JCI vs MIDD Stock Comparison
Compare JCI and MIDD across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between JCI and MIDD?
JCI leads the current stock comparison as Johnson Controls International plc, with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Johnson Controls International plc vs The Middleby Corporation
JCI leads
JCI leads by 4 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Momentum. Wall Street currently favors MIDD on target upside.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support JCI, and its signal state is cleanly positive.
Johnson Controls International plc
The Middleby Corporation
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors JCI over MIDD, 51 versus 47 as of Sep 11, 2026. JCI's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and momentum, while MIDD holds the stronger value profile. JCI also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors MIDD. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor JCI today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. JCI lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 4 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Johnson Controls International plc and The Middleby Corporation across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare JCI and MIDD against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value37 vs 70MIDD +33
- Quality63 vs 34JCI +29
- Momentum48 vs 27JCI +21
- Risk Resilience57 vs 60Even
3 of 6 evidence groups favor JCI. JCI’s edge is concentrated in quality and momentum; MIDD keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum -14
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum -1
No new signals fired.
JCI's lead narrowed by 3 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — JCI and MIDD both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
JCI (Johnson Controls International plc): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and momentum.
MIDD (The Middleby Corporation): the counter-case, on value, valuation, analyst expectations.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
JCIJCI on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
MIDDMIDD on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
MIDDMIDD on the peer-relative Value factor, by 33 points.
Momentum
JCIJCI on the Momentum factor, by 21 points.
Lower downside
MIDDMIDD carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility.
Analyst upside
MIDDMIDD on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors JCI, analyst targets favor MIDD. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | JCI | MIDD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +17.6% | +56.2% | MIDD has more room |
| Target dispersion | +26.8% | +35.5% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 7 | 7 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor JCI. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | JCI | 51 vs 47 |
| Fundamentals | JCIon balance | revenue growth 7.7% vs 4.2%; EPS growth 21.8% vs 213.2%; TTM ROE 26.9% vs -18.3%; gross margin 36.7% vs 38%; operating margin 13.9% vs -3.1% — JCI takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | MIDD | Value 37 vs 70 |
| Technicals | JCI | Price vs 50-day 0.9% vs -15%; vs 200-day 5.6% vs -25.9% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 57 vs 60 |
| Analyst expectations | MIDD | Target upside 17.6% vs 56.2% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of JCI and MIDD and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's signal state is cleanly positive. (supports the conclusion holding)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on JCI.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10JCI lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 4 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- JCI +4
- 51 vs 47
- 7 sessions ago
- JCI +2
- 50 vs 48
- 30 sessions ago
- JCI +4
- 48 vs 44
- 90 sessions ago
- JCI +3
- 46 vs 43
The lead changed hands 6 times in this window, most recently on Sep 4 when JCI moved ahead of MIDD.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 0 bearish
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (7.08%)
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
2 bullish / 4 bearish, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (12.39%)
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
MIDD is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 3 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +2.24%, AIQ -3 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +2.45%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1MIDD closes the Quality gap — currently 29 points behind, the largest single contributor to JCI's edge.
- 2MIDD's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3JCI's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
JCI leads on balance| Metric | JCI | MIDD |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 7.7% | 4.2% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 21.8% | 213.2% |
| Gross margin | 36.7% | 38% |
| Operating margin | 13.9% | -3.1% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 26.9% | -18.3% |
| Debt to equity | 0.7 | 0.9 |
Performance
JCI leads 6 of 6 windows| Metric | JCI | MIDD |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 2.6% | -6% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -6.5% | -11.1% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 2.5% | -30.2% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 5.8% | -29.7% |
| Year to date | 19.3% | -25.4% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 33.3% | -25.5% |
Technicals
JCI has the stronger structure| Metric | JCI | MIDD |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 49.2 | 32 |
| ADX (14) | 13.7 | 39.8 |
| Price vs 50-day | 0.9% | -15% |
| Price vs 200-day | 5.6% | -25.9% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 23.9% | 22.1% |
Risk
Split| Metric | JCI | MIDD |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.04 | 1.18 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.02 | -0.55 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.53 | -0.63 |
| Max drawdown | -13% | -41% |
| Current drawdown | -7.7% | -41% |
| Annualized volatility | 29.5% | 41% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.8% | -3.3% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, JCI or MIDD?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, JCI is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 51 against MIDD's 47. The edge comes from quality and momentum. MIDD is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is JCI or MIDD the better buy right now?
JCI carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor JCI over MIDD?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. MIDD leads Value by 33 points; JCI leads Quality by 29 points; JCI leads Momentum by 21 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, JCI or MIDD?
Analyst price targets imply +17.6% upside for JCI and +56.2% for MIDD, so the Street currently favors MIDD. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors JCI. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, JCI or MIDD?
MIDD is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. MIDD on the peer-relative Value factor, by 33 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, JCI or MIDD?
MIDD on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, JCI or MIDD?
JCI on the Momentum factor, by 21 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, JCI or MIDD?
MIDD is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. MIDD carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is JCI more profitable than MIDD?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 36.7% vs 38%; operating margin 13.9% vs -3.1%; ttm roe 26.9% vs -18.3%. JCI leads on two measures and MIDD on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is JCI's lead over MIDD getting stronger or weaker?
JCI lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 4 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands 6 times in that window, most recently on 2026-09-04, when JCI moved ahead of MIDD.
What would change the JCI vs MIDD verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: MIDD closes the Quality gap — currently 29 points behind, the largest single contributor to JCI's edge; MIDD's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; JCI's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about JCI and MIDD?
JCI: 2 bullish / 0 bearish. MIDD: 2 bullish / 4 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on JCI is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On MIDD it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare JCI and MIDD with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.