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Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) Stock Analysis

Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

ITW Stock Analysis Summary

Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) currently has an AIQ Score of 48/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk is the strongest factor at 63/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 28/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data

ITW at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$268.16
AIQ Score48/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Sell
Market Cap$77.64B
P/E Ratio25.06
Forward P/E
EPS$2.85
Revenue TTM$4.3B
Dividend Yield0.01%
Beta1.01
Volume1.03M
52-week range$238.82-$303.16
RSI 1431.71
50-Day SMA$280.06
200-Day SMA$267.37
Analyst Price Target$280.71
Next EarningsOct 23, 2026
As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

ITW

Overview
Illinois Tool Works Inc.
Industrials· Industrial - Machinery
AIQ Score
NeutralAIQ Edge 5/10
Low Priority
In Line With Peers
Score data as of Sep 11, 2026
Last price
$268.16
+$2.96 (+1.12%)
Latest market quote
Momentum28
Value46
Quality60
Risk Resilience63
Sentiment
View financial data

ITW Stock Analysis Summary

Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) currently has an AIQ Score of 48/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk resilience is the strongest factor at 63/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 28/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, ITW has AIQ Score of 48/100 with Risk resilience base of 63/100 and fading Momentum at 28/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Risk resilience (63/100) leads while Momentum (28/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Industrials · 1.12% stock move · ITW classified in Industrial - Machinery.

Current Evidence

NeutralITW is in a neutral AIQ regime; Risk resilience is the strongest visible factor at 63/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is ITW Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

ITW currently has a neutral overall setup. Risk Resilience is the strongest factor at 63/100, while Momentum is weakest at 28/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 60/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is supportive at 63/100.
  • - Analyst target implies +4.68% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Momentum is weak at 28/100.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (32 vs 7).

Current Consensus

ITW's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 7 buy, 6 neutral, and 32 sell votes. ITW's 14-day RSI is 31.71, which places the stock in a weaker momentum range. ITW's beta is 1.01, indicating market sensitivity broadly in line with the market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in ITW?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
48/100
Momentum
28/100
Quality
60/100
Risk
63/100

What Would Change the ITW Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

ITW Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Illinois Tool Works Inc..

Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) Stock Analysis

Illinois Tool Works Inc. has an AIQ Score of 48/100 in a Neutral regime. Risk is strongest at 63/100. Beta is 1.01, close to market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextITW is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 48/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that risk leads at 63/100 while momentum lags at 28/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 28/100 · Value 46/100 · Quality 60/100 · Risk 63/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthWait

Risk is the strongest factor at 63/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 28/100 and RSI (14) is 31.7.

Regime fitWait

ITW is in a Neutral regime at 48/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 63/100 with beta 1.01 and annual volatility 21.39%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: risk leads at 63/100 while momentum lags at 28/100.

AIQ Score
48/100
Price
$268.16
Beta
1.01
RSI (14)
31.7

ITW Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

ITW Fundamentals

ITW valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$4.3B
Net income
$815M
Free cash flow
$631M
View full ITW fundamental analysis

ITW Technical Analysis

ITW technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Sell
RSI 14
31.71
Price vs SMA-50
-4.25%
View full ITW technical analysis

ITW Stock Catalysts

Track ITW earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Oct 23, 2026
Analyst target
$280.71
News items
5
View ITW earnings and stock catalysts

ITW Dividend Analysis

ITW dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
2.40%
Annual dividend
$6.44
Payout ratio
View ITW dividend history and analysis

ITW Financial Data

ITW revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$4.3B
EPS
$2.85
Periods
7
View ITW financials

ITW Risk Analysis

ITW volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
1.01
Risk score
63/100
1Y volatility
21.39%
View ITW risk analysis

ITW Stock News

ITW stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
5
Updated
Sep 11, 2026
Sentiment
Read ITW stock news

ITW vs Industrial Machinery & Equipment Peers

Current peer cohort: ITW · JCI · LII · MIDD · MMM. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
ITW
Current stock
48/10046/10028/10063/1000.0221.39%Current
JCI
Johnson Controls
56/10037/10068/10057/1001.0429.58%ITW vs JCI
LII
Lennox International
54/10064/10031/10055/100-0.9240.83%ITW vs LII
MIDD
Middleby Corporation
47/10070/10027/10059/100-0.4741.11%ITW vs MIDD
MMM
3M Company
51/10056/10026/10067/1000.2526.44%ITW vs MMM
Pairwise Compare links: JCI · LII · MIDD · MMMITW vs JCIITW vs LIIITW vs MIDDITW vs MMMCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 11, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a ITW stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

7 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 11, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
24.42
As of Sep 11, 2026
Revenue growth
7.10%
Gross margin
44.16%
Current debt / equity
3.35
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$4.3B
Quarter net income
$815M
Quarter free cash flow
$631M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
31.71
MACD
-4.63

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
63/100
Beta
1.01
Annual volatility
21.39%
Max drawdown
-17.95%

ITW Stock FAQ

What is ITW stock price today?

Illinois Tool Works Inc.'s current stock price is $268.16. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is ITW bullish or bearish right now?

ITW's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is ITW's market cap?

ITW's market cap is $77.64B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is ITW's current P/E ratio?

ITW's current P/E ratio is 25.06 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is ITW's RSI?

ITW's 14-day RSI is 31.71 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is ITW above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

ITW is -4.25% from its 50-day SMA and 0.30% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is ITW's next earnings date?

ITW's next earnings date is currently listed as Oct 23, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does ITW pay a dividend?

ITW's dividend yield is 0.01% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.