LDOS vs MSCI Stock Comparison
Leidos Holdings, Inc. vs MSCI Inc.
LDOS leads
LDOS leads by 4 AIQ points, primarily on Value, but the lead has narrowed from 16 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors MSCI on target upside.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support LDOS, and its lead is narrowing.
Leidos Holdings, Inc.
MSCI Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors LDOS over MSCI, 53 versus 49 as of Sep 5, 2026. LDOS's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value, while MSCI holds the stronger momentum profile. LDOS also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors MSCI. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor LDOS today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. LDOS lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 16 to 4 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Leidos Holdings, Inc. and MSCI Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Compare LDOS and MSCI against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value30%73 vs 24LDOS +49
- Momentum25%36 vs 60MSCI +24
- Quality30%47 vs 60MSCI +13
- Risk Resilience15%51 vs 56MSCI +5
3 of 6 evidence groups favor LDOS. LDOS’s edge is concentrated in value; MSCI keeps a meaningful momentum edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-04, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-03.
Largest factor move: Momentum +2
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum +5
No new signals fired.
LDOS's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — LDOS and MSCI both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
LDOS (Leidos Holdings, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value.
MSCI (MSCI Inc.): the counter-case, on momentum, quality, risk resilience.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
LDOSLDOS on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
LDOSLDOS on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
LDOSLDOS on the peer-relative Value factor, by 49 points.
Momentum
MSCIMSCI on the Momentum factor, by 24 points.
Lower downside
MSCIMSCI on Risk Resilience, by 5 points.
Analyst upside
MSCIMSCI on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors LDOS, analyst targets favor MSCI. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | LDOS | MSCI | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +12.7% | +23% | MSCI has more room |
| Target dispersion | +50% | +20.6% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 7 | 7 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor LDOS. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | LDOS | 53 vs 49 |
| Fundamentals | LDOSon balance | revenue growth 3.6% vs 1.9%; EPS growth 8.1% vs -15.2%; TTM ROE 27.6% vs -54.1%; gross margin 17.4% vs 83%; operating margin 11.5% vs 55.7% — LDOS takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | LDOS | Value 73 vs 24 |
| Technicals | MSCI | Price vs 50-day 8.2% vs -1%; vs 200-day -13.1% vs 0% |
| Risk Resilience | MSCI | Risk Resilience 51 vs 56 |
| Analyst expectations | MSCI | Target upside 12.7% vs 23% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of LDOS and MSCI and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Signal direction runs against the verdict: the leader is net-bearish while the laggard is net-bullish. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on LDOS.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 23 – Sep 4LDOS lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 16 to 4 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- LDOS +4
- 53 vs 49
- 7 sessions ago
- LDOS +10
- 56 vs 46
- 30 sessions ago
- LDOS +16
- 63 vs 47
- 90 sessions ago
- LDOS +10
- 49 vs 39
The lead changed hands 2 times in this window, most recently on Jun 3 when LDOS moved ahead of MSCI.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
0 bullish / 2 bearish
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (24.54%)
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
2 bullish / 0 bearish
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (0.95%)
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +0.52%, AIQ +1 points).
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 2 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -0.29%, AIQ +2 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1MSCI closes the Value gap — currently 49 points behind, the largest single contributor to LDOS's edge.
- 2MSCI generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish or Uptrend Structure Active.
- 3LDOS starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 12 points over 30 sessions, and a further 4-point move would eliminate LDOS's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
LDOS leads on balance| Metric | LDOS | MSCI |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 8.1% | -15.2% |
| Gross margin | 17.4% | 83% |
| Operating margin | 11.5% | 55.7% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 27.6% | -54.1% |
| Debt to equity | 1.24 | -2.43 |
Performance
MSCI leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | LDOS | MSCI |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -5.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -3.3% | 1.7% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 6.9% | -6.9% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -25.2% | 0.7% |
| Year to date | -26.2% | -0.1% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -25.1% | 3.9% |
Technicals
MSCI has the stronger structure| Metric | LDOS | MSCI |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 35.2 | 65.7 |
| ADX (14) | 33.9 | 10.2 |
| Price vs 50-day | 8.2% | -1% |
| Price vs 200-day | -13.1% | 0% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 28.3% | 21.6% |
Risk
MSCI is the more resilient| Metric | LDOS | MSCI |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.81 | 0.12 |
| Sortino ratio | -1.07 | 0.15 |
| Max drawdown | -49.9% | -18.1% |
| Current drawdown | -33.3% | -11% |
| Annualized volatility | 34.2% | 30.7% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -3.1% | -2.6% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, LDOS or MSCI?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, LDOS is the stronger of the two as of Sep 5, 2026, scoring 53 against MSCI's 49. The edge comes from value. MSCI is not without a case — it holds the better momentum profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is LDOS or MSCI the better buy right now?
LDOS carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 5, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor LDOS over MSCI?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. LDOS leads Value by 49 points; MSCI leads Momentum by 24 points; MSCI leads Quality by 13 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, LDOS or MSCI?
Analyst price targets imply +12.7% upside for LDOS and +23% for MSCI, so the Street currently favors MSCI. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors LDOS. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, LDOS or MSCI?
LDOS is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. LDOS on the peer-relative Value factor, by 49 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, LDOS or MSCI?
LDOS on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, LDOS or MSCI?
MSCI on the Momentum factor, by 24 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, LDOS or MSCI?
MSCI is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. MSCI on Risk Resilience, by 5 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is LDOS more profitable than MSCI?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 17.4% vs 83%; operating margin 11.5% vs 55.7%; ttm roe 27.6% vs -54.1%. LDOS leads on one measure and MSCI on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is LDOS's lead over MSCI getting stronger or weaker?
LDOS lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 16 to 4 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-23 and 2026-09-04. The lead has changed hands 2 times in that window, most recently on 2026-06-03, when LDOS moved ahead of MSCI.
What would change the LDOS vs MSCI verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: MSCI closes the Value gap — currently 49 points behind, the largest single contributor to LDOS's edge; MSCI generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish or Uptrend Structure Active; LDOS starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 12 points over 30 sessions, and a further 4-point move would eliminate LDOS's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about LDOS and MSCI?
LDOS: 0 bullish / 2 bearish. MSCI: 2 bullish / 0 bearish. The most decision-relevant rule on LDOS is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On MSCI it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare LDOS and MSCI with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.