MP vs PAAS Stock Comparison
Compare MP and PAAS across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between MP and PAAS?
PAAS leads the current stock comparison as Pan American Silver Corp., with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
MP Materials Corp. vs Pan American Silver Corp.
PAAS leads
PAAS leads by 22 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Value, and the lead has widened from 17 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors MP on target upside.
Stable: 5 of 6 evidence groups support PAAS, and its lead is widening.
MP Materials Corp.
Pan American Silver Corp.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors PAAS over MP, 56 versus 34 as of Sep 11, 2026. PAAS's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and value. PAAS also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors MP. 5 of 6 covered evidence groups favor PAAS today, and the comparison is rated Stable on stability. PAAS lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 17 to 22 points over 30 sessions. PAAS leads on all four AIQ factor dimensions. Value is itself one of those four, so a sweep is not explained by valuation alone — it deserves additional scrutiny for unmodeled catalysts, expectations or event risk.
Compare MP Materials Corp. and Pan American Silver Corp. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare MP and PAAS against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality23 vs 68PAAS +45
- Value34 vs 51PAAS +17
- Risk Resilience37 vs 50PAAS +13
- Momentum46 vs 51PAAS +5
5 of 6 evidence groups favor PAAS. PAAS’s edge is concentrated in quality and value.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum -3
New signals
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
Largest factor move: Momentum -16
No new signals fired.
PAAS's lead narrowed by 3 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — MP and PAAS both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
PAAS (Pan American Silver Corp.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and value.
MP (MP Materials Corp.): the counter-case, on analyst expectations.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
PAASPAAS on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
PAASPAAS on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
PAASPAAS on the peer-relative Value factor, by 17 points.
Momentum
PAASPAAS on the Momentum factor, by 5 points.
Lower downside
PAASPAAS on Risk Resilience, by 13 points.
Analyst upside
MPMP on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors PAAS, analyst targets favor MP. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | MP | PAAS | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +62.8% | +45% | MP has more room |
| Target dispersion | +37.7% | +56.2% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 5 | 3 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
5 of 6 covered evidence groups favor PAAS. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | PAAS | 34 vs 56 |
| Fundamentals | PAASon balance | revenue growth 19.7% vs -5.1%; EPS growth -145.5% vs -35.2%; TTM ROE -2.7% vs 19.5%; gross margin -4.6% vs 44.6%; operating margin -33.1% vs 39.2% — PAAS takes 4 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | PAAS | Value 34 vs 51 |
| Technicals | PAAS | Price vs 50-day -1.6% vs 5.8%; vs 200-day -10.8% vs -3.6% |
| Risk Resilience | PAAS | Risk Resilience 37 vs 50 |
| Analyst expectations | MP | Target upside 62.8% vs 45% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of MP and PAAS and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion rests on a wide gap and broad agreement. It is unlikely to turn on a single session.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 22 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- 5 of 6 covered evidence groups point the same way. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on PAAS.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10PAAS lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 17 to 22 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- PAAS +22
- 34 vs 56
- 7 sessions ago
- PAAS +24
- 34 vs 58
- 30 sessions ago
- PAAS +17
- 42 vs 59
- 90 sessions ago
- PAAS +20
- 28 vs 48
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (12.19%)
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (6.18%)
0 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (10.48%)
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (4.27%)
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
MP is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved down over the latest session (price -1.58%, AIQ -1 points).
Price and the AIQ Score both moved down over the latest session (price -0.61%, AIQ -4 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1MP closes the Quality gap — currently 45 points behind, the largest single contributor to PAAS's edge.
- 2MP's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3PAAS starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
PAAS leads on balance| Metric | MP | PAAS |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 19.7% | -5.1% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -145.5% | -35.2% |
| Gross margin | -4.6% | 44.6% |
| Operating margin | -33.1% | 39.2% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | -2.7% | 19.5% |
| Debt to equity | 0.48 | 0.11 |
Performance
PAAS leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | MP | PAAS |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -6.2% | -1.7% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -5.2% | -3.3% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -4% | 14.7% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -17.6% | -16.7% |
| Year to date | 1.6% | -2.2% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -18.2% | 41.7% |
Technicals
PAAS has the stronger structure| Metric | MP | PAAS |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 42.4 | 46.7 |
| ADX (14) | 19.9 | 22.6 |
| Price vs 50-day | -1.6% | 5.8% |
| Price vs 200-day | -10.8% | -3.6% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 58.9% | 62.6% |
Risk
PAAS is the more resilient| Metric | MP | PAAS |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.25 | 1.92 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.05 | 0.84 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.09 | 1.2 |
| Max drawdown | -61.4% | -39.2% |
| Current drawdown | -48% | -26.3% |
| Annualized volatility | 76.3% | 58.5% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -7.6% | -6.1% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, MP or PAAS?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, PAAS is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 56 against MP's 34. The edge comes from quality and value. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is MP or PAAS the better buy right now?
PAAS carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Stable — 5 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Stable rating means the gap is wide and the evidence is broad, so the conclusion is unlikely to turn on a single session.
Why does the AIQ Score favor PAAS over MP?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. PAAS leads Quality by 45 points; PAAS leads Value by 17 points; PAAS leads Risk Resilience by 13 points. PAAS leads on all four AIQ factor dimensions. Value is itself one of those four, so the sweep is not explained by MP simply being cheaper — it warrants extra scrutiny for unmodeled catalysts, forward expectations or event risk the factors do not capture.
Which has more analyst upside, MP or PAAS?
Analyst price targets imply +62.8% upside for MP and +45% for PAAS, so the Street currently favors MP. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors PAAS. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, MP or PAAS?
PAAS is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. PAAS on the peer-relative Value factor, by 17 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, MP or PAAS?
PAAS on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, MP or PAAS?
PAAS on the Momentum factor, by 5 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, MP or PAAS?
PAAS is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. PAAS on Risk Resilience, by 13 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is MP more profitable than PAAS?
PAAS leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin -4.6% vs 44.6%; operating margin -33.1% vs 39.2%; ttm roe -2.7% vs 19.5%.
Is PAAS's lead over MP getting stronger or weaker?
PAAS lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 17 to 22 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the MP vs PAAS verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: MP closes the Quality gap — currently 45 points behind, the largest single contributor to PAAS's edge; MP's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; PAAS starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about MP and PAAS?
MP: 1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. PAAS: 0 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on MP is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On PAAS it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare MP and PAAS with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.