MGEE vs NI Stock Comparison
Compare MGEE and NI across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between MGEE and NI?
MGEE leads the current stock comparison as MGE Energy, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
MGE Energy, Inc. vs NiSource Inc
MGEE leads
MGEE leads by 5 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Risk Resilience, but the lead has narrowed from 22 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors NI on target upside.
Fragile: 4 of 6 evidence groups support MGEE, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.
MGE Energy, Inc.
NiSource Inc
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors MGEE over NI, 48 versus 43 as of Sep 11, 2026. MGEE's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and risk resilience, while NI holds the stronger momentum profile. MGEE also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors NI. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor MGEE today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 5 points. MGEE lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 22 to 5 points over 30 sessions.
Compare MGE Energy, Inc. and NiSource Inc across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare MGEE and NI against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality62 vs 35MGEE +27
- Momentum24 vs 41NI +17
- Risk Resilience65 vs 52MGEE +13
- Value46 vs 48Even
4 of 6 evidence groups favor MGEE. MGEE’s edge is concentrated in quality and risk resilience; NI keeps a meaningful momentum edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum -2
No new signals fired.
MGEE's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — MGEE and NI both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
MGEE (MGE Energy, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and risk resilience.
NI (NiSource Inc): the counter-case, on momentum, analyst expectations.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
MGEEMGEE on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
MGEEMGEE on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
EvenThe two are level on Value.
Momentum
NINI on the Momentum factor, by 17 points.
Lower downside
MGEEMGEE on Risk Resilience, by 13 points.
Analyst upside
NINI on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors MGEE, analyst targets favor NI. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | MGEE | NI | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | -4.6% | +22% | NI has more room |
| Target dispersion | +8.2% | +7.9% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 1 | 7 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor MGEE. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | MGEE | 48 vs 43 |
| Fundamentals | MGEEon balance | revenue growth -33.6% vs -43.2%; EPS growth -32.6% vs -90.6%; TTM ROE 11.1% vs 9.6%; gross margin 85.4% vs 50.8%; operating margin 22% vs 27% — MGEE takes 4 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | Even | Value 46 vs 48 |
| Technicals | MGEE | Price vs 50-day -4.9% vs -5.4%; vs 200-day -3.1% vs -8% |
| Risk Resilience | MGEE | Risk Resilience 65 vs 52 |
| Analyst expectations | NI | Target upside -4.6% vs 22% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of MGEE and NI and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 5 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on MGEE.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10MGEE lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 22 to 5 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- MGEE +5
- 48 vs 43
- 7 sessions ago
- MGEE +7
- 48 vs 41
- 30 sessions ago
- MGEE +22
- 60 vs 38
- 90 sessions ago
- MGEE +13
- 61 vs 48
The lead changed hands 2 times in this window, most recently on May 13 when MGEE moved ahead of NI.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (1.87%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce — bullish, momentum, short horizon
1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (2.83%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
MGEE leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.05%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.02%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1NI closes the Quality gap — currently 27 points behind, the largest single contributor to MGEE's edge.
- 2NI's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3MGEE's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 17 points over 30 sessions, and a further 5-point move would eliminate MGEE's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
MGEE leads on balance| Metric | MGEE | NI |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -33.6% | -43.2% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -32.6% | -90.6% |
| Gross margin | 85.4% | 50.8% |
| Operating margin | 22% | 27% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 11.1% | 9.6% |
| Debt to equity | 0.62 | 1.83 |
Performance
NI leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | MGEE | NI |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -0.7% | 0.7% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -6% | -1.4% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -1.7% | -11.2% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 3.1% | -10.5% |
| Year to date | -2.5% | -0.8% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -8.2% | 3% |
Technicals
MGEE has the stronger structure| Metric | MGEE | NI |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 25.4 | 47.7 |
| ADX (14) | 18.6 | 27.7 |
| Price vs 50-day | -4.9% | -5.4% |
| Price vs 200-day | -3.1% | -8% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 12.9% | 14.9% |
Risk
MGEE is the more resilient| Metric | MGEE | NI |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.06 | 0.16 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.51 | 0 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.66 | 0 |
| Max drawdown | -16.8% | -17.3% |
| Current drawdown | -12.2% | -15.6% |
| Annualized volatility | 20.6% | 18.2% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.1% | -1.9% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, MGEE or NI?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, MGEE is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 48 against NI's 43. The edge comes from quality and risk resilience. NI is not without a case — it holds the better momentum profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is MGEE or NI the better buy right now?
MGEE carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 5 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor MGEE over NI?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. MGEE leads Quality by 27 points; NI leads Momentum by 17 points; MGEE leads Risk Resilience by 13 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, MGEE or NI?
Analyst price targets imply -4.6% upside for MGEE and +22% for NI, so the Street currently favors NI. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors MGEE. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, MGEE or NI?
Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, MGEE or NI?
MGEE on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, MGEE or NI?
NI on the Momentum factor, by 17 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, MGEE or NI?
MGEE is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. MGEE on Risk Resilience, by 13 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is MGEE more profitable than NI?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 85.4% vs 50.8%; operating margin 22% vs 27%; ttm roe 11.1% vs 9.6%. MGEE leads on two measures and NI on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is MGEE's lead over NI getting stronger or weaker?
MGEE lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 22 to 5 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands 2 times in that window, most recently on 2026-05-13, when MGEE moved ahead of NI.
What would change the MGEE vs NI verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: NI closes the Quality gap — currently 27 points behind, the largest single contributor to MGEE's edge; NI's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; MGEE's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 17 points over 30 sessions, and a further 5-point move would eliminate MGEE's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about MGEE and NI?
MGEE: 2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. NI: 1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on MGEE is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On NI it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare MGEE and NI with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.