LUNR vs SPIR Stock Comparison
Compare LUNR and SPIR across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between LUNR and SPIR?
LUNR leads the current stock comparison as Intuitive Machines, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Intuitive Machines, Inc. vs Spire Global, Inc.
LUNR leads
LUNR leads by 7 AIQ points, primarily on Quality, having only recently taken the lead back from SPIR.
Fragile: 2 of 6 evidence groups support LUNR, the lead recently changed hands, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Intuitive Machines, Inc.
Spire Global, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors LUNR over SPIR, 43 versus 36 as of Sep 11, 2026. LUNR's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality. LUNR also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor LUNR today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. LUNR lead: Reversed — SPIR led by 2 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; LUNR now leads by 7.
Compare Intuitive Machines, Inc. and Spire Global, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare LUNR and SPIR against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality72 vs 46LUNR +26
- Risk Resilience32 vs 35Even
- Value36 vs 36Even
- Momentum24 vs 24Even
2 of 6 evidence groups favor LUNR. LUNR’s edge is concentrated in quality.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Risk Resilience +1
New signals
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (0.96%)
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
LUNR's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — LUNR and SPIR both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
LUNR (Intuitive Machines, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality.
SPIR (Spire Global, Inc.): the counter-case, on fundamentals, technicals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
LUNRLUNR on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
SPIRSPIR on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
EvenThe two are level on Value.
Momentum
EvenThe two are level on Momentum.
Lower downside
SPIRSPIR carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility.
Analyst upside
LUNRLUNR on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | LUNR | SPIR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +169.5% | +81.7% | LUNR has more room |
| Target dispersion | +126.7% | +43.4% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 6 | 3 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor LUNR. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | LUNR | 43 vs 36 |
| Fundamentals | SPIRon balance | revenue growth 10.4% vs 14%; EPS growth -16% vs 33.3%; TTM ROE 29.8% vs -75.2%; gross margin 27.3% vs 37.7%; operating margin -27.5% vs -125.6% — SPIR takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | Even | Value 36 vs 36 |
| Technicals | SPIR | Price vs 50-day -8.3% vs -14.6%; vs 200-day -26.5% vs -16.4% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 32 vs 35 |
| Analyst expectations | LUNR | Target upside 169.5% vs 81.7% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of LUNR and SPIR and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 7 points.
- Only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on LUNR.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10LUNR lead: Reversed — SPIR led by 2 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; LUNR now leads by 7.
- Today
- LUNR +7
- 43 vs 36
- 7 sessions ago
- LUNR +7
- 43 vs 36
- 30 sessions ago
- SPIR +2
- 54 vs 56
- 90 sessions ago
- SPIR +10
- 41 vs 51
The lead changed hands once in this window, most recently on Sep 2 when LUNR moved ahead of SPIR.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 3 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (27.01%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce — bullish, momentum, short horizon
1 bullish / 4 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (0.96%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
LUNR leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -1.85%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.24%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1SPIR closes the Quality gap — currently 26 points behind, the largest single contributor to LUNR's edge.
- 2SPIR's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3LUNR's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 3 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
SPIR leads on balance| Metric | LUNR | SPIR |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 10.4% | 14% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -16% | 33.3% |
| Gross margin | 27.3% | 37.7% |
| Operating margin | -27.5% | -125.6% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 29.8% | -75.2% |
| Debt to equity | -1.51 | 0.05 |
Performance
Split across windows| Metric | LUNR | SPIR |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -1.6% | -5.3% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -13.7% | -23.5% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -44.9% | -31.1% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -20.8% | 2.3% |
| Year to date | -9.9% | 50.4% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 73.2% | 25.9% |
Technicals
SPIR has the stronger structure| Metric | LUNR | SPIR |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 24.4 | 20 |
| ADX (14) | 19.8 | 25.9 |
| Price vs 50-day | -8.3% | -14.6% |
| Price vs 200-day | -26.5% | -16.4% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 71.1% | 48.8% |
Risk
Split| Metric | LUNR | SPIR |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.51 | 3.49 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1 | 0.7 |
| Sortino ratio | 2 | 1.14 |
| Max drawdown | -75.1% | -58.6% |
| Current drawdown | -68% | -55.7% |
| Annualized volatility | 112% | 104.2% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -9.2% | -9.2% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, LUNR or SPIR?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, LUNR is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 43 against SPIR's 36. The edge comes from quality. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is LUNR or SPIR the better buy right now?
LUNR carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor LUNR over SPIR?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. LUNR leads Quality by 26 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, LUNR or SPIR?
Analyst price targets imply +169.5% upside for LUNR and +81.7% for SPIR, so the Street currently favors LUNR. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, LUNR or SPIR?
Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, LUNR or SPIR?
SPIR on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, LUNR or SPIR?
The two are level on Momentum. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, LUNR or SPIR?
SPIR is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. SPIR carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is LUNR more profitable than SPIR?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 27.3% vs 37.7%; operating margin -27.5% vs -125.6%; ttm roe 29.8% vs -75.2%. LUNR leads on two measures and SPIR on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is LUNR's lead over SPIR getting stronger or weaker?
LUNR lead: Reversed — SPIR led by 2 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; LUNR now leads by 7. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands once in that window, most recently on 2026-09-02, when LUNR moved ahead of SPIR.
What would change the LUNR vs SPIR verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: SPIR closes the Quality gap — currently 26 points behind, the largest single contributor to LUNR's edge; SPIR's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; LUNR's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 3 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about LUNR and SPIR?
LUNR: 1 bullish / 3 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted. SPIR: 1 bullish / 4 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on LUNR is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On SPIR it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare LUNR and SPIR with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.