JD vs PDD Stock Comparison
JD.com, Inc. vs PDD Holdings Inc.
PDD leads
PDD leads by 11 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Risk Resilience, but the lead has narrowed from 14 points over 30 sessions.
Competitive: 4 of 6 evidence groups support PDD, and its lead is narrowing.
JD.com, Inc.
PDD Holdings Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors PDD over JD, 56 versus 45 as of Sep 5, 2026. PDD's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and risk resilience, while JD holds the stronger value profile. PDD also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor PDD today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the leader's advantage has been narrowing. PDD lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 14 to 11 points over 30 sessions.
Compare JD.com, Inc. and PDD Holdings Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Compare JD and PDD against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality30%36 vs 77PDD +41
- Value30%65 vs 57JD +8
- Risk Resilience15%51 vs 56PDD +5
- Momentum25%27 vs 31PDD +4
4 of 6 evidence groups favor PDD. PDD’s edge is concentrated in quality and risk resilience; JD keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-04, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-03.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
PDD's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — JD and PDD both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
PDD (PDD Holdings Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and risk resilience.
JD (JD.com, Inc.): the counter-case, on value, valuation, technicals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
PDDPDD on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
PDDPDD on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
JDJD on the peer-relative Value factor, by 8 points.
Momentum
PDDPDD on the Momentum factor, by 4 points.
Lower downside
PDDPDD on Risk Resilience, by 5 points.
Analyst upside
PDDPDD on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | JD | PDD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +27% | +29.3% | PDD has more room |
| Target dispersion | +44.6% | +52.7% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 7 | 9 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor PDD. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | PDD | 45 vs 56 |
| Fundamentals | PDDon balance | revenue growth 10.1% vs 5.8%; EPS growth 42.5% vs 117.1%; TTM ROE 6.6% vs 22%; gross margin 14.7% vs 56.3% — PDD takes 3 of 4 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | JD | Value 65 vs 57 |
| Technicals | JD | Price vs 50-day -3.9% vs -3.8%; vs 200-day -4.8% vs -16.9% |
| Risk Resilience | PDD | Risk Resilience 51 vs 56 |
| Analyst expectations | PDD | Target upside 27% vs 29.3% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of JD and PDD and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 11 points.
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on PDD.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 23 – Sep 4PDD lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 14 to 11 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- PDD +11
- 45 vs 56
- 7 sessions ago
- PDD +16
- 43 vs 59
- 30 sessions ago
- PDD +14
- 49 vs 63
- 90 sessions ago
- PDD +15
- 44 vs 59
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (0.93%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
0 bullish / 4 bearish
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (15.05%)
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
JD is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.87%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.71%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1JD closes the Quality gap — currently 41 points behind, the largest single contributor to PDD's edge.
- 2JD's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it.
- 3PDD starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 3 points over 30 sessions, and a further 11-point move would eliminate PDD's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
PDD leads on balance| Metric | JD | PDD |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 10.1% | 5.8% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 42.5% | 117.1% |
| Gross margin | 14.7% | 56.3% |
| Operating margin | 0.2% | 21.9% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 6.6% | 22% |
| Debt to equity | 0.48 | 0.01 |
Performance
JD leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | JD | PDD |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -2.6% | -3.6% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -15.5% | -10.1% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -5% | -4.9% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 8.9% | -19% |
| Year to date | -3.3% | -28% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -12.2% | -32.9% |
Technicals
JD has the stronger structure| Metric | JD | PDD |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 33.3 | 40.9 |
| ADX (14) | 28 | 16.7 |
| Price vs 50-day | -3.9% | -3.8% |
| Price vs 200-day | -4.8% | -16.9% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 33.6% | 31.7% |
Risk
PDD is the more resilient| Metric | JD | PDD |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.8 | 0.97 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.32 | -1.21 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.56 | -1.65 |
| Max drawdown | -30.4% | -46.9% |
| Current drawdown | -23.3% | -40.9% |
| Annualized volatility | 32.9% | 33.6% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.8% | -3.6% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, JD or PDD?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, PDD is the stronger of the two as of Sep 5, 2026, scoring 56 against JD's 45. The edge comes from quality and risk resilience. JD is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is JD or PDD the better buy right now?
PDD carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 5, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor PDD over JD?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. PDD leads Quality by 41 points; JD leads Value by 8 points; PDD leads Risk Resilience by 5 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, JD or PDD?
Analyst price targets imply +27% upside for JD and +29.3% for PDD, so the Street currently favors PDD. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, JD or PDD?
JD is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. JD on the peer-relative Value factor, by 8 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, JD or PDD?
PDD on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, JD or PDD?
PDD on the Momentum factor, by 4 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, JD or PDD?
PDD is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. PDD on Risk Resilience, by 5 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is JD more profitable than PDD?
PDD leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 14.7% vs 56.3%; operating margin 0.2% vs 21.9%; ttm roe 6.6% vs 22%.
Is PDD's lead over JD getting stronger or weaker?
PDD lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 14 to 11 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-23 and 2026-09-04. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the JD vs PDD verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: JD closes the Quality gap — currently 41 points behind, the largest single contributor to PDD's edge; JD's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it; PDD starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 3 points over 30 sessions, and a further 11-point move would eliminate PDD's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about JD and PDD?
JD: 1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. PDD: 0 bullish / 4 bearish. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on JD is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On PDD it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare JD and PDD with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.