JD vs PDD Stock Comparison
PDD currently leads JD in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 63 vs 50. The clearest difference is quality, while JD has the stronger value profile.
What is the main difference between JD and PDD?
PDD leads the current stock comparison as PDD Holdings Inc., with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
JD.com, Inc. vs PDD Holdings Inc.
PDD leads
PDD leads by 13 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Momentum. Wall Street currently favors JD on target upside.
Competitive: 3 of 6 evidence groups support PDD, and its current signal state is conflicted.
JD.com, Inc.
PDD Holdings Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors PDD over JD, 63 versus 50 as of Oct 21, 2026. PDD's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and momentum, while JD holds the stronger value profile. PDD also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors JD. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor PDD today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. PDD lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 13 points over 30 sessions.
Compare JD.com, Inc. and PDD Holdings Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare JD and PDD against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality36 vs 77PDD +41
- Momentum44 vs 54PDD +10
- Value65 vs 57JD +8
- Risk Resilience57 vs 61PDD +4
3 of 6 evidence groups favor PDD. PDD’s edge is concentrated in quality and momentum; JD keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum -3
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 4 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum -1, not enough on its own to move the overall score.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 3 active signals are unchanged.
PDD's lead widened by 1 AIQ point in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — JD and PDD both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
PDD (PDD Holdings Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and momentum.
JD (JD.com, Inc.): the counter-case, on value, valuation, analyst expectations.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
PDDPDD on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
PDDPDD on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
JDJD on the peer-relative Value factor, by 8 points.
Momentum
PDDPDD on the Momentum factor, by 10 points.
Lower downside
PDDPDD on Risk Resilience, by 4 points.
Analyst upside
JDJD on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors PDD, analyst targets favor JD. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | JD | PDD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +40.4% | +25.9% | JD has more room |
| Target dispersion | +44.2% | +49.4% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 8 | 8 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor PDD. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | PDD | 50 vs 63 |
| Fundamentals | PDDon balance | revenue growth 10.1% vs 5.8%; EPS growth 42.5% vs 117.1%; TTM ROE 6.6% vs 22%; gross margin 14.7% vs 56.3% — PDD takes 3 of 4 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | JD | Value 65 vs 57 |
| Technicals | Even | Price vs 50-day -6.8% vs -3.7%; vs 200-day -6.9% vs -11.9% |
| Risk Resilience | PDD | Risk Resilience 57 vs 61 |
| Analyst expectations | JD | Target upside 40.4% vs 25.9% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of JD and PDD and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 13 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on PDD.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20PDD lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 13 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- PDD +13
- 50 vs 63
- 7 sessions ago
- PDD +15
- 52 vs 67
- 30 sessions ago
- PDD +12
- 47 vs 59
- 90 sessions ago
- PDD +21
- 42 vs 63
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only JD
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
1 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted
No signal that the other name lacks.
Both carry 3 more signals that do not separate them: Death Cross Active, Downtrend Structure Active, MACD Bullish Crossover.
PDD leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved down over the latest session (price -3.62%, AIQ -1 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -3.56%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1JD closes the Quality gap — currently 41 points behind, the largest single contributor to PDD's edge.
- 2JD's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3PDD's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
PDD leads on balance| Metric | JD | PDD |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 10.1% | 5.8% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 42.5% | 117.1% |
| Gross margin | 14.7% | 56.3% |
| Operating margin | 0.2% | 21.9% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 6.6% | 22% |
| Debt to equity | 0.48 | 0.01 |
Performance
JD leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | JD | PDD |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -0.1% | -0.4% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -2.3% | 1.6% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -11.2% | -2.3% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -12.3% | -17.5% |
| Year to date | -6.8% | -28% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -18.3% | -35.9% |
Technicals
Split| Metric | JD | PDD |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 51.9 | 63.1 |
| ADX (14) | 16 | 19.9 |
| Price vs 50-day | -6.8% | -3.7% |
| Price vs 200-day | -6.9% | -11.9% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 21.2% | 25.1% |
Risk
PDD is the more resilient| Metric | JD | PDD |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.67 | 0.92 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.69 | -1.31 |
| Sortino ratio | -1.24 | -1.85 |
| Max drawdown | -27.1% | -46.9% |
| Current drawdown | -22.5% | -40.9% |
| Annualized volatility | 30% | 33.4% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.7% | -3.4% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, JD or PDD?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, PDD is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 63 against JD's 50. The edge comes from quality and momentum. JD is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is JD or PDD the better buy right now?
PDD carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor PDD over JD?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. PDD leads Quality by 41 points; PDD leads Momentum by 10 points; JD leads Value by 8 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, JD or PDD?
Analyst price targets imply +40.4% upside for JD and +25.9% for PDD, so the Street currently favors JD. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors PDD. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, JD or PDD?
JD is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. JD on the peer-relative Value factor, by 8 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, JD or PDD?
PDD on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, JD or PDD?
PDD on the Momentum factor, by 10 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, JD or PDD?
PDD is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. PDD on Risk Resilience, by 4 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is JD more profitable than PDD?
PDD leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 14.7% vs 56.3%; operating margin 0.2% vs 21.9%; ttm roe 6.6% vs 22%.
Is PDD's lead over JD getting stronger or weaker?
PDD lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 13 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the JD vs PDD verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: JD closes the Quality gap — currently 41 points behind, the largest single contributor to PDD's edge; JD's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; PDD's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about JD and PDD?
JD: 1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. PDD: 1 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on JD is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On PDD it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare JD and PDD with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.