ITCI vs KPTI Stock Comparison
Compare ITCI and KPTI across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between ITCI and KPTI?
KPTI leads the current stock comparison as Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc., with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Intra-Cellular Therapies, Inc. vs Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc.
KPTI leads
KPTI leads by 9 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Value, and the lead has widened from 4 points over 30 sessions.
Competitive: 3 of 5 evidence groups support KPTI, its lead is widening, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Intra-Cellular Therapies, Inc.
Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors KPTI over ITCI, 63 versus 54 as of Sep 11, 2026. KPTI's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and value, while ITCI holds the stronger risk resilience profile. 3 of 5 covered evidence groups favor KPTI today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the leader is throwing conflicting signals. KPTI lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 4 to 9 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Intra-Cellular Therapies, Inc. and Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare ITCI and KPTI against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Risk Resilience82 vs 32ITCI +50
- Quality60 vs 100KPTI +40
- Value34 vs 65KPTI +31
3 of 5 evidence groups favor KPTI. KPTI’s edge is concentrated in quality and value; ITCI keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum +3
New signals
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
KPTI's lead widened by 1 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — ITCI and KPTI both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
KPTI (Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and value.
ITCI (Intra-Cellular Therapies, Inc.): the counter-case, on risk resilience, fundamentals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
KPTIKPTI on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
ITCIITCI on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
KPTIKPTI on the peer-relative Value factor, by 31 points.
Momentum
EvenThe two are level on Momentum.
Lower downside
ITCIITCI on Risk Resilience, by 50 points.
Analyst upside
KPTIKPTI on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | ITCI | KPTI | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +0.1% | +533.5% | KPTI has more room |
| Target dispersion | 0% | +127.5% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 1 | 4 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 5 covered evidence groups favor KPTI. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | KPTI | 54 vs 63 |
| Fundamentals | ITCIon balance | revenue growth 13.7% vs -4.7%; EPS growth 3.2% vs -127.5%; TTM ROE -8.6% vs 77.6%; gross margin 91.6% vs 95.9%; operating margin -17.1% vs -56.2% — ITCI takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | KPTI | Value 34 vs 65 |
| Technicals | Not covered | Not covered |
| Risk Resilience | ITCI | Risk Resilience 82 vs 32 |
| Analyst expectations | KPTI | Target upside 0.1% vs 533.5% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of ITCI and KPTI and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 9 points.
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on KPTI.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10KPTI lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 4 to 9 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- KPTI +9
- 54 vs 63
- 7 sessions ago
- KPTI +11
- 54 vs 65
- 30 sessions ago
- KPTI +4
- 57 vs 61
- 90 sessions ago
- KPTI +14
- 57 vs 71
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
No active signals
2 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (48.07%)
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- 52-Week Low Proximity — bearish, risk, long horizon (0.0%)
KPTI leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -0.62%, AIQ +1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1ITCI closes the Quality gap — currently 40 points behind, the largest single contributor to KPTI's edge.
- 2ITCI generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as Golden Cross Active or MACD Bullish Crossover.
- 3KPTI's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 3 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
ITCI leads on balance| Metric | ITCI | KPTI |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 13.7% | -4.7% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 3.2% | -127.5% |
| Gross margin | 91.6% | 95.9% |
| Operating margin | -17.1% | -56.2% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | -8.6% | 77.6% |
| Debt to equity | 0.01 | -0.65 |
Performance
Split across windows| Metric | ITCI | KPTI |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | — | -9.5% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | — | -20.2% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | — | -80.4% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | — | -81.2% |
| Year to date | — | -75.9% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | — | -74.1% |
Technicals
Split| Metric | ITCI | KPTI |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | — | 40.9 |
| ADX (14) | — | 51.6 |
| Price vs 50-day | — | -66.3% |
| Price vs 200-day | — | -76.1% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | — | 89.4% |
Risk
ITCI is the more resilient| Metric | ITCI | KPTI |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | — | 0.61 |
| Sharpe ratio | — | -0.41 |
| Sortino ratio | — | -0.42 |
| Max drawdown | — | -84.8% |
| Current drawdown | — | -84.8% |
| Annualized volatility | — | 113.6% |
| Value at risk (95%) | — | -8% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, ITCI or KPTI?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, KPTI is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 63 against ITCI's 54. The edge comes from quality and value. ITCI is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is ITCI or KPTI the better buy right now?
KPTI carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 3 of 5 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor KPTI over ITCI?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. ITCI leads Risk Resilience by 50 points; KPTI leads Quality by 40 points; KPTI leads Value by 31 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, ITCI or KPTI?
Analyst price targets imply +0.1% upside for ITCI and +533.5% for KPTI, so the Street currently favors KPTI. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, ITCI or KPTI?
KPTI is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. KPTI on the peer-relative Value factor, by 31 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, ITCI or KPTI?
ITCI on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, ITCI or KPTI?
The two are level on Momentum. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, ITCI or KPTI?
ITCI is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. ITCI on Risk Resilience, by 50 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is ITCI more profitable than KPTI?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 91.6% vs 95.9%; operating margin -17.1% vs -56.2%; ttm roe -8.6% vs 77.6%. ITCI leads on one measure and KPTI on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is KPTI's lead over ITCI getting stronger or weaker?
KPTI lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 4 to 9 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the ITCI vs KPTI verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: ITCI closes the Quality gap — currently 40 points behind, the largest single contributor to KPTI's edge; ITCI generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as Golden Cross Active or MACD Bullish Crossover; KPTI's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 3 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about ITCI and KPTI?
ITCI: No active signals. KPTI: 2 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. On KPTI it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare ITCI and KPTI with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.