INTC vs MPC Stock Comparison
Compare INTC and MPC across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between INTC and MPC?
MPC leads the current stock comparison as Marathon Petroleum Corporation, with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Intel Corp. vs Marathon Petroleum Corporation
MPC leads
MPC leads by 25 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Value, and the lead has widened from 21 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors INTC on target upside.
Stable: 5 of 6 evidence groups support MPC, its lead is widening, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Intel Corp.
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors MPC over INTC, 60 versus 35 as of Sep 6, 2026. MPC's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and value. MPC also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors INTC. 5 of 6 covered evidence groups favor MPC today, and the comparison is rated Stable on stability: the leader is throwing conflicting signals. MPC lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 21 to 25 points over 30 sessions. MPC leads on all four AIQ factor dimensions. Value is itself one of those four, so a sweep is not explained by valuation alone — it deserves additional scrutiny for unmodeled catalysts, expectations or event risk.
Compare Intel Corp. and Marathon Petroleum Corporation across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare INTC and MPC against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum25%40 vs 83MPC +43
- Value30%30 vs 59MPC +29
- Risk Resilience15%29 vs 48MPC +19
- Quality30%39 vs 48MPC +9
5 of 6 evidence groups favor MPC. MPC’s edge is concentrated in momentum and value.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-05, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-04.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
MPC's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — INTC and MPC both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
MPC (Marathon Petroleum Corporation): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and value.
INTC (Intel Corp.): the counter-case, on analyst expectations — but at materially higher volatility, 47.7% against 34.7%.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
MPCMPC on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
MPCMPC on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
MPCMPC on the peer-relative Value factor, by 29 points.
Momentum
MPCMPC on the Momentum factor, by 43 points.
Lower downside
MPCMPC on Risk Resilience, by 19 points.
Analyst upside
INTCINTC on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors MPC, analyst targets favor INTC. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | INTC | MPC | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +7.4% | -19.2% | INTC has more room |
| Target dispersion | +136.1% | +74.5% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 27 | 9 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
5 of 6 covered evidence groups favor MPC. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | MPC | 35 vs 60 |
| Fundamentals | MPCon balance | revenue growth 18.8% vs 50.4%; EPS growth -195.9% vs 9.2%; TTM ROE -10.8% vs 48.7%; gross margin 38.9% vs 11.6% — MPC takes 3 of 4 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | MPC | Value 30 vs 59 |
| Technicals | MPC | Price vs 50-day -4.8% vs 20.8%; vs 200-day 29.2% vs 60.9% |
| Risk Resilience | MPC | Risk Resilience 29 vs 48 |
| Analyst expectations | INTC | Target upside 7.4% vs -19.2% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of INTC and MPC and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion rests on a wide gap and broad agreement. It is unlikely to turn on a single session.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 25 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- 5 of 6 covered evidence groups point the same way. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on MPC.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 24 – Sep 5MPC lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 21 to 25 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- MPC +25
- 35 vs 60
- 7 sessions ago
- MPC +25
- 34 vs 59
- 30 sessions ago
- MPC +21
- 41 vs 62
- 90 sessions ago
- MPC +17
- 40 vs 57
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (35.67%)
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (5.34%)
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
6 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (33.23%)
- Keltner Channel Breakout — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
MPC leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +4.51%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.31%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1INTC closes the Momentum gap — currently 43 points behind, the largest single contributor to MPC's edge.
- 2INTC's ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend.
- 3MPC's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 6 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
MPC leads on balance| Metric | INTC | MPC |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 18.8% | 50.4% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -195.9% | 9.2% |
| Gross margin | 38.9% | 11.6% |
| Operating margin | 0.1% | 8% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | -10.8% | 48.7% |
| Debt to equity | 0.58 | 1.8 |
Performance
INTC leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | INTC | MPC |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 7.1% | 5.4% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -5.8% | 29.6% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -3.4% | 48.4% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 120.6% | 75.8% |
| Year to date | 159.6% | 135% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 299.2% | 117.3% |
Technicals
MPC has the stronger structure| Metric | INTC | MPC |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 37.6 | 74.8 |
| ADX (14) | 14.2 | 43.4 |
| Price vs 50-day | -4.8% | 20.8% |
| Price vs 200-day | 29.2% | 60.9% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 47.7% | 34.7% |
Risk
MPC is the more resilient| Metric | INTC | MPC |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.91 | -0.14 |
| Sharpe ratio | 2.06 | 2.33 |
| Sortino ratio | 3.84 | 3.55 |
| Max drawdown | -41.9% | -18.7% |
| Current drawdown | -32% | 0% |
| Annualized volatility | 79.2% | 34.3% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -6.2% | -3.3% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, INTC or MPC?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, MPC is the stronger of the two as of Sep 6, 2026, scoring 60 against INTC's 35. The edge comes from momentum and value. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is INTC or MPC the better buy right now?
MPC carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 6, 2026, and the comparison is rated Stable — 5 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Stable rating means the gap is wide and the evidence is broad, so the conclusion is unlikely to turn on a single session.
Why does the AIQ Score favor MPC over INTC?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. MPC leads Momentum by 43 points; MPC leads Value by 29 points; MPC leads Risk Resilience by 19 points. MPC leads on all four AIQ factor dimensions. Value is itself one of those four, so the sweep is not explained by INTC simply being cheaper — it warrants extra scrutiny for unmodeled catalysts, forward expectations or event risk the factors do not capture.
Which has more analyst upside, INTC or MPC?
Analyst price targets imply +7.4% upside for INTC and -19.2% for MPC, so the Street currently favors INTC. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors MPC. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, INTC or MPC?
MPC is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. MPC on the peer-relative Value factor, by 29 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, INTC or MPC?
MPC on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, INTC or MPC?
MPC on the Momentum factor, by 43 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, INTC or MPC?
MPC is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. MPC on Risk Resilience, by 19 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is INTC more profitable than MPC?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 38.9% vs 11.6%; operating margin 0.1% vs 8%; ttm roe -10.8% vs 48.7%. Each name leads on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is MPC's lead over INTC getting stronger or weaker?
MPC lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 21 to 25 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-24 and 2026-09-05. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the INTC vs MPC verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: INTC closes the Momentum gap — currently 43 points behind, the largest single contributor to MPC's edge; INTC's ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend; MPC's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 6 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about INTC and MPC?
INTC: 2 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral. MPC: 6 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on INTC is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On MPC it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare INTC and MPC with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.