MKC vs NWL Stock Comparison
Compare MKC and NWL across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between MKC and NWL?
NWL leads the current stock comparison as Newell Brands Inc., with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
McCormick & Company, Incorporated vs Newell Brands Inc.
NWL leads
NWL leads by 1 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Value, having only recently taken the lead back from MKC. Wall Street currently favors MKC on target upside.
Fragile: 2 of 6 evidence groups support NWL, the lead recently changed hands, and its current signal state is conflicted.
McCormick & Company, Incorporated
Newell Brands Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors NWL over MKC, 46 versus 45 as of Sep 11, 2026. NWL's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and value, while MKC holds the stronger quality profile. NWL also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors MKC. 2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor NWL today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. NWL lead: Reversed — MKC led by 8 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; NWL now leads by 1.
Compare McCormick & Company, Incorporated and Newell Brands Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare MKC and NWL against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality62 vs 16MKC +46
- Momentum23 vs 63NWL +40
- Value44 vs 68NWL +24
- Risk Resilience51 vs 36MKC +15
2 of 6 evidence groups favor NWL. NWL’s edge is concentrated in momentum and value; MKC keeps a meaningful quality edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
No factor moved materially.
New signals
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
Largest factor move: Momentum +4
No new signals fired.
NWL's lead widened by 1 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — MKC and NWL both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
NWL (Newell Brands Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and value.
MKC (McCormick & Company, Incorporated): the counter-case, on quality, risk resilience, fundamentals.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
NWLNWL on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
NWLNWL on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
NWLNWL on the peer-relative Value factor, by 24 points.
Momentum
NWLNWL on the Momentum factor, by 40 points.
Lower downside
MKCMKC on Risk Resilience, by 15 points.
Analyst upside
MKCMKC on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors NWL, analyst targets favor MKC. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | MKC | NWL | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +11.5% | +2.2% | MKC has more room |
| Target dispersion | +29.7% | +125.4% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 4 | 6 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor NWL. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 45 vs 46 |
| Fundamentals | MKCon balance | revenue growth 3.3% vs 28.7%; EPS growth -85.2% vs 4.2%; TTM ROE 25.6% vs -8.9%; gross margin 38.6% vs 35.5%; operating margin 15.3% vs 8.1% — MKC takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | NWL | Value 44 vs 68 |
| Technicals | NWL | Price vs 50-day -2.9% vs 2.2%; vs 200-day -10.2% vs 29.8% |
| Risk Resilience | MKC | Risk Resilience 51 vs 36 |
| Analyst expectations | MKC | Target upside 11.5% vs 2.2% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of MKC and NWL and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on NWL.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10NWL lead: Reversed — MKC led by 8 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; NWL now leads by 1.
- Today
- NWL +1
- 45 vs 46
- 7 sessions ago
- MKC +2
- 48 vs 46
- 30 sessions ago
- MKC +8
- 58 vs 50
- 90 sessions ago
- MKC +6
- 56 vs 50
The lead changed hands 5 times in this window, most recently on Sep 8 when NWL moved ahead of MKC.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 4 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (7.60%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (26.60%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
NWL leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.43%, AIQ 0 points).
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -0.34%, AIQ +1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1MKC closes the Momentum gap — currently 40 points behind, the largest single contributor to NWL's edge.
- 2MKC's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3NWL's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
MKC leads on balance| Metric | MKC | NWL |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 3.3% | 28.7% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -85.2% | 4.2% |
| Gross margin | 38.6% | 35.5% |
| Operating margin | 15.3% | 8.1% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 25.6% | -8.9% |
| Debt to equity | 0.71 | 2.26 |
Performance
NWL leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | MKC | NWL |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -5% | -1.8% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -3.5% | -4.7% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 2.8% | 31% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -14.7% | 36.8% |
| Year to date | -25% | 57.8% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -27.2% | -7.3% |
Technicals
NWL has the stronger structure| Metric | MKC | NWL |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 27.1 | 51.9 |
| ADX (14) | 19.9 | 20.5 |
| Price vs 50-day | -2.9% | 2.2% |
| Price vs 200-day | -10.2% | 29.8% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 26.5% | 51.6% |
Risk
MKC is the more resilient| Metric | MKC | NWL |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.35 | 1.24 |
| Sharpe ratio | -1 | 0.14 |
| Sortino ratio | -1.47 | 0.19 |
| Max drawdown | -36.4% | -50% |
| Current drawdown | -28.7% | -7.7% |
| Annualized volatility | 30.3% | 59.3% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -3.2% | -4.9% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, MKC or NWL?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, NWL is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 46 against MKC's 45. The edge comes from momentum and value. MKC is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is MKC or NWL the better buy right now?
NWL carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor NWL over MKC?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. MKC leads Quality by 46 points; NWL leads Momentum by 40 points; NWL leads Value by 24 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, MKC or NWL?
Analyst price targets imply +11.5% upside for MKC and +2.2% for NWL, so the Street currently favors MKC. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors NWL. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, MKC or NWL?
NWL is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. NWL on the peer-relative Value factor, by 24 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, MKC or NWL?
NWL on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, MKC or NWL?
NWL on the Momentum factor, by 40 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, MKC or NWL?
MKC is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. MKC on Risk Resilience, by 15 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is MKC more profitable than NWL?
MKC leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 38.6% vs 35.5%; operating margin 15.3% vs 8.1%; ttm roe 25.6% vs -8.9%.
Is NWL's lead over MKC getting stronger or weaker?
NWL lead: Reversed — MKC led by 8 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; NWL now leads by 1. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands 5 times in that window, most recently on 2026-09-08, when NWL moved ahead of MKC.
What would change the MKC vs NWL verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: MKC closes the Momentum gap — currently 40 points behind, the largest single contributor to NWL's edge; MKC's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; NWL's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about MKC and NWL?
MKC: 1 bullish / 4 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. NWL: 3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on MKC is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On NWL it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare MKC and NWL with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.