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Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) Stock Analysis

Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

ITW Stock Analysis Summary

Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) currently has an AIQ Score of 62/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 83/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 46/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 30, 2026 · Market-close data

ITW at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$278.55
AIQ Score62/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Buy
Market Cap$77.64B
P/E Ratio (TTM)24.42
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$2.85
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$4.3B
Dividend Yield (TTM)2.39%
Beta1.01
Volume1.72M
52-week range$238.82-$303.16
RSI 1479.72
50-Day SMA$271.48
200-Day SMA$270.54
Analyst Price Target$285.62
Next EarningsFeb 2, 2027
As of Oct 30, 2026 · Market close

ITWIllinois Tool Works Inc.

Industrials / Industrial - Machinery

Relative Leader / Watch

Strong Relative Position

NeutralEdge 8/10
$278.55−$2.85 (−1.01%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    83
  • Value
    46
  • Quality
    60
  • Risk resilience
    62
  • Sentiment
    —
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 30, 2026

ITW Stock Analysis Summary

Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) currently has an AIQ Score of 62/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 83/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 46/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 30, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, ITW has AIQ Score of 62/100 with Momentum base of 83/100 and fading Value at 46/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Momentum (83/100) leads while Value (46/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Industrials · -1.01% stock move · ITW classified in Industrial - Machinery.

Current Evidence

NeutralITW is in a neutral AIQ regime; Momentum is the strongest visible factor at 83/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is ITW Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

ITW currently has a neutral overall setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 83/100, while Value is weakest at 46/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 60/100.
  • - Momentum is constructive at 83/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is supportive at 62/100.
  • - Price is +3.66% above its 50-day SMA.
  • - Analyst target implies +2.54% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - No strong bearish evidence is available in the current snapshot.

Current Consensus

ITW's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Buy, with 37 buy, 1 neutral, and 7 sell votes. ITW's 14-day RSI is 79.72, which places the stock in an overbought momentum range. ITW's beta is 1.01, indicating market sensitivity broadly in line with the market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in ITW?

The largest recent change in ITW is Momentum moving down by 2.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Momentum remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
+0.0
Momentum
-2.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
+2.0

What Would Change the ITW Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

ITW Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Illinois Tool Works Inc..

Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) Stock Analysis

Illinois Tool Works Inc. has an AIQ Score of 62/100 in a Neutral regime. Momentum is strongest at 83/100. Beta is 0.98, close to market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextITW is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 62/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that momentum leads at 83/100 while value lags at 46/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 83/100 · Value 46/100 · Quality 60/100 · Risk 62/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Momentum is the strongest factor at 83/100.

TimingPass

Momentum is 83/100 and RSI (14) is 79.7.

Regime fitWait

ITW is in a Neutral regime at 62/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 62/100 with beta 0.98 and annual volatility 21.26%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: momentum leads at 83/100 while value lags at 46/100.

AIQ Score
62/100
Price
$278.55
Beta
0.98
RSI (14)
79.7

ITW Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

ITW Fundamentals

ITW valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$4.3B
Net income
$815M
Free cash flow
$631M
View full ITW fundamental analysis

ITW Technical Analysis

ITW technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Buy
RSI 14
79.72
Price vs SMA-50
+3.66%
View full ITW technical analysis

ITW Stock Catalysts

Track ITW earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Feb 2, 2027
Analyst target
$285.62
News items
0
View ITW earnings and stock catalysts

ITW Dividend Analysis

ITW dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
2.35%
Annual dividend
$6.55
Payout ratio
57.39%
View ITW dividend history and analysis

ITW Financial Data

ITW revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$4.3B
EPS
$2.85
Periods
3
View ITW financials

ITW Risk Analysis

ITW volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
1.01
Risk score
62/100
1Y volatility
21.26%
View ITW risk analysis

ITW Stock News

ITW stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
0
Updated
—
Sentiment
—
Read ITW stock news

ITW vs Industrial Machinery & Equipment Peers

Current peer cohort: ITW · JCI · LII · MIDD · MMM. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
ITW
Current stock
62/10046/10083/10062/1000.6321.26%Current
JCI
Johnson Controls
54/10038/10064/10049/1001.0931.62%ITW vs JCI
LII
Lennox International
53/10064/10038/10043/100-0.741.07%ITW vs LII
MIDD
Middleby Corporation
60/10070/10076/10065/100-0.0340.93%ITW vs MIDD
MMM
3M Company
64/10055/10083/10063/1000.2725.76%ITW vs MMM
Pairwise Compare links: JCI · LII · MIDD · MMMITW vs JCIITW vs LIIITW vs MIDDITW vs MMMCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 29, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 30, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a ITW stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

3 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 31, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
24.42
As of Oct 29, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
44.16%
Current debt / equity
3.35
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$4.3B
Quarter net income
$815M
Quarter free cash flow
$631M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bullish
Momentum
Bullish
RSI 14
79.72
MACD
2.35

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
62/100
Beta
0.98
Annual volatility
21.26%
Max drawdown
-17.95%

ITW Stock FAQ

What is ITW stock price today?

Illinois Tool Works Inc.'s current stock price is $278.55. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is ITW bullish or bearish right now?

ITW's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is ITW's market cap?

ITW's market cap is $77.64B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is ITW's current P/E ratio?

ITW's current P/E ratio is 24.42 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is ITW's RSI?

ITW's 14-day RSI is 79.72 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is ITW above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

ITW is 3.66% from its 50-day SMA and 4.01% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is ITW's next earnings date?

ITW's next earnings date is currently listed as Feb 2, 2027. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does ITW pay a dividend?

ITW's dividend yield is 2.39% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.