edge.
- 2INTC's existing bullish trend signals translate into factor-score gains — the rules are already firing, but the scores have not yet followed.
- 3ITW's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 14 points over 30 sessions, and a further 2-point move would eliminate ITW's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
ITW leads on balance| Metric | INTC | ITW |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 18.8% | 7.1% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -195.9% | 7.1% |
| Gross margin | 38.9% | 44.2% |
| Operating margin | 0.1% | 26.5% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | -10.8% | 101.7% |
| Debt to equity | 0.58 | 3.35 |
Performance
INTC leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | INTC | ITW |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 11.4% | -1.4% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -0.6% | -9.3% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -6.3% | 6% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 109.1% | -2.3% |
| Year to date | 171.9% | 7.7% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 309.8% | -0.6% |
Technicals
INTC has the stronger structure| Metric | INTC | ITW |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 61.3 | 25.7 |
| ADX (14) | 15.5 | 24.9 |
| Price vs 50-day | 4.2% | -4.3% |
| Price vs 200-day | 33.4% | -0.8% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 58.9% | 14.1% |
Risk
ITW is the more resilient| Metric | INTC | ITW |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.89 | 0.49 |
| Sharpe ratio | 2.12 | -0.02 |
| Sortino ratio | 3.98 | -0.04 |
| Max drawdown | -41.9% | -17.9% |
| Current drawdown | -28.8% | -11.5% |
| Annualized volatility | 79.9% | 21.4% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -6.2% | -2% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, INTC or ITW?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, ITW is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 46 against INTC's 44. The edge comes from risk resilience and quality. INTC is not without a case — it holds the better momentum profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is INTC or ITW the better buy right now?
ITW carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor ITW over INTC?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. INTC leads Momentum by 59 points; ITW leads Risk Resilience by 35 points; ITW leads Quality by 21 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, INTC or ITW?
Analyst price targets imply -0.1% upside for INTC and +4.7% for ITW, so the Street currently favors ITW. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, INTC or ITW?
ITW is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. ITW on the peer-relative Value factor, by 16 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, INTC or ITW?
ITW on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, INTC or ITW?
INTC on the Momentum factor, by 59 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, INTC or ITW?
ITW is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. ITW on Risk Resilience, by 35 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is INTC more profitable than ITW?
ITW leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 38.9% vs 44.2%; operating margin 0.1% vs 26.5%; ttm roe -10.8% vs 101.7%.
Is ITW's lead over INTC getting stronger or weaker?
ITW lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 16 to 2 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands 2 times in that window, most recently on 2026-05-07, when INTC moved ahead of ITW.
What would change the INTC vs ITW verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: INTC closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 35 points behind, the largest single contributor to ITW's edge; INTC's existing bullish trend signals translate into factor-score gains — the rules are already firing, but the scores have not yet followed; ITW's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 14 points over 30 sessions, and a further 2-point move would eliminate ITW's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about INTC and ITW?
INTC: 4 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral. ITW: 2 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on INTC is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On ITW it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare INTC and ITW with others
Continue your research
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How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.